This chapter explores the underlying dynamics of mergers and acquisitions in the context of an increasingly interconnected world and views M&As as change agents in the corporate restructuring process. The focus is on M&As, why they happen, and why they tend to cluster in waves. The chapter also introduces a variety of legal structures and strategies that are employed to restructure corporations. Moreover, the role of the various participants in the M&A process is explained. Reflecting the latest empirical studies, this chapter addresses the questions of whether mergers pay off for the target and acquiring company shareholders and bondholders, as well as for society. These concepts are applied in case studies involving different types of deals.
Mergers; Acquisitions; Mergers and acquisitions; Leveraged buyouts; LBOs; Takeovers; Spin-offs; Equity carve-outs; Divestitures; Motives for mergers; Arbitrage; Corporate restructuring; M&As; Cross-border deals; M&A transactions; Alternative takeover strategies; Holding companies; ESOPs; Shareholder value; Firm value; Synergy; Diversification; Hubris; Winner’s curse; Q-ratio; Market power; Misevaluation; Merger waves; Buyouts; Split-offs; Spin-offs; Event studies; Excess returns; Abnormal returns; Takeover strategies; Investment bankers; Accountants; Due diligence; Business alliances; Joint ventures; Partnerships; Corporations; Limited liability companies; Lawyers; Institutional investors; Regulators; Activist investors; Activism; Arbitrageurs; Shareholders; Bondholders; Shareholder maximization; Firm value; Financial returns; Announcement date abnormal returns; CSR; Corporate socially responsible investing; Socially responsible investing
If you give a man a fish, you feed him for a day. If you teach a man to fish, you feed him for a lifetime.
Lao Tze
CenturyLink Inc.’s (CenturyLink) announcement on October 31, 2016 that it had reached an agreement to acquire Level 3 Communications Inc. (Level 3) was met with great skepticism, as the firm’s shares fell more than 13% during the next few days. Investors fretted that CenturyLink was paying too much for Level 3 and that its increased leverage would constrain its ability to grow in the future. In contrast, Level 3’s shares rose sharply as the CenturyLink offer price exceeded significantly the firm’s share price providing a quick profit opportunity for current holders of Level 3 shares. Level 3 shares continued to trade below the offer price for months until it became clear that the regulatory hurdles had been cleared in early November 2017.
The deal came at a time when businesses are seeking greater bandwidth and faster networks to accommodate their growing needs to move data. And smaller network companies are struggling to compete with the likes of AT&T and Verizon Communications. Smaller firms simply did not have access to sufficient capital to achieve the network size needed to accommodate growing customer demand and to spread fixed network expenses over an accelerating volume of data transmitted by their business customers.
Located in Monroe Louisiana, CenturyLink operates 55 data processing centers in North America, Europe, and Asia providing broadband, voice, video, cloud, hosting, and data management software and services. Its international fiber network extends over 300,000 miles. With nearly six million internet customers in the US, CenturyLink makes most of its revenue from selling network services to businesses. The remainder of its revenue comes from selling landline telephone services in mostly rural areas. The firm’s revenue has been declining over the last few years as it has been losing market share to its larger competitors.
Level 3 Communications Inc. (Level 3) is situated in Bloomfield Colorado and is the second largest US provider of Ethernet services which enable its business customers to transmit data across high bandwidth internet connections. Unlike CenturyLink, Level 3 generates all of its revenues from business customers. Like CenturyLink, Level 3 was struggling to compete with AT&T and Verizon Communications incurring ongoing operating losses in recent years.
To compete more effectively in the business data transmission market, the two firms expect to realize cost and revenue synergies totaling almost $1 billion annually. Cost savings are expected to come from paring duplicate overhead and consolidating systems and facilities. Additional revenue can be generated by selling Level 3’s advanced network security products that CenturyLink lacked to CenturyLink customers. And Level 3 will be able to sell its customers some of CenturyLink’s network management software tools.
