2

Equity Capital Markets Products

The objective of this chapter is to provide a good understanding of equity capital markets products such as rights issues and accelerated book-buildings. Convertibles and mandatory convertibles are covered in Chapter 3. A second aim is to help bank professionals to understand the main products provided by the bank equity capital markets (ECM) team. The ECM team specializes in the origination and execution of equity capital markets transactions.

2.1 MAIN EQUITY CAPITAL MARKETS PRODUCTS

This section briefly describes the main equity capital markets products.

2.1.1 Capital Increase Products

In challenging economic environments even fundamentally sound companies experience capital structure pressures. Stringent covenants and operating performance challenges oblige them to raise capital. Companies are generally reluctant to issue new equity because it is notably more expensive than debt. However, from time to time companies need to raise capital to finance acquisitions, to finance further growth or to lower leverage. Capital increase products aim at placing new shares of the company with institutional and/or retail investors. There are a number of alternatives for raising equity capital, but no set rules for identifying the optimal one. The cycle in which the company is, has a large influence on the capital increase product chosen, as shown in Figure 2.1. The main capital increase products are initial public offerings, rights issues, accelerated book-buildings (ABB) and hybrid issues.

Figure 2.1 Capital increase products during a company's lifecycle.

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Pre-emptive vs. Non-pre-emptive Capital Increase

A pre-emptive capital increase is an issue of new shares with subscription rights for current shareholders. Existing shareholders remain protected from dilution risk as they have a proportional take-up right.

A non-pre-emptive capital increase is an issue of new shares without subscription rights for current shareholders. Existing shareholders are exposed to dilution.

2.1.2 Secondary Placement Products

Core shareholders sometimes need to sell their investment in a company. In these transactions the company does not receive the proceeds of the placement. Two of the main secondary placement products are IPOs and ABBs. In an IPO, shares of a previously unlisted company are offered to stock market investors. After the IPO the company shares publicly trade on the stock market. Typically the sellers into an IPO are the company founders and/or private equity firms looking to cash in their original investment. In an ABB, shareholders holding a significant block of shares sell it to investors in a quick placement transaction.

2.1.3 Equity-linked Products

Sometimes companies want to monetize their stake in other companies without selling the stake issuing equity-linked products, such as mandatory exchangeable and exchangeable bonds. If the company issues equity-linked products, the instruments are called mandatory convertible and convertible bonds. Equity-linked instruments are covered in Chapter 3.

2.2 INITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS

2.2.1 Product Description

Initial public offerings (IPOs) are a product for privately owned companies aiming to list their shares on a public stock market (i.e., in an exchange). In an IPO, new and/or existing shares are offered to institutional investors, retail investors and to the company's employees. A listing enables the company to attract capital and realize its growth ambitions, while providing liquidity for its shareholders. For example, a private equity firm may have acquired a company via a leveraged buy-out (LBO). After years of partially repaying the debt, the private equity firm may decide to crystallize its investment by going public. Another example would be a private company's founders selling to the market part of their holdings to diversify their wealth. A third example would be a company selling new shares to fund its expansion plans. A final example would be a holding entity selling to the market part of its privately owned subsidiary to finance expansion plan requirements. IPOs provide investors the opportunity to diversify and invest in a company that was previously unavailable to them. The IPO process is also called a “going public” process.

Generally, the sale of shares in an IPO uses one of the following methods to establish an offer price and to allocate the offered shares:

  • In a book-building process, also called the “traditional” method, the offer price is decided by the participating banks in conjunction with the offeror (i.e., the seller of the shares) based on the interest from institutional investors and the expected behavior of the shares once the trading for these shares starts. The allotment of the offered shares among the institutional investors is at the discretion of the participating banks based on multiple factors. Therefore, once the offer price is set, investors who bid at least that price may not be awarded shares in the offering.
  • In a Dutch auction process, the offer price and the allotment of shares are determined automatically. The offeror sets the total number of shares being offered and sometimes a potential price range. Institutional and retail investors then submit a conditional order for the quantity of shares they wish to receive and the highest price they would be willing to pay. The offeror allocates the shares, starting with the highest bidder, until it has allocated all the shares being offered. The offer price is then set at the lowest bid it accepts. The price all awarded bidders pay is the offer price, even if they had bid higher. Therefore, once the offer price is set, investors who bid at least that price know that they are awarded shares in the offering.

Primary vs. Secondary Offerings vs. Follow-on Offering

In a primary offering, a company issues new shares. The number of shares outstanding increases. The proceeds go to the company. A follow-on offering is an issuance of stock subsequent to a company's IPO.

In a secondary offering, some shareholders offer existing listed shares. The proceeds go to the selling shareholders, not to the company. The number of shares outstanding does not change.

Some IPOs combine a primary offering and a secondary offering. For example, Google's IPO included both a sell-down by existing shareholders and a capital-raising by the company.

2.2.2 Benefits of Going Public

Going public can bring many benefits for a company, for example:

1. An easier future access of the company to the debt and equity markets through future new issues of convertible debt and equity.

2. A potential future use of stock as currency for expansion, facilitating acquisitions.

3. A possibility of better attracting and motivating key employees by offering them stock or stock options.

4. A lead to more disciplined management practices.

5. An adherence to corporate governance rules.

6. An increase of the company awareness and prestige in the market.

2.2.3 Drawbacks of Going Public

Going public also has drawbacks, for example:

1. The potential short-term focus of management decisions aimed at meeting or exceeding quarterly market expectations.

2. Access to the company's information by its competitors, suppliers and customers.

3. Scrutiny by shareholders and equity research analysts.

4. Vulnerability to hostile takeovers.

5. The increase in administrative expenses incurred as a result of the additional reporting requirements to the regulators and the market.

2.2.4 The IPO Process

Going public through an IPO is a unique and challenging process. The process of taking a company public takes between three and five months, during which a considerable amount of management time and attention is required. The IPO process is a complex situation for the company's organization, involving many parties and requiring rigorous time management. The IPO process can be divided into four phases, as shown in Figure 2.2.

Figure 2.2 Phases of the IPO process.

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The process starts with the preparation of the company for the IPO. The second phase entails the preparation of the offering to be marketed. In a third phase the offering is marketed to institutional and retail investors. In a final phase the offering is placed with the new shareholders.

In order to gain a comprehensive picture of the mechanics of an IPO, each of the main tasks in each phase is covered in detail next, in chronological order. However, it is important to understand that several of the tasks involved need to be implemented concurrently.

2.2.5 Phase 1: Preparation of the Company

After probably years of internal debating, the private company's shareholders finally make the decision to take the company public. In a first phase the company needs to take the steps to get it ready to launch the IPO. The steps to be followed in this stage are typically:

1. The company's board of directors approve the IPO.

2. The company/selling shareholders appoint the global coordinators, the legal advisors, the communication agency, the printers and the roadshow consultants. Also the company auditors are brought in to work on the offering. The global coordinators are selected according to their strength in certain areas, as shown in Figure 2.3. In large IPOs, the company/selling shareholders appoint also a “financial advisor” that advises on the offering. It is common that the financial adviser becomes one of the global coordinators. The fees taken from acting as a global coordinator are often used to subsidize being undertaken as a financial advisor. The table below outlines the main tasks of the other advisors:

Advisor Main tasks
Offeror's legal counsel Advice from a legal perspective on the overall structuring of the transaction
Draft offering documentation
Due diligence and legal opinion process
Review underwriting and lock-up agreements
Underwriters’ legal counsel Advice from a legal perspective on the overall structuring of the transaction
Review offering documentation
Due diligence and legal opinion process
Draft underwriting and lock-up agreements
Auditors Accounting due diligence
Review of the financial information included in the offering documents
Provide comfort letter to offeror/underwriters
Communication agency Design of communications plan
Advertising campaign planning and execution
Printers Printing and publishing services including distribution of documentation
Roadshow consultants Organization of roadshow logistics

3. The advisors review the corporate organization to fit it with listed companies. The company, with the help of the legal advisors, adapts its legal status, shareholder agreements and company bylaws to meet the regulatory and legal requirements of listed companies. The auditors review the financial accounts to identify potential issues for the offering documents. Also the auditors check that accounting systems are in place for ongoing post-IPO quarterly reporting.

4. The global coordinators propose a preliminary size of the offering based on their expectation of demand and their estimates of a free float necessary to generate adequate aftermarket liquidity.

Figure 2.3 Selection of global coordinators.

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2.2.6 Phase 2: Preparation of the Offering

In a second stage, different groups are established to prepare all the elements that will be used later in the marketing stage. The steps to be followed are typically:

1. The project structure is established by the global coordinators and the company/selling shareholders. The project is split into different working groups, each taking care of a specific part of the project. Each group is responsible for specific tasks. Typically, seven working groups are defined, as illustrated in Figure 2.4. The working groups are interdependent, as at times a working group will require input from other working groups. The project is headed by the project coordination group and supervised by the steering committee.

