Table of Contents

Preface

The Software

How to Get JMP

JMP Start Statistics, Sixth Edition

SAS

JMP versus JMP Pro

This Book

1 Preliminaries

What You Need to Know

…about statistics

Learning about JMP

…on your own with JMP Help

…hands-on examples

…using Tutorials

…reading about JMP

Chapter Organization

Typographical Conventions

2 Getting Started with JMP

Hello!

First Session

Tip of the Day

The JMP Starter (Macintosh)

The JMP Home Window (Windows)

Open a JMP Data Table

Launch an Analysis Platform

Interact with the Report Surface

Special Tools

Customize JMP

Modeling Type

Analyze and Graph

Navigating Platforms and Building Context

Contexts for a Histogram

Contexts for the t-Test

Contexts for a Scatterplot

Contexts for Nonparametric Statistics

The Personality of JMP

3 Data Tables, Reports, and Scripts

Overview

The Ins and Outs of a JMP Data Table

Selecting and Deselecting Rows and Columns

Mousing around a Data Table: Cursor Forms

Creating a New JMP Table

Define Rows and Columns

Enter Data

The New Column Command

Plot the Data

Importing Data

Importing Text Files

Importing Other File Types

Copy, Paste, and Drag Data

Moving Data Out of JMP

Saving Graphs and Reports

Copy and Paste

Drag Report Elements

Save JMP Reports and Graphs

Create Interactive Web Reports

Pop-up Menu Commands

Juggling Data Tables

Data Management

Give New Shape to a Table: Stack Columns

Creating Summary Statistics

Create Summary Statistics with the Summary Command

Create Summary Statistics with Tabulate

Working with Scripts

Creating Scripts

Running Data Table Scripts

Opening and Running Stand-alone Scripts

4 Formula Editor

Overview

The Formula Editor Window

The Formula Editor and the JMP Scripting Language

A Quick Example: Standardizing Data

Making a New Formula Column

Using Popular Formula Functions

Writing Conditional Expressions

Summarizing Data with the Formula Editor

Generating Random Data

Local Variables and Table Variables

Working with Dates

Tips on Building Formulas

Examining Expression Values

Cutting, Dragging, and Pasting Formulas

Selecting Expressions

Exercises

5 What Are Statistics?

Overview

Ponderings

The Business of Statistics

The Yin and Yang of Statistics

The Faces of Statistics

Don’t Panic

Preparations

Three Levels of Uncertainty

Probability and Randomness

Assumptions

Data Mining?

Statistical Terms

6 Simulations

Overview

Rolling Dice

Rolling Several Dice

Flipping Coins, Sampling Candy, or Drawing Marbles

Probability of Making a Triangle

Confidence Intervals

Data Table-Based Simulations

Other JMP Simulators

Exercises

7 Univariate Distributions: One Variable, One Sample

Overview

Looking at Distributions

Probability Distributions

True Distribution Function or Real-World Sample Distribution

The Normal Distribution

Describing Distributions of Values

Generating Random Data

Histograms

Stem-and-Leaf Plots

Dot Plots

Outlier and Quantile Box Plots

Mean and Standard Deviation

Median and Other Quantiles

Mean versus Median

Other Summary Statistics: Skewness and Kurtosis

Extremes, Tail Detail

Statistical Inference on the Mean

Standard Error of the Mean

Confidence Intervals for the Mean

Testing Hypotheses: Terminology

The Normal z-Test for the Mean

Case Study: The Earth’s Ecliptic

Student’s t-Test

Comparing the Normal and Student’s t Distributions

Testing the Mean

The p-Value Animation

Power of the t-Test

Practical Significance versus Statistical Significance

Examining for Normality

Normal Quantile Plots

Statistical Tests for Normality

Special Topic: Practical Difference

Special Topic: Simulating the Central Limit Theorem

Seeing Kernel Density Estimates

Exercises

8 The Difference Between Two Means

Overview

Two Independent Groups

When the Difference Isn’t Significant

Check the Data

Launch the Fit Y by X Platform

Examine the Plot

Display and Compare the Means

Inside the Student’s t-Test

Equal or Unequal Variances?

One-Sided Version of the Test

Analysis of Variance and the All-Purpose F-Test

How Sensitive Is the Test?

How Many More Observations Are Needed?