Realizing synergy will be an important part of CenturyLink’s ability to recover the substantial 42% premium it paid to gain control of Level 3. History shows that realizing synergy often takes far longer than expected, requires greater expenditures than anticipated, and often fails to achieve the projected dollar figures. When this occurs, the acquirer finds it very difficult to achieve the financial returns required by their shareholders.
In combination with Level 3, CenturyLink will have one of the largest high speed data networks in the world. CenturyLink will obtain access to Level 3’s 200,000 miles of fiber in the US to augment its 250,000 mile US fiber network. The merged firms will receive 76% of their revenue from business customers. The deal also gives CenturyLink about $10 billion in accumulated operating losses that Level 3 is carrying on its books, which can be used to reduce future tax liabilities and improve the combined firms’ after-tax cash flow.
Under the terms of the deal, Level 3 shareholders received $66.50 for each Level 3 share owned. The purchase price per Level 3 share consisted of $26.50 in cash and 1.4286 of CenturyLink shares. The deal values Level 3’s equity at about $24 billion; including the Level 3 debt that CenturyLink will have to pay off, the so-called enterprise value (debt plus equity) is almost $34 billion.
The transaction needed clearance from the US Justice Department, the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), and 20 US states in which the two firms operated. Century Link completed its takeover of Level 3 on November 3, 2017, immediately following FCC approval, the only remaining regulator who had not already given their consent. To preserve local market competition, CenturyLink was required by the Justice Department to divest Level 3 networks in Albuquerque (New Mexico), Boise (Idaho), and Tucson (Arizona) and to offer leases to local competitors on intercity routes crossing nearly 20 states. Regulators were concerned that without such concessions, the deal would have reduced local competition and increased prices to customers.
Mergers and acquisitions (M&As) are best understood in the context of corporate restructuring strategies. As such, this chapter provides insights into why M&As happen and why they tend to cluster in waves, and the variety of legal structures and strategies that are employed to restructure firms. The roles and responsibilities of the primary participants in the M&A process also are discussed in detail. Subsequent chapters analyze this subject matter in more detail.
A firm that attempts to acquire or merge with another company is called an acquiring company, acquirer, or bidder. The target company is the firm being solicited by the acquiring company. Takeovers and buyouts are generic terms for a change in the controlling ownership interest of a corporation. A review of this chapter (including practice questions and answers) is available in the file folder entitled Student Study Guide on the companion website for this book: https://www.elsevier.com/books-and-journals/book-companion/9780128150757.
Despite decades of research, there is little consensus about what are the determinants of M&As.1 Much of this research has focused on examining aggregate data which may conceal important size, sector, and geographic differences. Different perspectives often reflect different underlying assumptions. Some analysts argue markets are efficient as decisions are made rapidly in response to new information while others see markets adjusting more slowly to changing conditions. Still others contend that microeconomic factors are more important determinants of M&A activity than macroeconomic considerations. Consequently, not only is there disagreement about what are the key determinants but also about the how and the extent to which they impact M&A activity.
Table 1.1 lists some of the more prominent theories about why M&As happen. Of these, anticipated synergy between the acquirer and target firms is most often cited in empirical studies as the primary motivation for M&As.2 Each theory is discussed in greater detail in the remainder of this section.
Table 1.1
Synergy is the value realized from the incremental cash flows generated by combining two businesses. That is, if the market value of two firms is $100 million and $75 million, respectively, and their combined market value is $200 million, then the implied value of synergy is $25 million. The two basic types of synergy are operating and financial.
Operating synergy consists of economies of scale, economies of scope, and the acquisition of complementary technical assets and skills, which can be important determinants of shareholder wealth creation. Gains in efficiency can come from these factors and from improved managerial operating practices.
Economies of scale often refer to the reduction in average total costs for a firm producing a single product for a given scale of plant due to the decline in average fixed costs as production volume increases. Scale is defined by such fixed costs as depreciation of equipment and amortization of capitalized software, normal maintenance spending, and obligations such as interest expense, lease payments, long-term union, customer, and vendor contracts, and taxes. These costs are fixed since they cannot be altered in the short run. Variable costs are those that change with output levels. Consequently, for a given scale or amount of fixed expenses, the dollar value of fixed expenses per unit of output and per dollar of revenue decreases as output and sales increase.