2. The preliminary offering structure is devised by the transaction structure group. This is a preliminary formulation. The final structure would be set after the pre-marketing stage. The main issues to be addressed are:

  • The total size of the IPO and its corresponding free float. The size should generate sufficient interest from investors, encourage coverage by equity research analysts post-IPO, and provide liquidity. The size of the offering has an effect on the offer price. In a small issue the offer price achieved may be low as investors become reluctant to participate and research coverage would be limited. In too large an issue, the offer price achieved may be low as investors become reluctant to participate due to a potential overhang of selling orders post-IPO. There is an intermediate zone in which the offer price is optimal, as depicted in Figure 2.5.
  • The size of the institutional tranche.
  • The size of the retail tranche. Retail investors act as a “safety net” as they are less sensitive to the offer price. The potential drawbacks to the inclusion of a retail tranche are: (i) if retail demand is insufficient, the size of the retail tranche cannot be reduced once the underwriting agreement has been signed, reducing the flexibility of the tranches; (ii) it requires a separate marketing documentation and the market regulator may require additional information; and (iii) a retail marketing campaign is required, increasing the transaction costs.
  • The stock exchanges in which the shares will be listed.
  • The fee structure.
  • The lock-up agreements with the company, major shareholders and directors.

Figure 2.4 Project structure.

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Figure 2.5 Offer price as a function of the offer size.

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The Fee Structure

The syndicate members’ remuneration is based on fees. Each IPO is likely to have a different fee structure. The objective of the fee structure is to give each syndicate participant a moderate fixed stake in the transaction, leaving most of their potential compensation in the form of upside that they can only earn if they perform well in generating orders. By way of an example, let's use the following fee structure:

Percentage of offer size Percentage of total fees
Management fee, divided into: 0.55% 20%
 Global coordinators/bookrunners praecipium 50%
 Management fee 50%
Underwriting fee 0.55% 20%
Sales commission, divided into: 1.65% 60%
 Institutional placement 90%
 Retail placement 10%
Total 2.75% 100%

The total level of fees is called the “gross spread”. In this IPO, the gross spread amounted to 2.75% of the offering value. The gross spread was divided into:

  • A management fee. This is a fee received for managing the transaction. In our example, the management fee represents 0.55% of the offering value, or 20% of the gross spread. In this example, half of the management fee is established as praecipium, equally divided among the global coordinators/bookrunners, and half as management fee, divided among lead/co-managers pro-rata to their underwriting commitments
  • An underwriting fee. This is a fee received for bearing the risk of underwriting and the cost of aftermarket stabilization. This fee is divided among the underwriters, pro-rata to their underwriting commitments. In our example the underwriting fee represents 0.55% of the offering value, or 20% of the gross spread.
  • A selling commission, also called “selling concession”. This fee compensates and motivates the selling forces of the syndicate banks for their selling effort. In our example the selling commission represents 1.65% of the offering value, or 60% of the gross spread. The selling commission is divided between the banks placing the institutional tranche (90% of the commission, in our example) and the banks placing the retail tranche (10% of the commission, in our example). The selling commission to the banks placing the institutional tranche is allocated among the banks on the basis of designations, by orders directed to be allocated. In other words, each allocated institutional investor designates the sales commission to their manager of choice based on their assessment of the quality of service offered by each bank. This arrangement provides a direct correlation between marketing effort and compensation, motivating the syndicate banks to use their full resources in the marketing effort. This compensation is usually capped to the global coordinators/bookrunners to provide added incentive to the rest of the syndicate banks.

Sometimes, in addition to the gross spread, there is an incentive fee. It tries to incentive participating banks to perform. This fee is payable at the sole discretion of the company/selling shareholders. The incentive fee is usually a small part of the overall fees, commonly less than 0.5% of the offering size. Although in most IPOs the incentive fee is available to all the banks of the syndicate group, in some IPOs only the global coordinators/bookrunners are entitled to receive it. Even though the payment of the incentive fee is discretionary, it is typically paid if some pre-agreed objectives are met, for example:

  • The overall success of the IPO.
  • The offer price being within a specific range.
  • The conclusion of the IPO before a specific deadline.
  • The selling effort of the banks.
  • And/or, the reception of the IPO in the market.

3. The offering timetable is defined. The timetable states the start and end dates of each key task of the IPO.

4. A due diligence of the company is performed. All business lines and management of the company are analyzed in order to detect potential risks for investors. The due diligence is performed in three main areas: business, legal and accounting/financial. There is a special focus on certain issues, such as key contracts with customers and suppliers, labour contracts, environmental litigation and related party transactions. The due diligence process is led by the underwriters’ legal counsel with a full collaboration from the company, its legal counsel, the legal counsel of the selling shareholders and the company auditors. The due diligence is crucial to value the company and to build up the equity story. It is important that all material aspects are disclosed to investors in the “risk factors” section of the prospectus to avoid potential demands and litigation from investors in the IPO.

5. A theoretical valuation of the company is estimated, which will be used as the basis for deciding the price range included in the analyst presentation. The valuation is provided by the valuation working group. The valuation is prepared in accordance with more than one methodology and takes into account other factors such as trends, expected demand and research analysts’ views, as shown in Figure 2.6. The valuation is a recommendation of fair price, not a fairness opinion.

6. Legal documentation, both domestic and international.

7. Selection of syndicate and underwriters.

Figure 2.6 Inputs to a company valuation.

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Selection of Syndicate and Underwriters

The placement syndicate is the group of banks that will be responsible for marketing and selling the offer to institutional and retail investors. Most of the banks participating in the syndicate also underwrite the deal. The company/selling shareholders enter into an underwriting agreement with the underwriters. Subject to the terms and conditions of the underwriting agreement, the company/selling shareholders agree to sell to the underwriters, and each underwriter severally agrees to purchase, all the shares being offered at a price equal to the offering price less the fees. The underwriting agreement also provides that if any underwriter defaults, the purchase commitments of the non-defaulting underwriters may also be increased or the offering may be terminated.

A successful execution requires a perfect coordination between all the banks syndicating the deal. The roles of the banks participating in an offering are grouped into different tiers depending on their degree of responsibility in placing the offering. The main groups in an offering are the following (see Figure 2.7):

Figure 2.7 Syndicate structure.

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  • The global coordinators are the banks that run the deal. A large deal is usually placed in several countries. They are responsible for overseeing the entire offering and coordinating the underwriting and placing activities of the rest of the banks participating in the offering. They assist with the preparation of the offering, provide the most significant research publication, arrange the pre-marketing schedule and provide advice on the price range for publication in the prospectus. The global coordinators arrange and coordinate presentations, conference calls and one-on-one meetings during the offering with key institutional accounts to facilitate the success of the transaction. The global coordinators lead the syndicate group and contribute most orders. They provide continuous feedback to the company on institutional investors’ attitude towards the offering. They also conduct the post-IPO stabilization.
  • The joint bookrunners are the banks that have a secondary but also a key role in the offering, taking a significant underwriting commitment. They participate, with the global coordinators, in the pre-marketing, book-building (the joint bookrunners provide a substantial amount of orders), pricing and allocation of the offering. The joint bookrunners also publish equity research. The global coordinators and the joint bookrunners syndicate a part of the offering with other banks to lower their risk. Typically the selection of the bookrunners is based on the following criteria:

    i. Their relevant underwriting experience, including their presence in relevant offerings in the industry, their valuation record, their number of sales professionals, geographical location and ranking, and their number of participations in large offerings.

    ii. Their trading and distribution capacity, including the volume of trading of other stocks and their trading market share of industry peers.

    iii. Their ability to act as bookrunner, including their previous experience as bookrunner and their reputation to work well with other banks.

    iv. Their relationship with the company and relevant shareholders.

    v. Their relationship with the global coordinators.

    vi. The quality of their research, including the size of their research team, their ranking in research and their industry knowledge.

  • The joint co-bookrunners and the joint lead managers have a middle tier role. They are usually a few banks. They are invited into the process after the preparation phase is finished. They have some influence in the syndicate and may contribute some orders. Usually, these are banks with a strong presence in specific countries and are chosen to enhance the distribution of the offering in those countries. They participate in the roadshow and usually publish equity research.
  • The co-lead managers and the co-managers have a junior role in the offering. They are appointed to take some underwriting risk. They have limited influence in the offering decisions. Frequently, no distribution is expected from these banks. The co-lead managers and the co-managers focus on generating niche orders, possibly from smaller institutional investors.
  • The sub-underwriters are commonly not part of the syndicate. They are appointed after the deal is launched to share underwriting risk.

The number of banks in a syndicate depends on the size of the offering and whether it includes a retail tranche. For large IPOs a typical syndicate structure includes:

  • Two to three global coordinators.
  • Between two and six joint bookrunners.
  • Around three joint co-bookrunners/co-lead managers.
  • A substantial number of co-lead managers/co-managers.