When the Difference Is Significant

Normality and Normal Quantile Plots

Testing Means for Matched Pairs

Thermometer Tests

Look at the Data

Look at the Distribution of the Difference

Student’s t-Test

The Matched Pairs Platform for a Paired t-Test

Optional Topic: An Equivalent Test for Stacked Data

Two Extremes of Neglecting the Pairing Situation: A Dramatization

A Nonparametric Approach

Introduction to Nonparametric Methods

Paired Means: The Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test

Independent Means: The Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test

Exercises

9 Comparing Many Means: One-Way Analysis of Variance

Overview

What Is a One-Way Layout?

Comparing and Testing Means

Means Diamonds: A Graphical Description of Group Means

Statistical Tests to Compare Means

Means Comparisons for Balanced Data

Means Comparisons for Unbalanced Data

Adjusting for Multiple Comparisons

Are the Variances Equal across the Groups?

Testing Means with Unequal Variances

Nonparametric Methods

Review of Rank-Based Nonparametric Methods

The Three Rank Tests in JMP

Exercises

10 Fitting Curves through Points: Regression

Overview

Regression

Least Squares

Seeing Least Squares

Fitting a Line and Testing the Slope

Testing the Slope By Comparing Models

The Distribution of the Parameter Estimates

Confidence Intervals on the Estimates

Examine Residuals

Exclusion of Rows

Time to Clean Up

Polynomial Models

Look at the Residuals

Higher-Order Polynomials

Distribution of Residuals

Transformed Fits

Spline Fit

Are Graphics Important?

Why It’s Called Regression

What Happens When X and Y Are Switched?

Curiosities

Sometimes It’s the Picture That Fools You

High-Order Polynomial Pitfall

The Pappus Mystery on the Obliquity of the Ecliptic

Exercises

11 Categorical Distributions

Overview

Categorical Situations

Categorical Responses and Count Data: Two Outlooks

A Simulated Categorical Response

Simulating Some Categorical Response Data

Variability in the Estimates

Larger Sample Sizes

Monte Carlo Simulations for the Estimators

Distribution of the Estimates

The X2 Pearson Chi-Square Test Statistic

The G2 Likelihood-Ratio Chi-Square Test Statistic

Likelihood Ratio Tests

The G2 Likelihood Ratio Chi-Square Test

Univariate Categorical Chi-Square Tests

Comparing Univariate Distributions

Charting to Compare Results

Exercises

12 Categorical Models

Overview

Fitting Categorical Responses to Categorical Factors: Contingency Tables

Testing with G2 and X2 Statistic

Looking at Survey Data

Car Brand by Marital Status

Car Brand by Size of Vehicle

Two-Way Tables: Entering Count Data

Expected Values under Independence

Entering Two-Way Data into JMP

Testing for Independence

If You Have a Perfect Fit

Special Topic: Correspondence Analysis— Looking at Data with Many Levels

Continuous Factors with Categorical Responses: Logistic Regression

Fitting a Logistic Model

Degrees of Fit

A Discriminant Alternative

Inverse Prediction

Polytomous (Multinomial) Responses: More Than Two Levels

Ordinal Responses: Cumulative Ordinal Logistic Regression

Surprise: Simpson’s Paradox: Aggregate Data versus Grouped Data

Generalized Linear Models

Exercises

13 Multiple Regression

Overview

Parts of a Regression Model

Regression Definitions

A Multiple Regression Example

Residuals and Predicted Values

The Analysis of Variance Table

The Whole Model F-Test

Whole-Model Leverage Plot

Details on Effect Tests

Effect Leverage Plots

Collinearity

Exact Collinearity, Singularity, and Linear Dependency

The Longley Data: An Example of Collinearity

The Case of the Hidden Leverage Point

Mining Data with Stepwise Regression

Exercises

14 Fitting Linear Models

Overview

The General Linear Model

Types of Effects in Linear Models

Coding Scheme to Fit a One-Way ANOVA as a Linear Model

Regressor Construction

Interpretation of Parameters

Predictions Are the Means

Parameters and Means

Analysis of Covariance: Continuous and Categorical Terms in the Same Model

The Prediction Equation

The Whole-Model Test and Leverage Plot

Effect Tests and Leverage Plots

Least Squares Means

Lack of Fit

Separate Slopes: When the Covariate Interacts with a Categorical Effect

Two-Way Analysis of Variance and Interactions

Optional Topic: Random Effects and Nested Effects

Nesting

Repeated Measures

Method 1: Random Effects-Mixed Model

Method 2: Reduction to the Experimental Unit

Method 3: Correlated Measurements-Multivariate Model

Varieties of Analysis

Closing Thoughts

Exercises

15 Design of Experiments

Overview

Introduction

Key Concepts

JMP DOE

A Simple Design

The Experiment

Enter the Response and Factors

Define the Model

Is the Design Balanced?