To illustrate the potential profit improvement from economies of scale, consider the merger of Firm B into Firm A. Firm A has a plant producing at only one-half of its capacity, enabling Firm A to shut down Firm B’s plant that is producing the same product and move the production to its own underutilized facility. Consequently, Firm A’s profit margin improves from 6.25% before the merger to 14.58% after the merger. Why? Because the additional output transferred from Firm B is mostly profit as it adds nothing to Firm A’s fixed costs (Table 1.2).3
Table 1.2
Notes: Contribution to profit of additional 500,000 units = $4 × 500,000 − $2.75 × 500,000 = $625,000.
Margin per unit sold @ fixed cost per unit of $1.00 = $4.00 − $2.75 − $1.00 = $0.25.
Margin per unit sold @ fixed cost per unit of $0.67 = $4.00 − $2.75 − $0.67 = $0.58.
Economies of scale also affect variable costs such as a reduction in purchased material prices due to an increase in bulk purchases and lower production line setup costs resulting from longer production runs. When one company buys another, the combined firms may be able to negotiate lower purchase prices from suppliers because of their increased leverage. Suppliers often are willing to cut prices, because they also realize economies of scale as their plant utilization increases if they are able to sell larger quantities. Setup costs refer to the expense associated with setting up a production assembly line. These include personnel costs in changing from producing one product to another, any materials consumed in this process, and the time lost while the production line is down. For example, assume a supplier’s initial setup costs are $3000 per production run to produce an order of 2500 units of a product. Setup costs per unit produced are $1.20. If the order is doubled to 5000 units, setup costs per unit are cut in half to $0.60 per unit. Suppliers may be willing to pass some of these savings on to customers to get a larger order.
Economies of scope refers to the reduction in average total costs for a firm producing two or more products, because it is cheaper to produce these products in a single firm than in separate firms. Economies of scope may reflect both declining average fixed and variable costs. Common examples of overhead- and sales-related economies of scope include having a single department (e.g., accounting and human resources) support multiple product lines and a sales force selling multiple related products rather than a single product. Savings in distribution costs can be achieved by transporting a number of products to a single location rather than a single product. In 2012, following its emergence from bankruptcy, Hostess Baking achieved significant reductions in distribution costs when its unions allowed the firm to transport both bread and other baked goods to customers in the same truck rather than in separate trucks as had been the case. Economies of scope also include the cost savings realized by using a specific set of skills or an asset currently employed in producing a specific product to produce multiple products. Procter & Gamble, the consumer products giant, uses its highly regarded consumer marketing skills to sell a full range of personal care as well as pharmaceutical products. Honda employs its proprietary knowledge of internal combustion engines (an intangible asset) to enhance the manufacture of engines used in cars, motorcycles, lawn mowers, and snow blowers.
Complementary technical assets and skills are those possessed by one firm that could be used by another to fill gaps in its technical capabilities. Gaining access to this know-how can be a significant motivation for one firm to acquire another. For example, merger activity is likely to occur between firms pursuing related research and development activities, with certain technologies owned by one firm appearing to be very attractive to the other. Both firms gain potentially from an increased rate of innovation after the merger, because they have access to each other’s technical skills and patent portfolios. When Pharmacia & Upjohn combined with Monsanto to form Pharmacia, the merger gave Pharmacia & Upjohn access to Monsanto’s Cox-2 inhibitors and Monsanto access to the other’s expertise in genomics. The merger allowed for expanded in-house clinical R&D, resulting in an increase in the average size of R&D projects and a reduction in the time required getting products to market.