2.2.7 Phase 3: Marketing of the Offering

1. The analyst presentation is prepared and pitched to equity research analysts. The analyst presentation takes place several weeks prior to the pre-marketing. Each attendee must sign a confidentiality agreement as price-sensitive information is disclosed. The analyst presentation is the first public communication of the offering. It is a base document for equity analysts to write their pre-deal research reports. All the information included in the analyst presentation must be included in the prospectus. Commonly, four key topics are covered in the presentation. Firstly, an overview of the transaction is included. Secondly, the equity story is presented. Thirdly, an overview of the business is provided. Finally, an overview of the financial statements is provided. The most important part is the equity story. The equity story must simultaneously convey a “true message” of the company and make that image attractive to investors. The equity story:

  • Emphasizes the main selling points of the company in order to center investor focus.
  • Communicates the company's main strategic business lines.
  • Identifies the company strengths and sector appeal. It stresses future growth areas without placing attention on past events or excessively technical issues. It emphasizes recent contracts awarded and new products developed.
  • Identifies problematic areas for competitors in the past, preparing preventive responses.
  • Stresses the company's financial strategy, apart from the operating and main targets. Especially relevant are the dividend policy and the target capital structure.

2. The analysts produce the pre-deal research reports based on the analyst presentation right after this presentation takes place. Then the pre-deal research reports are reviewed and published. A limited number of copies are distributed to qualified investors. A blackout period commences upon publication of the pre-deal research reports and lasts until a specific number of business days, typically 40, after completion of the offer.

3. A preliminary price range for pre-marketing is set based on analyst consensus. Its aim is to check the appetite of investors intervening in the pre-marketing process.

Marketing to Investors

The marketing to institutional investors is a three-stage process, as highlighted in Figure 2.8. Firstly, a few selected investors are approached in what is called the pre-marketing stage. Secondly, all the targeted institutional investors are marketed in a roadshow. Finally, investors are approached during the book-building period to take their bids.

Figure 2.8 Milestones of the marketing strategy to institutional investors.

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Retail investors are accessed through publicity campaigns and directly by the retail branches of their banks.

4. If the offering is originated outside the USA, a pre-marketing of the offering is executed. In the USA, pre-marketing of an offering is not allowed before its prospectus is approved by the regulator (the SEC). Outside the USA, a pre-marketing of the offering and an investor education takes place before the prospectus is produced. Pre-marketing is an important part of the offering. It can be particularly valuable for the flotation of companies where it is hard to judge investor appetite and for issuers that do not want to go below a particular price level. Commonly, pre-marketing falls into two categories called “pilot fishing” and “anchor marketing”. In a pilot fishing, a few trusted potential investors are reached by the bookrunners to gather a preliminary investor sentiment to check how the market is likely to respond to an issue. An anchor marketing consists in syndicate research analysts marketing the transaction with selected investors to collect feedback.

5. The preliminary prospectus offering price range is set, based on the pre-marketing feedback.

6. The final offering structure is determined by the company/selling shareholders in conjunction with the global coordinators/bookrunners, based on the pre-marketing feedback. It includes the final size and the likely division between the retail and the institutional tranches. The final offering structure is published in the preliminary prospectus.

7. The offering circular and a preliminary prospectus, also called “red herring”, are prepared and submitted to the regulator. Afterwards, these two documents are published, usually when the roadshow starts. The offering circular is the actual disclosure document given to investors. Every IPO legally requires a prospectus. The prospectus is the definitive sale document and must contain all material information on the company. In theory, the prospectus is the investors’ major source of information to base their investment decision regarding the offering. The contents of the prospectus are set out by the listing authorities responsible for the stock exchanges on which the stock is to be listed. A final version of the prospectus containing the final offer price will be filed later.

8. The roadshow takes place.

The Roadshow

Immediately after the publication of the preliminary prospectus, senior management of the company, representatives of the global coordinators/bookrunners and the communication agency undertake a tour of institutional investors to promote the offering. The roadshow typically takes between one and two weeks. It offers a key opportunity to management to present the equity story of the company and the investment opportunity to institutional investors. The roadshow is conducted simultaneously by two or three teams, one covering the United States, another covering Europe and sometimes a third team covering Asia. Sometimes the teams combine to pitch certain key investors. The senior management of the company has to be well prepared to answer all sorts of questions from well-informed investors. Prior to the event, investors typically have taken a careful look at the preliminary prospectus and at the analysts’ research. There are three different types of events with investors on the roadshow:

  • Group presentations allow the company to articulate its equity story to a good number, sometimes more than a hundred, of institutional investors. The presentations are generally conducted during a meal.
  • One-on-one meetings are typically held with key investors in cities throughout the continent covered. The investors invited to the meetings are capable of placing very large orders, and are expected to generate the majority of the quality orders. The one-on-one meetings are arranged with a single or a small group of portfolio managers and buyside analysts. The meetings give participating investors the opportunity to question management on key issues of concern.
  • Conference calls are conducted on an as-needed basis with selected investors who cannot attend the group presentations and one-on-one meetings. They can be organized as group calls as well as one-on-one calls.

9. The book-building of the institutional tranche takes place during a period called the “offer period” or “book-building period”. The offer period is the limited time during which investors can bid for shares. The offer period starts on the same day as the roadshow and typically lasts around three weeks. There might be two offer periods, one for the institutional investors and another for the retail investors. During the offer period, the placing syndicate solicits non-binding indications of interest from institutional investors. Such indications consist of a number of shares each institutional investor is interested in acquiring at various price levels. Sometimes investors provide a number of shares and the maximum price (i.e., a limit price) they are willing to pay for the shares. The indications are generally modest in the first week of the roadshow, with the largest number of orders coming in the two days prior to the end of the offer period. At the end of the book-building period the demand from all institutional investors is aggregated into a single book managed by the global bookrunners.

10. Retail offering. Retail buy orders are received by the banks participating in the retail offering.

2.2.8 Phase 4: Placement of the Offering

1. The offer price is set after the book-building process is finished and demand exceeds supply. Remember that the offer price has been fine-tuned during the whole process, as shown in Figure 2.9. During the preparation for the offering, a broad “theoretical” price range was set. In the case of non-US companies a preliminary range for the pre-marketing is set, based on the consensus pricing in the analysts’ pre-deal research, to check the preliminary appetite of investors. After the feedback is received from key investors, the price range, also called the “red herring”, that will be included in the preliminary prospectus is established. Lastly, after the book-building process is finalized, the final offering price is set. The offering price is not set according to any explicit rule, but rather based on the syndicate's interpretation of investors’ indications of interest during the offer period and their perception on the likely aftermarket performance. The global coordinators/bookrunners generally establish the price at a level at which demand exceeds the number of shares offered. The goals are to optimize response to the domestic and international demands, and at the same time, create a “healthy” aftermarket.

Figure 2.9 Offering price evolution.

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2. The final version of the prospectus is filed with the regulator, published and distributed to the investors. This final prospectus includes the offer price.

3. The allocation of the shares to the institutional bidders and to the retail investors takes place. The allocation is performed at the syndicate's discretion.

Allocation Mechanics

Once the offer price has been set, the shares have to be allocated to the institutional and retail investors. Sometimes the shares allocated to institutional and retail are not matched by their respective demands, making it necessary to allocate shares from one tranche to the other. A placing lower than the total demand stimulates negotiation in the secondary market. Normally, not all institutional investors’ bids are treated equally. Instead, institutional investors’ allocations are based on a couple of factors aimed at ensuring healthy aftermarket share behavior.

The first factor is the investor's profile. This includes analyzing, among others, the following information regarding the investor:

  • Sector/country investment history.
  • IPO investment history (the allocation would try to avoid speculative investors and to benefit long-term investors).
  • Frequency of participation in other IPOs.
  • Size of indication of interest.
  • Interest shown at roadshow events.
  • Willingness to buy in the secondary market.

The second factor is the investor's order profile. This includes analyzing, among others, the following information regarding each order:

  • Bid price.
  • Size of the order.
  • Price sensitivity (the allocation would favor less price-sensitive investors).
  • Timing of indication of interest (the allocation would favor earlier investors).

The retail investors’ allocation policy is usually an automatic process once the number of shares to be allocated to retail investors has been decided.

4. The stock starts trading in what is called the “aftermarket” trading. The global coordinators/bookrunners stabilize the share price and decide whether to exercise the greenshoe. The global coordinators/bookrunners are allowed to stabilize the share price within a period of commonly 30 days from the first day of trading, following specific rules set by the regulator. The global coordinators/bookrunners ensure liquidity in the market and support the share price in the event of technical weakness. As a result, the global coordinators/bookrunners commit capital in order to make a market in the stock.

Greenshoe or Overallotment Option

The “greenshoe” or “overallotment” option is used to create aftermarket support for the shares. It is usually a 30-day option granted after the listing to the global coordinators/ bookrunners to purchase additional shares from the company/selling shareholders at the offer price. The greenshoe typically represents 10–15% of the offer size.

The greenshoe allows the global coordinators/bookrunners to create a protected “short” position, which will enhance the aftermarket support of the shares. During the allocation process, the global coordinators/bookrunners often allocate more than 100% of the shares offered, creating a short position. This short position is covered by the greenshoe option. Figure 2.10 summarizes the decision-making process followed by the banks as holders of the greenshoe option, assuming an option representing 15% of the offering.