Perform Experiment and Enter Data

Analyze the Model

Flour Paste Conclusions

Details of the Design: Confounding Structure

Using the Custom Designer

How the Custom Designer Works

Choices in the Custom Designer

An Interaction Model: The Reactor Data

Analyzing the Reactor Data

Where Do We Go from Here?

Some Routine Screening Examples

Main Effects Only (a Review)

All Two-Factor Interactions Involving a Single Factor

Alias Optimal Designs

Response Surface Designs

The Odor Experiment

Response Surface Designs in JMP

Analyzing the Odor Response Surface Design

Plotting Surface Effects

Specifying Response Surface Effects Manually

The Custom Designer versus the Response Surface Design Platform

Split-Plot Designs

The Box Corrosion Split-Plot Experiment

Designing the Experiment

Analysis of Split-Plot Designs

Design Strategies

DOE Glossary of Key Terms

Exercises

16 Bivariate and Multivariate Relationships

Overview

Bivariate Distributions

Density Estimation

Bivariate Density Estimation

Mixtures, Modes, and Clusters

The Elliptical Contours of the Normal Distribution

Correlations and the Bivariate Normal

Simulating Bivariate Correlations

Correlations across Many Variables

Bivariate Outliers

Outliers in Three and More Dimensions

Identify Variation with Principal Components Analysis

Principal Components for Six Variables

How Many Principal Components?

Discriminant Analysis

Canonical Plot

Discriminant Scores

Stepwise Discriminant Variable Selection

Cluster Analysis

Hierarchical Clustering: How Does It Work?

A Real-World Example

Some Final Thoughts

Exercises

17 Exploratory Modeling

Overview

Recursive Partitioning (Decision Trees)

Growing Trees

Exploratory Modeling with Partition

Saving Columns and Formulas

Neural Nets

A Simple Example

Modeling with Neural Networks

Saving Columns

Profiles in Neural

Exercises

18 Control Charts and Capability

Overview

What Does a Control Chart Look Like

Types of Control Charts

Variables Charts

Attributes Charts

Specialty Charts

Control Chart Basics

Control Charts for Variables Data

Variables Charts Using Control Chart Builder

The Control Chart Builder Work Space

Control Chart Builder Examples

Control Charts for Attributes Data

Specialty Charts

Presummarize Charts

Levey-Jennings Charts

Uniformly Weighted Moving Average (UWMA) Charts

Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) Chart

Capability Analysis

What Is Process Capability?

Capability for One Process Measurement

Capability for Many Process Measurements

Capability for Time-Ordered Data

A Few Words about Measurement Systems

Exercises

19 Mechanics of Statistics

Overview

Springs for Continuous Responses

Fitting a Mean

Testing a Hypothesis

One-Way Layout

Effect of Sample Size Significance

Effect of Error Variance on Significance

Experimental Design’s Effect on Significance

Simple Regression

Leverage

Multiple Regression

Summary: Significance and Power

Mechanics of Fit for Categorical Responses

How Do Pressure Cylinders Behave?

Estimating Probabilities

One-Way Layout for Categorical Data

Logistic Regression

A Answers to Selected Exercises

Chapter 4, “Formula Editor”

Chapter 7, “Univariate Distributions: One Variable, One Sample”

Chapter 8, “The Difference Between Two Means”

Chapter 9, “Comparing Many Means: One-Way Analysis of Variance”

Chapter 10, “Fitting Curves through Points: Regression”

Chapter 11, “Categorical Distributions”

Chapter 12, “Categorical Models”

Chapter 13, “Multiple Regression”

Chapter 14, “Fitting Linear Models”

Chapter 15, “Design of Experiments”

Chapter 16, “Bivariate and Multivariate Relationships”

Chapter 17, “Exploratory Modeling”

Chapter 18, “Control Charts and Capability”

B References and Data Sources

Technology License Notices

Index

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