Financial synergy refers to the reduction in the acquirer’s cost of capital due to a merger or acquisition. This could occur if the merged firms have cash flows that are relatively uncorrelated, realize cost savings from lower securities’ issuance and transactions costs, or experience a better matching of investment opportunities with internally generated funds. The conventional view holds that corporations moving into different product lines whose cash flows are uncorrelated reduce only risk specific to the firm such as product obsolescence (i.e., business specific or nonsystematic risk) and not risk associated with factors impacting all firms (i.e., systematic risk) such as a recession, inflation, or increasing interest rates.
Recent research suggests that M&As resulting in firms whose individual business unit cash flows are uncorrelated can indeed lead to a reduction in systematic risk. Such firms may be better able to withstand the loss of customers, suppliers, employees, or the impact of financial distress than single product firms. Sometimes referred to as coinsurance, the imperfect correlation of business unit cash flows allows resources to be transferred from cash-rich units to cash-poor units as needed. In contrast, the loss of key customers or employees in a single product firm could be devastating. Consequently, multi-product line firms with less correlated business unit cash flows can have less systematic risk than firms whose business unit cash flows are correlated.
Target firms, unable to finance their investment opportunities, are said to be financially constrained, and they may view access to additional financing provided by an acquirer’s unused borrowing capacity4 or excess cash balance as a form of financial synergy. That is, financially constrained firms often increase their investment levels following acquisition by a firm not subject to financial constraints.5
There is evidence that diversification may be to some extent cyclical. Firms have incentives to engage in diversification whenever access to credit markets becomes more difficult. As credit availability tightens, so goes the reasoning, highly focused firms cannot take advantage of attractive investment opportunities if they lack internal financial resources. More diversified firms can more easily redeploy resources from other lines of business. When it becomes easier to borrow, firms are more inclined to narrow their focus by reducing the number of different lines of business.6
Buying firms beyond a company’s current lines of business is called diversification. Diversification may create financial synergy that reduces the cost of capital as noted above. Alternatively, it may allow a firm to shift from its core product line (s) to those having higher growth prospects. Moreover, acquirers with limited growth opportunities often generate substantial cash flow because they have much lower rates of investment than the targets they pursue often enabling them to finance takeovers using their excess cash flow.7 The new product lines or target markets may be related or unrelated to the firm’s current products or markets. The product-market matrix illustrated in Table 1.3 identifies a firm’s primary diversification options.
Table 1.3
Products | Markets | |
---|---|---|
Current | New | |
Current | Lower growth/lower risk | Higher growth/higher risk (related diversification) |
New | Higher growth/higher risk (related diversification) | Highest growth/highest risk (unrelated diversification) |
A firm facing slower growth in its current markets may accelerate growth through related diversification by selling its current products in new markets that are somewhat unfamiliar and, therefore, more risky. Such was the case when IBM acquired web-based human resource software maker Kenexa to move its existing software business into the fiercely competitive but fast-growing market for delivering business applications via the web.
A firm also may attempt to achieve higher growth rates by acquiring new products with which it is relatively unfamiliar and then selling them in familiar and less risky current markets. Retailer J.C. Penney’s $3.3 billion acquisition of the Eckerd Drugstore chain (a drug retailer) and Johnson & Johnson’s $16 billion acquisition of Pfizer’s consumer healthcare products line are examples of such related diversification. In each instance, the firm assumed additional risk by selling new products lines, but into markets with which it had significant prior experience: J.C. Penney in consumer retail markets and J&J in retail healthcare markets.
There is considerable evidence that acquisitions resulting in unrelated diversification frequently result in lower financial returns when they are announced than non-diversifying acquisitions.8 Firms that operate in a number of largely unrelated industries are called conglomerates. Conglomerates have been out of favor among stock market investors for some time. Suffering from more than 15 years of its stock underperforming the broader indices, the well-known conglomerate General Electric (GE) announced a dramatic downsizing of the firm in December 2017 to focus on power, aviation, and healthcare. GE will shed more than $20 billion in assets including its transportation and lighting operations as well as its oil field operations and 65% stake in oil field services firm Baker Hughes.