  • If the global coordinators/bookrunners expect aftermarket demand for the stock to be strong, they will typically allocate 115% of the issue, with the expectation that they will exercise the greenshoe option. If they are right (i.e., the stock price has a strong performance in the aftermarket), the banks will buy the shares from the company/selling shareholders through the greenshoe. The bought shares will, in turn, be delivered to the overallocated investors. As a result, the company/selling shareholders raise 15% additional proceeds.
  • If the global coordinators/bookrunners expect aftermarket demand to be weak, they will try to allocate more than 115% of the issue. The shares exceeding the greenshoe option represent a “naked short” position in the stock, entirely at the risk of the global coordinators/bookrunners. If they are right (i.e., the stock price has a weak performance in the aftermarket), the banks will not exercise the greenshoe option, buying the shares directly in the market instead. The bought shares will, in turn, be delivered to the over-allocated investors. This buying provides support to the stock price. The company/selling shareholders do not raise additional proceeds.

Figure 2.10 Strategy related to the greenshoe option.

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5. The equity analysts of the global coordinators/bookrunners initiate research of the company 40 days after the offering and maintain ongoing coverage.

Lock-up Period

In most IPOs there is a lock-up period for the company, selling shareholders and key management. This period usually lasts between 4 and 12 months, starting immediately after the offering.

The Investor Relations Team

After the IPO, the company will need to proactively market the company to investors. The investor relations team is the link between the investors and the company. The main aim of the team is to allow the company to present its story to the market on a frequent and consistent basis. The team responds to queries from institutional and individual investors who own the company's shares. The team is also in charge of submitting periodic financial information to the regulators and main information agencies. In addition, the investor relations team organizes marketing events to keep analysts and investors abreast of corporate events. These events are mainly quarterly earnings conference calls, results roadshows and one-on-one meetings with key investors. In addition, the investor relations team keeps the company's top managers abreast of market developments, breaking news, trading activity, movements of the stock price, and investors’ concerns and recommendations. The team is very small, commonly less than ten professionals. The head of the team should have direct access to the company's top management.

2.2.9 Key Success Factors Affecting an IPO

1. Choose the correct timing. Identify a window of opportunity:

  • Sector in favor with investors.
  • IPO market robust.
  • Stock market rallying.
  • Funds flowing into the equity market.
  • Country in favor with investors.

2. Choose the appropriate offering structure to access the market successfully while achieving the company's objectives:

  • Appropriate issue size.
  • Attractive offer price.
  • List only in value-added exchanges.

3. Choose capable banks and advisors:

  • Choose global coordinators/bookrunners based upon their distribution/research capabilities.
  • Select advisors with a proven track record in IPOs.

4. Execute a successful marketing strategy:

  • Differentiate the company from competitors.
  • Reinforce the leading characteristics of the company.
  • Ensure high-quality research in conjunction with highly regarded industry research.
  • Provide focused pre-deal research and intensive pre-marketing.
  • Prepare management thoroughly for the roadshow.
  • Access the most appropriate stable shareholder base.
  • Tailor marketing program to investor targeting strategy.

5. Implement a well-supported aftermarket performance:

  • Favor long-term investors in the allocation process.
  • Choose stabilization banks based upon aftermarket activity/perception.
  • Provide strong stabilization and aftermarket trading support.

2.2.10 Key Risk Factors Affecting an IPO

The following table summarizes the main challenges faced by an IPO and how to overcome them:

Unnumbered Table

Unnumbered Table

2.2.11 Case Study: Visa's IPO

As an example, let us review one of the largest IPOs in US history. In 2008, during difficult market conditions, Visa Inc. aimed to list on the New York Stock Exchange in a landmark offering to global investors. Visa Inc. operated the world's largest retail electronic payments network in the world. It had the largest number of branded credit and debit cards in circulation. Visa facilitated global commerce through the transfer of value and information among financial institutions, merchants, consumers, businesses and government entities. Visa provided financial institutions, its primary customers, with product platforms encompassing consumer credit, debit, prepaid and commercial payments. VisaNet, its secure, centralized, global processing platform, enabled Visa to provide financial institutions and merchants with a wide range of product platforms, transaction processing and related value-added services.

On 11 October 2006, Visa announced that some of its businesses would be merged and become a publicly traded company. Under the IPO restructuring, Visa Canada, Visa International and Visa USA were merged into the new public company, Visa Inc. Visa's Western Europe operation became a separate company, owned by its member banks that will also have a minority stake in Visa Inc.

On 3 October 2007, Visa completed its corporate restructuring with the formation of Visa Inc. The new company was the first step towards Visa's IPO. The second step came on 9 November 2007, when the new Visa Inc. submitted its USD 10 billion IPO filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission and publicly announced the deal. JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs acted as global coordinators. The principal shareholders of Visa Inc. prior to the IPO were:

  • JP Morgan Chase: 23.3%
  • Visa Europe: 19.6%
  • Bank of America: 11.5%
  • National City: 8.0%
  • Citigroup: 5.5%
  • US Bancorp: 5.1%
  • Wells Fargo: 5.1%

On 25 February 2008, Visa announced it would go ahead with the IPO. Besides the two global coordinators, another six banks were selected to participate in the deal as bookrunners. The law firm Davis Polk & Wardwell served as counsel to the underwriters, while the law firm White & Case LLP served as counsel to Visa Inc. The accounting/financial advisor was the company auditor, KPMG. The underwriters had a 30-day greenshoe option to purchase up to 40.6 million additional shares, 10% of the initial offering size, to cover any overallotments.

In total, 45 investment banks were selected to participate in the deal in several capacities, most notably as underwriters. The eight global coordinators/bookrunners underwrote 85.7% of the offering. Thus, only 14.3% of the offering was underwritten by the remaining 37 banks. The following table summarizes the underwriting commitments by the global coordinators/bookrunners:

Bank Underwriting commitment (shares) Percentage of total
Goldman Sachs 102.7 million 25.3%
JP Morgan 102.7 million 25.3%
UBS 30.4 million 7.5%
Bank of America 27.9 million 6.9%
Wachovia 26.3 million 6.5%
Citigroup 20.1 million 5.0%
HSBC 18.6 million 4.6%
Merrill Lynch 18.6 million 4.6%
Total 347.3 million 85.7%

The IPO roadshow comprised three teams traveling across three continents to visit 10 countries and 24 cities. There were 36 group investor meetings across the United States, Europe, the Middle East and Asia for a total of over 1,700 investors.

On 18 March 2008 the IPO took place. Visa sold 406 million shares at USD 44 per share (USD 2 above the high end of the expected USD 37–42 pricing range), raising USD 17.9 billion before fees in the largest initial public offering in US history at that time. The gross spread amounted to 2.80% of the deal value. The following table summarizes the main data of Visa Inc.'s IPO:

Visa Inc. IPO – Main Terms
Common stock offered 406,000,000 shares of class A common stock
Greenshoe 40,600,000 shares (10% of the initial offering size)
Global coordinators/ bookrunners Global coordinators/bookrunners: JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs
Rest of bookrunners: Bank of America, Citigroup, HSBC, Merrill Lynch, UBS and Wachovia Securities
Total banks in syndicate 45 banks (8 bookrunners, 15 lead managers and 22 co-managers)
Counsel to the underwriters Davis Polk & Wardwell
Counsel to the offeror White & Case LLP
Initial price range USD 37–42 (midpoint USD 39.50)
Offer price USD 44.00
Deal value (excl. greenshoe) USD 17,864,000,000
Deal value (incl. greenshoe) USD 19,650,400,000
Disclosed gross spread 2.80% of deal value (45% selling concession, 27.5% management fees and 27.5% underwriting fees), or USD 550.2 million (including greenshoe)
Total proceeds after fees USD
Trade date 19 March 2008

On 20 March 2008, the IPO underwriters exercised their overallotment option, purchasing an additional 40.6 million shares, bringing Visa's total IPO share count to 446.6 million, and bringing the total proceeds to USD 19.7 billion, before fees. The gross spread totaled USD 550.2 million, or 2.80% of the deal value. The offerors also incurred other expenses, including registration, filing and listing fees, printing fees and legal and accounting expenses, totaling USD 45.5 million.

The shares began trading on 19 March 2008 on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “V”. At the opening, the shares were trading at USD 59.50, 35% higher than the offering price. The delivery of the shares took place on 25 March 2008. There was a 180-day lock-up provision, expiring on 14 September 2008. Figure 2.11 summarizes the deal main dates.

Figure 2.11 Visa Inc.'s IPO deal dates.

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2.3 CASE STUDY: GOOGLE'S DUTCH AUCTION IPO

In the previous section, a real example of a book-building method IPO was covered. In this section, a real example of a Dutch auction method IPO is covered. Few companies have chosen this method to go public.

Unlike the standard method, whereby offer prices are set by the global coordinators/bookrunners using a negotiated book-building process, in a Dutch auction method the offer price is set automatically based on the bids received. The Dutch method got its name from the famous Dutch tulip bulb mania that occurred in the Netherlands in the 17th century. In a Dutch auction process, the offeror (i.e., the seller of the shares) sets the total number of shares being offered and sometimes a potential price range. Investors then submit a conditional order for the quantity of shares they wish to receive and the highest price they are willing to pay. The offeror allocates the shares, starting with the highest bidder, until it has allocated all the shares being offered. The offer price is then set at the lowest bid it accepts. Therefore, the price all awarded bidders pay is the offer price, even if they had bid higher. If there are more bids than shares available, allotment is on a pro-rata basis among the bidders with smaller bids. As a result, once the offer price is set, investors who bid at least that price know that they are awarded shares in the offering.

The Dutch auction process was employed by Google to price and distribute its IPO. Critics charge that, in two respects, it was not a pure Dutch auction. First, after the bidding started, Google reduced the total number of shares being offered and also reduced the target offer price range to USD 85–95 from USD 108–135. Second, Dutch auctions are supposed to have a fixed number of shares and Google cut the size of the offering by 24%, giving successful bidders only 76% of the shares they requested. The following table summarizes the main data of Google's IPO (see also Figure 2.12):

Google IPO – Main Terms
Common stock offered 19,605,053 shares of common stock
Greenshoe 2,940,758 shares (15% of the initial offering size)
Deal shares (incl. greenshoe) 22,545,811
Lead managers Credit Suisse and Morgan Stanley
Total banks in syndicate 10 banks (2 lead managers and 8 co-managers)
Counsel to the underwriters Simpson Thatcher & Bartlett
Counsel to the offeror Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati
Auditor Ernst & Young
Initial price range USD 108–135. Changed later to USD 85–95
Offer price USD 85.00
Deal value (excl. greenshoe) USD 1,666,429,505
Deal value (incl. greenshoe) USD 1,916,393,935
Disclosed gross spread 2.80% of deal value (0% selling concession, 70% management fees and 30% underwriting fees), or USD 53.7 million (including greenshoe)
Total proceeds after fees USD 1,862.7 million
Trade date 19 August 2004

Figure 2.12 Google's IPO deal dates.

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The initial target price range given by Google was USD 108–135. Based on the weak demand from investors, Google's target price range was changed to USD 85–95. At the end, Google set the offering price to USD 85, the lower price of the range, in the face of a deteriorating stock market and the skepticism from institutional investors.

On 20 August 2004, the underwriters exercised their greenshoe, acquiring an additional 2.9 million shares. As a result, the offerors raised USD 1.86 billion after paying a gross spread of 2.80% of the deal.

The underwriting commitment of the syndicate is shown in the following table:

Bank Underwriting commitment (shares) Percentage of total
Credit Suisse 7.1 million 36.2%
Morgan Stanley 7.1 million 36.2%
Goldman Sachs 1.2 million 6.1%
Allen & Co. 1.1 million 5.6%
Lehman Brothers 1.0 million 5.1%
Citigroup 0.8 million 4.1%
JP Morgan 0.5 million 2.6%
UBS 0.4 million 2.0%
WR Hambrecht 0.3 million 1.5%
Thomas Weisel 0.1 million 0.5%
Total 19.6 million 100%

A Dutch auction has several advantages over a book-building IPO:

  • The offer price and the allotment of shares are established in a transparent way.
  • It enables retail investors to participate in the pricing of the offering.
  • It enables retail investors to have the same chance of buying shares as institutional investors.
  • It is in theory cheaper. Lower fees are paid to the participating banks as their role is smaller. However, if we compare the gross spread paid to Visa Inc.'s IPO with the gross spread of Google's IPO we can see that they were similar.
  • In theory, it reduces the volatility of the stock price in the aftermarket. The price is in theory a mechanism that results in an efficient price that perfectly equates supply and demand.

But also, a Dutch auction has several disadvantages over a book-building IPO:

  • The outcome is more uncertain. The absence of a pre-marketing to key institutional investors to assess demand results in a much less precise preliminary price range. If demand is not there, it is discovered during the auction period, obliging the offeror to reduce the offering size late in the process. Even though Google's IPO generated great investor awareness due to its global name recognition, the offeror was forced to lower the price range due to a lack of demand at the original price range.
  • Institutional investors may be less willing to invest due to the potentially less rigorous research efforts by the participating banks. Institutional investors may also become skeptical of companies using this process.
  • Banks with outstanding IPO placement capabilities may be reluctant to participate due to their potentially minimized role in a Dutch auction IPO and their diminished control over the process.
  • Participating banks may be less willing to allocate research and sales resources to an IPO in which their role is less relevant.
  • The offer may be mispriced. The primary focus in Dutch auction IPOs is the retail investors. These investors may often lack the ability to set a bid price based on the stock's fundamentals, rather than purely on familiarity or general name recognition. Many academics argue that Google's Dutch auction method resulted in a mispriced offering because the offer price was USD 85 and it opened at USD 100, reflecting a 17.6% increase. This increase was substantially larger than similar IPOs executed in 2004. I disagree with such a conclusion, as Google name recognition was notably stronger than their peers. As we saw in the previous section, Visa Inc.'s IPO used the traditional book-building method and its shares opened 35% higher than the offering price. It is impossible to estimate what would have been the increase at the opening were a Dutch auction process to have been followed by Visa Inc.

2.4 RIGHTS ISSUES (OR RIGHTS OFFERINGS)

Product Description

A rights issue, also known as a rights offering, is the most common way to increase ordinary capital. A rights offering is a method for a listed company to raise additional funds, not by increasing debt, but by asking shareholders to invest more in the company. In a rights issue, existing shareholders are given the right to subscribe for a specific number of new shares in proportion to their existing shareholdings, at a specified price during a specified period.

Typically, once the company decides to launch a rights issue, a roadshow is organized in which the company's top management presents the objective and the general terms of the issue. Afterwards, unless the board of directors has authorization to raise capital, an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) takes place to vote on the rights issue. If the issue is approved, the company works with the placing banks to establish the final terms of the issue.

Once the final terms of the rights issue are decided, these are announced to the market. Commonly, registered shareholders at a date called the record date become qualifying shareholders, being entitled to subscribe for the rights issue. As a result, at the closing of the record date each qualifying shareholder receives one subscription right for each existing share owned.

After the record date, the qualifying shareholders need to decide whether or not to exercise their rights during a period called the subscription period. The subscription rights’ holders have the following four alternatives:

1. Exercise, also known as to “take up”, the subscription rights to subscribe for new shares of the company. Holders choosing to exercise their subscription rights do so by paying the subscription price. If a shareholder chooses to exercise all his/her subscription rights, the proportion of his/her ownership of the company after the rights issue will be the same as it was before the rights issue.

2. Refrain from participating in the rights issue by selling the rights in the stock market and receive the net proceeds of the sale in cash. The price the rights holder receives for his/her rights will depend on the market price for the rights at the relevant time. Be aware that the market price for rights is different from the subscription price. If a shareholder decides to sell all his/her subscription rights, the number of shares he/she holds will stay the same but the proportion of the total number of shares that he/she holds will be lower following completion of the rights issue (i.e., his/her stakeholding in the company will be diluted).

3. Buy additional subscription rights and subscribe for more shares.

4. Do nothing by letting the subscription rights lapse (i.e., expire). This alternative does not make financial sense as it is like throwing money away. Note that the subscription rights have an economic value, especially if the stock price exceeds the subscription price. As a result, the shareholder is always better off electing alternative (2) than this alternative.

Sometimes the shareholder can apply for shares without subscription rights. New shares which are not subscribed for with subscription rights can be offered to investors. Applications to subscribe for new shares without subscription rights can be submitted by any investor. Commonly, shareholders who have subscribed for shares by virtue of subscription rights are prioritized in the allocation of these new shares. The shareholder is however not guaranteed allocation of new shares.

The company pays underwriting and advisory fees to the placing and underwriting banks. The fees are a function, among other things, of the discount, the size of the issue, the duration of the underwriting and the volatility of the stock.

2.4.2 Main Definitions of a Rights Issue

Cum-rights price is the closing price of the stock on the record date.

Ex-rights date, also known as the “ex-date”, is the first day the stock trades without the right to receive the subscription rights. It is the trading day immediately following the record date. At the market open on the ex-rights date, the stock trades “excluding the right”.

Existing shares are the shares outstanding before the rights issue.

Expiration date is the last day of the subscription period. In other words, it is the last day that the subscription rights can be exercised. After the expiration date, those rights not yet subscribed will expire worthless unless the company provides for a mechanism to sell them in the market after the expiration date.

Qualifying shareholder, also called “eligible shareholder”, means each shareholder entitled to a subscription right.

Record date is the date on which an investor has to be registered as a shareholder to be granted subscription rights. It should be noted that it takes several business days (typically three) after the acquisition of shares until the registration is effected. The registration is completed with the settlement of the shares.

Subscription period is the period during which subscription for new shares can be made by paying the subscription price. The subscription period typically begins on the ex-rights day. During the subscription period the company shareholders need to decide whether or not to exercise their subscription rights.