The share prices of conglomerates often trade at a discount to shares of focused firms or to their value if broken up. This markdown is called a conglomerate discount, a measure that sometimes values conglomerates as much as 15% lower than more focused firms in the same industry.9 Investors often perceive conglomerates as riskier because management has difficulty understanding these firms and may underinvest in attractive opportunities.10 Also, outside investors may have trouble in valuing the various parts of highly diversified firms.11 Likewise, investors may be reluctant to invest in firms whose management appears intent on diversifying to build “empires” rather than to improve performance.12 Such firms often exhibit poor governance practices.13 The larger the difference between conglomerates whose share prices trade below those of more focused firms the greater the likelihood these diversified firms will engage in restructuring that increases their focus.14
Other researchers find evidence that the most successful mergers in developed countries are those that focus on deals that promote the acquirer’s core business, largely reflecting their familiarity with such businesses and their ability to optimize investment decisions.15 Related acquisitions may even be more likely to generate higher financial returns than unrelated deals,16 since related firms are more likely to realize cost savings due to overlapping functions. There is also evidence that cross-border deals are more likely to be completed when the degree of relatedness between the acquiring and target firms is high.17
The existence of a conglomerate discount is not universally true. While conglomerates have not fared as well as more focused firms in North America and certain other developed countries, their performance in developing nations has been considerably stronger. Diversified firms in countries having limited capital market access may sell at a premium since they may use cash generated by mature subsidiaries to fund those with higher growth potential. Furthermore, conglomerates in such developed countries as South Korea and Singapore have outperformed their more focused rivals in part due to their ability to transfer ideas and technologies among their various businesses. Diversified firms also tend to perform better in downturns than more focused firms, because they can use excess cash flows generated by some businesses to offset deteriorating cash flows in other businesses.18
The diversification discount is not a constant, but it varies over time and among firms. Recent research suggests that the magnitude of the discount is related to both current and expected economic conditions. Such expectations can be viewed as a measure of investor optimism or pessimism. When investors are more optimistic, they are willing to accept greater risk. If we define risk as the degree of earnings unpredictability, more diversified firms would on average be less risky than those that are more focused. Why? More diversified firms often show greater earnings stability (and therefore predictability) than more focused firms. Therefore, the magnitude of the discount should at least in part reflect investor optimism or pessimism. Consequently, the diversification discount tends to increase in periods when investor optimism is high (i.e., investors are more willing to invest in higher risk, more focused firms) and declines during periods of investor pessimism.19
Firms use M&As to adjust to changes in their external environment such as regulatory changes and technological innovation. Those industries that have been subject to significant deregulation in recent years—financial services, healthcare, utilities, media, telecommunications, defense—have been at the center of M&A activity, because deregulation breaks down artificial barriers and stimulates competition. Firms in highly regulated industries often are unable to compete successfully following deregulation and become targets of stronger competitors. As such, deregulation often sparks a flurry of M&A activity resulting in a significant reduction in the number of competitors in the industry.20
Technological advances create new products and industries and force a radical restructuring of existing ones. The smartphone spurred the growth of handheld telecommunications devices while undercutting the point-and-shoot camera industry and threatening the popularity of wristwatches, alarm clocks, and MP3 players. Tablet computers reduced the demand for desktop and notebook computers, while e-readers reduced the popularity of hardback books. Services such as WhatsApp and Microsoft’s Skype erode a major source of mobile phone company revenue: voice and text messaging. A shift to cloud computing enables businesses to outsource their IT operations. The introduction of block chain technology, a distributed ledger where every transaction is visible to anyone having access to the ledger, is changing the way transaction records are processed and stored.
CEOs with successful acquisition track records may pay more than the target is worth due to overconfidence.21 Having overpaid, such acquirers may feel remorse at having done so—experiencing what has come to be called the “winner’s curse.” In addition to CEO hubris, the presence of multiple bidders may contribute to overpaying as acquirers get caught up in the excitement of an auction environment.22
The Q-ratio is the ratio of the market value of the acquirer’s stock to the replacement cost of its assets. Firms can choose to invest in new plant and equipment or obtain the assets by buying a company with a market value less than what it would cost to replace the assets (i.e., a market-to-book or Q-ratio that is less than 1). This theory is useful in explaining M&A activity when stock prices drop well below the book value (or historical cost) of firms.