Subscription price, also known as the “offer price” or the “rights price”, means the price at which the new shares would be issued. In other words, the subscription price is the price at which the shareholders can purchase each new share. The subscription price is generally at a discount to the current stock price as an incentive to exercise the rights.

Subscription right is a financial instrument that entitles the holder to subscribe for a certain number of new shares at a defined subscription price.

Terms are the number of new shares that a shareholder is entitled to for each number of old shares. For example, an 11 per 20 rights issue means that each 20 existing shares entitle the holder to 11 new shares.

TERP (theoretical ex-rights price), also known as “adjusted price”, is the theoretical price of the stock on the ex-rights date.

Trade period is the period during which the subscription rights can be traded in the stock market. Commonly, the trade period coincides with the subscription period.

Underwriters are the entities, commonly banks, that guarantee a minimum amount of capital to be raised through the rights issue. Typical terms of an underwriting require the underwriters to subscribe to any subscription rights offered to, but not exercised by, shareholders.

2.4.3 Advantages and Weaknesses of a Rights Issue

A rights offering features a number of advantages:

1. It is an effective way of raising a substantial amount of new capital. For very large capital-raising efforts, a rights issue may be the only feasible alternative available.

2. All existing shareholders are invited to participate.

3. It is relatively quick to implement once the rights issue is approved by the shareholders and the relevant regulators. Typically, the subscription period takes two weeks.

4. The amount to be raised can be guaranteed. A rights issue can be fully underwritten by a syndicate of banks or otherwise guaranteed by a third party. However, even if the rights issue is fully underwritten, there is a remote risk that no new capital is raised after all. Commonly, underwriters have the right to terminate the underwriting contract if there is a material change in the circumstances of the company or in overall market conditions.

A rights offering features a number of weaknesses:

1. There is the risk of an unsuccessful rights offering if the market price of the offered shares falls below the subscription price. For this reason, rights offerings are generally conducted at a discount to the pre-offer market prices.

2. The announcement of a rights offering of this size would cause downward pressure on the stock price, and thus would increase the uncertainty mentioned in (1). To the extent that the typically negative market reaction to a stock offering causes an issue to be underpriced, such underpricing dilutes the value of current shareholders not subscribing for the new shares.

3. The issuer may have to offer a substantial number of shares in a weak market environment. For shareholders who do not exercise their rights, this may mean a substantial dilution.

4. The legal requirements can be substantial. Often a rights offering is structured as a public offering in several jurisdictions to allow as many shareholders as possible to participate in the offering. In this connection, the issuer needs to prepare a prospectus and have the same approved by the competent regulatory authorities in several countries. The time required to prepare and seek approval for a rights offering will significantly delay the issuance of new shares, not providing enough flexibility in case of unforeseen events or market disruptions. Additionally, a rights issue generally requires shareholder approval at an EGM.

5. The underwriting and advisory fees to be paid by the company to the participating banks can be substantial. The fees are a direct cost to the issuer and therefore to shareholders.

6. The sale of the rights by shareholders that decide not to exercise their subscription rights may trigger a tax liability.

2.4.4 Rights Offerings Success Factors

The main success factors of a rights offering are the following:

1. Backing by existing major shareholders. Partial backstops by major shareholders.

2. A strong case of use of proceeds.

3. Issue size in relation to market capitalization, liquidity.

4. Equity research recommendations.

2.4.5 Calculation of the TERP

The price of the existing shares automatically adjusts downwards on the ex-date to allow for the discount of the subscription price. The decrease of the stock price reflects the fact that the increased capital and reserves have been distributed over a larger number of shares. It does not represent a loss to shareholders or a cost to the company. The TERP, the theoretical ex-rights price, is the theoretical price of the stock on the ex-rights date. The TERP is calculated as follows:

Unnumbered Display Equation

where:

NE = the number of existing shares

NN = the number of new shares

PA = the stock closing price on the day immediately preceding the rights issue announcement date

PS = the subscription price

In this formula it is assumed that the new shares are entitled to any future dividend. However, sometimes the new shares are not entitled to an already declared dividend. In this case the dividend is added to the subscription price when calculating the TERP. The formula then becomes:

Unnumbered Display Equation

where:

DIV = the declared dividend per share

2.4.6 Case Study: ING's EUR 7.5 billion Rights Issue

On 26 October 2009, the Dutch bank ING announced its plans to raise EUR 7.5 billion via a rights issue. The issue was authorized by the EGM of ING shareholders on 25 November 2009. The two main decisions ING had to make before launching the rights issue were the proceeds to be raised from the issue and the discount to the TERP.

Sensitivity Analysis of the Discount to TERP

The subscription price is generally at a discount to the current stock price. The main reason is to make the offer relatively attractive to shareholders and encourage them either to exercise their rights or sell them so the share issue is “fully subscribed”. The price discount also acts as a safeguard should the market price of the company shares fall before the issue is completed. If the market share price were to fall below the rights issue price, the issue would not have much chance of being a success, since shareholders could buy the shares cheaper in the market than by exercising their subscription rights. The discount is measured comparing the subscription price with the TERP. The following table shows the discount to TERP and the number of new shares to be issued as a function of the subscription price, assuming a EUR 8.92 closing price of ING shares prior to the announcement. The subscription price determines the number of new shares to be issued. It can be seen that the lower the subscription price the larger the discount to TERP and the larger the number of new shares to be issued.

Unnumbered Table

In a rights offering, the discount is irrelevant to existing shareholders. The deeper the discount the higher the rights value will be, and a shareholder's net worth is the same, assuming they take up their rights in full. There is no economic dilution as long as the existing shareholder either subscribes for new shares or sells the subscription rights.

Final Terms of ING's Rights Issue

On 27 November 2009 existing holders of common shares of ING Groep N.V. were offered rights entitling them to subscribe for new ordinary shares with the following terms:

ING Rights Issue – Final Terms
Issuer ING Groep N.V.
Announcement date 27-November-2009
Record date 27-November-2009
Ex-date 30-November-2009
Expiration date 15-December-2009
Subscription period From, and including, the ex-date to, and including, the expiration date
Trading period Same as the subscription period
Subscription price EUR 4.24
Cum-rights price EUR 8.53
Stock price on the day prior to the announcement EUR 8.92
Existing number of shares 2,063,147,968
Terms 6 per 7
Total shares offered 1,768,412,544
Amount to be raised EUR 7,498.069 million
Adjustment factor 0.767878
Rank Pari passu
Global coordinators and bookrunners Goldman Sachs, ING Bank and JP Morgan
Underwriting Fully underwritten by Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan and a group of other banks

The rights issue was a 6 for 7 rights issue of 1,768,412,544 new shares at an issue price of EUR 4.24 (the subscription price) through the granting of subscription rights to ING shareholders pro rata to their shareholdings. Each share held at the closing of 27 November 2009 (the record date) entitled its holder to one subscription right. Eligible rights holders could subscribe for 6 new shares for every 7 subscription rights that they held. The subscription rights could be exercised or traded from the opening of 30 November 2009 up to 15 December 2009 (the subscription and trading periods). The new shares were fully fungible and ranked pari passu with the existing shares.

Calculation of the TERP

As seen earlier, the TERP is calculated as:

Unnumbered Display Equation

where:

NE = the number of existing shares

NN = the number of new shares

PA = the closing price on the trading day immediately preceding the announcement of the final terms of the rights issue. EUR 8.92 in our case

PS = the subscription price. EUR 4.24 in our case

Instead of using the number of existing and new shares, it is easier to use the figures in the issue terms. In our case the terms were 6 per 7. Thus, NE = 7, NN = 6, PA = 8.92 and PS = 4.24. Therefore, the TERP was EUR 6.76:

Unnumbered Display Equation

The subscription price of EUR 4.24 corresponded to an implied discount of 37.3% (= 1 – 4.24/6.76) to the TERP.

Calculation of the Rights’ Theoretical Value

Theoretically, the value of the subscription rights associated with a share is equal to the difference between the TERP and the subscription price. In our case:

Unnumbered Display Equation

Adjustment to Stock Historical Prices

The price of the existing shares automatically adjusts downward on the ex-date to take into account the discount offered to subscribe for the new shares. For example, imagine that you were an ING shareholder on the record date, when the shares were trading at EUR 8.53 (the cum-rights price). In theory, the next day the shares would be trading at EUR 6.76 (the TERP). In theory your portfolio lost 21% in one day (= 1 – 6.76/8.53), but the company is worth the same. This makes no sense.