Agency problems arise when the interests of managers and shareholders differ. Managers may make acquisitions to add to their prestige, build their influence, increase compensation, or for self-preservation.23 Agency problems may be more pronounced with younger CEOs. Since acquisitions often are accompanied by large, permanent increases in compensation, CEOs have strong financial incentives to pursue acquisitions earlier in their careers.24 Such mismanagement can persist when a firm’s shares are widely held, since the cost of such negligence is spread across a large number of shareholders. Fairness opinions to evaluate the appropriateness of bidder offer prices and special committees consisting of independent directors to represent shareholders may be used to mitigate agency problems in target firms. Used to evaluate offers in about one-fourth of takeovers, special committees are subcommittees of a target’s board composed of independent, disinterested directors who are not part of management or a group attempting a buyout of the firm.
Acquirers of firms with accumulated losses and tax credits may use them to offset future profits generated by the combined firms. However, the taxable nature of the transaction often plays a more important role in determining whether a merger takes place than do any tax benefits accruing to the acquirer. The seller may view the tax-free status of the transaction as a prerequisite for the deal to take place. A properly structured transaction can allow the target shareholders to defer any capital gain until the acquirer’s stock received in exchange for their shares is sold. Taxes also are an important factor motivating firms to move their corporate headquarters to low cost countries. The incentive for US firms to do so has been substantially reduced as a result of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Bill. So-called corporate inversions are discussed in more detail in Chapters 12 and 18.
The market power theory suggests that firms merge to improve their ability to set product prices by reducing output or by colluding. However, many recent studies conclude that increased merger activity is much more likely to contribute to improved operating efficiency than to increased market power (see “Payoffs for Society” section).
A recent study of M&As in the US telecommunications industry, deregulated in 1996, found that telecom takeovers were driven primarily by anticipated synergy (e.g., scale) rather than market power. Merger announcements usually cause rivals’ share prices to rise as investors anticipate that some will become takeover targets. If market power were the main motive, the increase in share prices should be distributed across all remaining firms. The change in rival share prices immediately following telecom merger announcements varied widely as investors bid up the share prices of competitors most likely to benefit from merger-related synergies leaving other firms’ share prices to languish.25 This pattern is inconsistent with market power being an important motive for takeovers in the US telecom industry.
Absent full information, investors may periodically incorrectly value a firm. If a firm’s shares are overvalued (undervalued), they are likely to decline (rise) in the long run to their true value as investors more accurately value such shares based on new information. Opportunistic acquirers may profit by buying undervalued targets for cash at a price below their actual value or by using overvalued equity (even if the target is overvalued), as long as the target is less overvalued than the bidding firm’s stock.26 Overvalued shares enable the acquirer to purchase a target firm in a share for share exchange by issuing fewer shares, reducing the dilution of current acquirer shareholders in the combined companies.27
Misvaluation contributes to market inefficiencies: the winning bidder may not be the one with the greatest synergy potential and the purchase price paid may exceed the target’s true economic value. Opportunistic acquirers using their overvalued stock to bid for a target can outbid others whose offers are limited to the extent of their potential synergy with the target firm. If the acquirer’s purchase price is based more on its overvalued shares than on perceived synergy, it is unlikely to create as much value for shareholders than a bidder basing their offer solely on anticipated synergy. Such instances are relatively rare occurring in about 7% of deals and the magnitude of the inefficiency on average is small.28 However, even if the opportunistic buyer fails to acquire the target their presence bids up the price paid thereby potentially causing the winning bidder to overpay for the target.
The effects of misvaluation tend to be short-lived, since the initial overvaluation of an acquirer’s share price often is reversed in 1–3 years as investors’ enthusiasm about potential synergies wanes.29 Both acquirer and target shareholders often lose in improperly valued deals. Acquirers tend to overpay for target firms and often anticipated synergy is insufficient for the acquirer to earn back the premium paid for the target. Target shareholders who hold their acquirer shares see them over time decline to their true economic value.