As a result, when a company implements a rights issue, an adjustment is made to historical prices prior to the ex-date to appropriately reflect the impact of the rights. The adjustment allows investors to compare historical pricing with current pricing. The adjustment is only made if PC > PS (see below for the definitions of these two variables). The adjustment factor in ING's rights issue was calculated as follows:

Unnumbered Display Equation

where:

NE = the number of existing shares

NN = the number of new shares

PC = the cum-rights price

PS = the subscription price

Instead of using the number of existing and new shares, it is easier to use the numbers of the issue terms. In our case the terms were 6 per 7. Thus, NE = 7, NN = 6, PC = 8.53 and PS = 4.24. Therefore:

Unnumbered Display Equation

As a result, all the historical prices prior to the ex-date were adjusted by multiplying the historical price by the adjustment factor as shown in the following table:

Date Closing price before adjustment Closing price after adjustment
25-Nov-09 9.619 7.3862
26-Nov-09 8.916 6.8464
27-Nov-09 8.53 6.55
30-Nov-09 6.204 Not adjusted

Adjustment Factor and Not Entitlement to Dividends

In this adjustment formula it is assumed that the new shares are entitled to any future dividend. However, sometimes the new shares are not entitled to an already declared dividend. In this case the dividend is added to the subscription price when calculating the adjustment factor. The formula then becomes:

Unnumbered Display Equation

where:

DIV = the declared dividend per share

Adjustment to Historical Dividends

In a similar way to the historical prices adjustment, historical dividends are adjusted to take into account the rights issue. Assume that the last dividend prior to the rights issue was EUR 0.26 per share. Remember that the adjustment factor was 0.767878. The adjustment to be performed to all historical dividends was:

Unnumbered Display Equation

In our example, the EUR 0.26 dividend was adjusted to EUR 0.20 (= 0.26 × 0.767878). The lower dividend simply reflects the increase in the number of shares due to the rights issue. If, for example, during the year following the rights issue ING distributes a EUR 0.20 cash dividend, this would not represent a reduction in ING's dividend distribution policy. Similarly, maintaining the dividend per share after the rights issue at EUR 0.26 represents an increase in dividend distribution policy.

Alternative Interpretation of a Rights Issue: Issue + Scrip Dividend

An alternative way to interpret a rights issue is to split it into two transactions, as follows:

1. ING's capital was first increased by EUR 7,498.07 million via a rights issue at the then prevailing market price. Through this issue, ING issued 879.02 million shares at EUR 8.53. After this transaction there were 2,960.17 million shares outstanding, and the TERP remained unchanged at EUR 8.53.

2. The company distributed a scrip dividend of 889.39 million shares (= 1,768.41 – 879.02). This was equivalent to a 1-for-3.32831 scrip dividend.

The adjustment factor represents the scrip dividend of the rights issue 0.768 [= 3.32831/ (3.32831 + 1)].

2.5 RIGHTS ISSUES OF CONVERTIBLE BONDS

Rights issues of assets other than common stock are relatively uncommon. In this section, a rights issue is analyzed where shareholders are given the right to subscribe to a convertible bond.

2.5.1 Case Study: Banco Popolare Rights Issue of a Convertible Bond

In 2010, Banco Popolare was the largest Italian cooperative bank by number of branches and the fifth largest Italian bank by total assets. On 30 January 2010, the shareholders of Banco Popolare approved in an extraordinary shareholders meeting the issuance of new convertible bonds with pre-emption rights to existing shareholders and holders of the 2000–2010 4.75% subordinated convertible bond. The transaction was aimed at reinforcing the bank's capital ratios. In addition, the issue allowed Banco Popolare to manage the timing of the sale of some non-strategic assets in a more flexible way. The transaction was structured as a rights issue of convertible bonds:

  • The subscription terms for existing shareholders were one subscription right per share and one bond for every four subscription rights. Therefore, the rights issue terms were 1 for 4. A total of 640,149,751 rights were issued to existing shareholders.
  • The subscription terms for the existing convertible bond holders were one subscription right per 2010 4.75% bond and 43 bonds for every 400 subscription rights. A total of 18,387,505 rights were issued to existing convertible bond holders.

The final terms for the new convertible bond were announced on 25 February 2010. The convertible bond had a notional of EUR 996.4 million, a 4-year maturity, a 4.75% coupon and an initial conversion premium of 34%. The following table shows the main terms of the convertible bond:

Banco Popolare Convertible Bond – Main Terms
Issuer Banco Popolare Societá Cooperativa
Securities Bonds convertible into ordinary shares of the issuer
Underlying shares Ordinary shares of Banco Popolare
Status of the bonds Senior unsecured
Notional EUR 996.4 million
Nominal value of each denomination EUR 6.25
Conversion ratio 1 share per bond
Issue date 24-March-2010
Settlement and listing date 31-March-2010
Maturity date 24-March-2014 (4 years)
Initial conversion premium 34%
Coupon 4.75%, paid annually (Act/365)
Issue price 100% of the nominal value
Redemption price 100% of the nominal value, subject to the early redemption option. The redemption amount could be paid in cash and/or in shares, at the issuer's option
Conversion period At any time after 18 months from the issue date
Bond holder put None
Dividend protection Bond holders were protected against any dividends paid exceeding the threshold of:
– €0.10 paid in 2010 and 2011
– €0.15 per year thereafter.
Dividends above those levels led to an adjustment of the conversion ratio
Lock-up 90 days for the issuer
Joint lead managers and joint bookrunners BNP Paribas and Mediobanca
Listing Milan MTA

Press Release by Banco Popolare on 25 February 2010

“… The convertible bonds have been designed bearing primarily Banco Popolare's shareholding structure in mind, with the intention of offering a type of investment of interest to our shareholders, in keeping with our objective to stand close to our market territory and its economic fabric. The convertible bond issue is aimed at bringing benefits to Banco Popolare by strengthening its capital base, in order to provide an increasing support to the lending activities in favour of local businesses, and to shore up the Group's Core Tier 1 ratio expected to stand stably above 7% …”

Key Dates of the Transaction

The rights could be traded during two and a half weeks starting on 1 March 2010. The holders of the rights could exercise their rights during three and a half weeks starting also on 1 March 2010. Figure 2.13 highlights the main dates of the transaction.

Figure 2.13 Key dates of Banco Popolare rights issue.

nc02f013.eps

Offering Results

At the end of the subscription period on 24 March 2010, a total of 160,128,993 bonds were subscribed, accounting for 98.84% of total bonds offered, corresponding to EUR 984.8 million. In particular, the following rights were left unexercised:

  • 7,252,516 option rights associated with common shares (out of a total of 640,149,751 rights issued).
  • 669,200 option rights associated with the 4.75% 2000–2010 convertible bonds (out of a total of 18,387,505 rights issued).

The remaining 1,885,068 bonds unsubscribed, corresponding to approximately EUR 11.6 million, were offered and sold in an auction on the Italian Stock Exchange on 31 March 2010. As a result, the final take-up after the auction was 100% of the issue.

Why Banco Popolare Issued the Convertible Bond

The new convertible bonds had a soft mandatory conversion clause (“early redemption option”) after 18 months at the issuer option and at a 10% premium. The early redemption option allowed Banco Popolare to potentially reinforce the bank's capital ratios after the initial 18 months of the life of the convertible. After 18 months from the issue date, Banco Popolare could exercise the early redemption option, as follows:

  • If the share price was below the conversion price, Banco Popolare would pay 110% of the nominal value of the bonds in cash and/or shares, at the issuer's option only.
  • If the share price was above the conversion price, Banco Popolare would pay in shares only the value of the underlying shares plus 10% of the nominal value of the bonds.

Therefore, if Banco Popolare needed to strengthen its regulatory capital before maturity and after the initial 18 months, the bank had the option to call the bond and reimburse investors with newly issued shares that were worth 110% of the nominal value of the bond.

Additionally, at bond maturity the bank could increase its regulatory capital, even if the conversion right was out-of-the-money, as follows:

  • If the convertible bond expired out-of-the-money, Banco Popolare would reimburse the nominal value of the bond with newly issued shares, where the value of the shares corresponded to 100% of the nominal value of the bond.
  • If the convertible bond expired in-the-money, the bond holders would require Banco Popolare to convert the bond into newly issued shares, in accordance with the conversion price.

Main Drawback of the Transaction

The main drawback of the convertible bond issuance was the potential issuance of a large number of shares, were Banco Popolare to redeem the convertible bond in a notably weak market environment. The convertible bond could be early redeemed through the issuance of a variable number of shares so that the aggregate value of the newly issued shares equalled 110% of the redemption amount. In theory, this would mean that upon a sharp decline of the stock price, the potential number of shares could grow dramatically.

For example, let us assume that Banco Popolare was required by the Bank of Italy to increase its regulatory capital and that Banco Popolare decided to terminate the convertible bond early. Banco Popolare would need to repay 110% of the notional amount, or EUR 1,096.0 million (1.10 × EUR 996.4 million) in shares. Let us assume that the then prevailing stock price was EUR 2.50. Therefore, Banco Popolare would need to issue 438.4 million shares (= 1,096.0 million/2.50).

The best way to solve this drawback would have been to include a cap mechanism to the number of shares which could be issued. A cap in the number of shares to be issued would have meant a floor on the stock price at which the bond could be redeemed in shares. Under a cap mechanism, the convertible bond holders bear the risk of shares being below the floor. In other words, under a cap mechanism the bond holders are effectively selling a put on the shares to the convertible bond issuer. As a result, bond holders would have required a higher coupon to be compensated for their short put position.

2.6 ACCELERATED BOOK-BUILDINGS

2.6.1 Product Description

An accelerated book-building (ABB) and its variations (block trade, ABB with backstop) allow an investor to sell a block of stock quickly. The short placement period gives the seller confidence in the selling price to be obtained. An accelerated book-building may be done for either companies that have already gone public looking to issue additional shares to raise capital or shareholders looking to sell their stock position. Also, ABBs provide investors with the opportunity to buy the stock at a discount. There are three major ABB products:

1. An ABB transaction allows the quick disposal of a block of stock without any pre-agreed price guarantee. Under an ABB, the selling party mandates a bank or a group of banks to place a block of stock on a best effort basis. The book-building usually takes place after the market closes. Investors are requested to provide an interest in terms of number of shares and purchase price. The prices bid are sorted from highest to lowest. The block of shares is then allocated, starting with the highest price bid and then downwards until all the shares are allocated. The allocation takes place before the market opens.

2. A bought deal or block trade grants a selling entity a quick disposal of a block of shares at a pre-agreed price. The banks leading the offering undertake to buy the block at an agreed price, generally lower than the stock market price. Once the agreement has been signed, the banks immediately place the stock with institutional investors. Time is the essence for the success of the placement, given the risk of a change in the stock price. The stock is placed quickly. Commonly, investors are asked to commit to the offer on the same day. Sometimes, the placement may be extended over an additional day due to the different time zones of the countries where the stock is being placed.

3. An ABB with backstop transaction is a combination of the previous two types of transaction. The banks leading the offering guarantee the selling entity a minimum price, for a fee. The block is then placed on a best effort basis with institutional investors. The block is placed at the greater of the average price obtained from the institutional investors and the minimum guaranteed price.

Hereafter, I will refer to these three products under the common name of ABBs.

2.6.2 Advantages and Weaknesses of an ABB

An ABB features a number of advantages:

1. It is an effective way of placing a block of shares immediately. Most ABBs are executed within 24 hours.

2. It can quickly take advantage of a temporary opportunity in the stock market.

3. The seller is not exposed to a price fall after the disposal is priced.

4. In the case of a capital-raising ABB, it does not require a prospectus.

5. In the case of a capital-raising ABB, it commonly does not require shareholder approval at an EGM.

An ABB features a number of weaknesses:

1. The stock is placed at a discount to the prevailing market price.

2. Size can be limited. A large block of an illiquid stock or in a weak market environment may not be placed at a reasonable price.

3. In the case of a capital-raising ABB, the stock is placed without pre-emption rights for existing shareholders. It means that existing shareholders are not invited to the ABB unless they are already a large shareholder in the company.

2.6.3 Estimating the Discount

The discount to the prevailing stock market price is the most relevant parameter in an ABB. The discount compensates the placing bank for the risk run in a bought deal. The bank managing a block trade bears the risk of placing the block with investors at a price lower than its acquisition price from the seller. The discount is a function, among other variables, of:

1. The stock market momentum.

2. The size of the block relative to the number of trading days (i.e., relative to the average daily volume of the stock).

3. The total size of the block.

4. The total size of the block relative to the stock free float.

5. The total size of the block relative to the market capitalization of the stock.

2.6.4 Case Study: IPIC's Disposal of 11.8% of Barclays

In 2008, in the middle of a global credit crisis, Barclays bypassed existing shareholders when it raised capital to comply with new capital requirements. Instead of selling new stock to the British government, Barclays agreed in October 2008 to sell GBP 2.8 billion of mandatorily convertible stock and GBP 3 billion of preferred stock to International Petroleum Investment Company of Abu Dhabi (IPIC), Qatar Holding LLC and Challenger Universal Ltd, an investment vehicle set up by Qatar.

From October 2008 until May 2009, Barclays shares gained 54%. IPIC held 9.75% mandatorily convertible notes due 30 September 2009 of Barclays. IPIC intended to dispose of the ordinary shares of Barclays, for which the mandatorily convertible notes were exchangeable by means of an accelerated book-build. IPIC exercised the notes to satisfy its obligations under the book-build. IPIC appointed Credit Suisse for the disposal. Credit Suisse acted as sole bookrunner and commenced the book-building on 2 June 2009. Credit Suisse was able to place the massive 11.8% stake in Barclays at 265 pence each share, a discount of 16% to the previous closing price of 316 pence. In the opening, Barclays shares dropped to 264.75 pence, just slightly below the 265 pence placing price. IPIC continued to hold warrants for 758.4 million Barclays shares that could be exercised at 197.8 pence.

IPIC Disposal of Barclays Stock through an ABB – Main Terms
Seller International Petroleum Investment Company of Abu Dhabi (IPIC)
Shares Barclays plc
Number of shares 1,304.836 million
Percentage of share capital sold 11.8%
Disposal method Accelerated book-building
Trading date 2-June-2009
Settlement date 5-June-2009
Placing price GBP pence 265
Placing amount GBP 3,457.815 million
Discount to previous closing price 16%
Fees Not disclosed
Lead manager Credit Suisse

2.7 AT THE MARKET OFFERINGS

2.7.1 Product Description

In an “at the market” (ATM) offering, blocks of stock are broken into smaller chunks and sold from time to time at the prevailing market price. Unlike a traditional ABB offering, in which all shares are sold at once to a group of investors, ATM sales dribble into the market over the course of days, weeks or even months. The method is especially useful for price-sensitive stocks or very large share sales, because unleashing a large block of shares in one day can seriously depress a stock price. The bank managing the sale is paid in per-share trading commissions rather than through a percentage underwriting fee. Usually the stock price falls on the announcement of the transaction to anticipate the upcoming sales orders.

2.7.2 Case Study: US Treasury Placement of Citigroup Shares

On 26 April 2010 the United States Department of the Treasury hired Morgan Stanley to manage the sale of part of its 27% stake in Citigroup. The US Treasury acquired the shares of Citigroup in connection with Citigroup's participation in the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). TARP was established pursuant to the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008, which was enacted into law on 3 October 2008 in response to the financial crisis. On 28 October 2008, Citigroup issued to the US Treasury USD 25 billion of its perpetual preferred stock as part of the TARP Capital Purchase Program. This perpetual preferred stock was exchanged for shares of common stock in July 2009. As a result, on 26 April 2010 the US Treasury owned 7.69 billion shares of Citigroup. Additionally, the US Treasury held warrants to purchase 465.1 million shares of common stock issued by Citigroup, subject to adjustment from time to time, and USD 2.23 billion aggregate liquidation preference of trust preferred securities issued by a Citigroup trust. All these capital instruments were issued by Citigroup in exchange for USD 45 billion of aid.

On 26 April 2010, the US Treasury, Morgan Stanley and Citigroup entered into an agreement, under which the US Treasury could offer and sell up to 7.69 billion shares of common stock from time to time through Morgan Stanley as sales agent or as principal. The agented sale of shares was to be made by means of ordinary brokers’ transactions, in block transactions or as otherwise agreed with the US Treasury. The US Treasury could also enter into a separate agreement to sell shares of common stock to Morgan Stanley as principal at a price agreed at the time of sale. Citigroup would not receive any proceeds from the stock sale.

Morgan Stanley agreed to sell, on behalf of the US Treasury, shares of common stock subject to the terms and conditions of the agreement among Citigroup, the US Treasury and Morgan Stanley on a daily basis or as otherwise agreed upon by the US Treasury and Morgan Stanley. The US Treasury devised a plan in 2010 of pre-arranged written trading strategies to help insulate officials from politically driven claims that they mistimed the market and got too little profit from the sales. The manner, amount and timing of the sales under any such plan were dependent upon a number of factors. The US Treasury would provide instructions, in accordance with the plan, to Morgan Stanley with respect to the manner of distribution of the shares. Morgan Stanley agreed to use its commercially reasonable efforts to sell the shares following the instructions.

The US Treasury divided its stake into blocks, instructing Morgan Stanley to sell one block at a time. The US Treasury approved an initial sale of a block of 1.5 billion shares, representing more than 19% of its total stake. The US Treasury gave Morgan Stanley the authority to sell a second block of shares once the initial 1.5 billion shares were sold. The US Treasury received the gross proceeds of the sale of shares for which Morgan Stanley acted as sales agent or principal without deduction of any commissions or fees. Once all the blocks were sold, the US Treasury received about USD 32 billion.

Citigroup agreed to reimburse the US Treasury for all discounts, selling commissions, stock transfer taxes and transaction fees incurred in connection with the sale. Morgan Stanley was paid in per-share trading commissions rather than through a percentage underwriting fee. Each month, Morgan Stanley received from the US Treasury a commission of USD 0.003 per share sold by Morgan Stanley using electronic trading systems and USD 0.0175 per share sold by Morgan Stanley using other means. That was a steep discount from the three cents to four cents a share that brokers normally charged for similar trades at that time. Morgan Stanley also received a one-time USD 500,000 administrative fee. In total, Morgan Stanley received approximately USD 82 million in commissions.

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