Analysts have often observed that the domestic volume and value of M&As tend to display periods of surging growth only to later recede (sometimes abruptly).30 European waves follow those in the United States with a short lag. Cross-border deals tend to follow cyclical patterns similar to domestic merger waves. Understanding M&A waves can provide significant insights enabling buyers to understand when to make and how to structure and finance deals. Similarly, sellers can attempt to time the sale of their businesses with the most advantageous time in the cycle.
M&As in the United States have tended to cluster in multiyear waves since the late 1890s. There are two competing explanations for this phenomenon. One argues that merger waves occur when firms react to industry “shocks,”31 such as from deregulation, the emergence of new technologies, distribution channels, substitute products, or a sustained rise in commodity prices. Such events often cause firms to acquire either all or parts of other firms.32 The second argument is based on misvaluation and suggests that managers use overvalued stock to buy the assets of lower valued firms. For M&As to cluster in waves, goes the argument, valuations of many firms must increase at the same time. Managers whose stocks are believed to be overvalued move concurrently to acquire firms whose stock prices are lesser valued.33 For this theory to be correct, the method of payment would normally be stock.
In fact, the empirical evidence shows that less stock is used to finance takeovers during merger waves. Since M&A waves typically correspond to an improving economy, managers confident about their stocks’ future appreciation are more inclined to use debt to finance takeovers,34 because they believe their shares are currently undervalued. Thus, the shock argument seems to explain M&A waves better than the misevaluation theory.35 However, shocks alone, without sufficient liquidity to finance deals, will not initiate a wave of merger activity. Moreover, readily available, low-cost capital may cause a surge in M&A activity even if industry shocks are absent.36
While research suggests that shocks drive merger waves within industries, increased M&A activity within an industry contributes to M&A activity in other industries due to customer-supplier relationships. Increased consolidation among computer chip makers in the early 2000s drove increased takeovers of suppliers of chip manufacturing equipment to accommodate growing customer demands for more complex chips. More recently, British American Tobacco’s (BAT) takeover of Reynolds American Tobacco in early 2017 creating the world’s biggest publicly traded firm in the industry pressured rivals to consolidate to achieve potential cost savings and to enhance marketing and distribution capabilities.
M&As commonly occur during periods of sustained high rates of economic growth, low or falling interest rates, and a rising stock market. Historically, each merger wave has differed in terms of a specific development (such as the emergence of a new technology), industry focus (such as rail, oil, or financial services), degree of regulation, and type of transaction (such as horizontal, vertical, conglomerate, strategic, or financial deals).
The stock market rewards firms acting early and punishes those that merely imitate. Firms pursuing attractive deals early pay lower prices for targets than followers. Late in the cycle, purchase prices escalate as more bidders enter the takeover market, leading many buyers to overpay. Reflecting this “herd mentality,” deals completed late in M&A waves tend to show lower acquirer returns than those announced prior to an upsurge in deal activity.37 Assuming they are not already in a downward spiral, firms wishing to sell all or part of their operations should attempt to time a sale when the demand for their type of business is the strongest. Investors can also benefit from merger waves by investing in other firms within industries where M&A activity is accelerating. Why? There is empirical evidence that the share prices of competitors tend to rise, assuming nothing else changes, following takeover announcements in the same industry.38 Moreover, increases in rivals’ share prices tend to be greater in industries subject to wide analyst coverage.
Leveraged buyout waves are closely related to declines in the aggregate risk premium (i.e., the excess return over the risk free rate) rather than specific credit conditions such as borrowing costs.39 Booms (busts) follow investors showing a greater (lower) appetite for risk and an increased (decreased) willingness to hold relatively illiquid investments.
Similar to domestic mergers, cross-border mergers cluster by industry and by time period. Both are triggered by similar factors; but unlike domestic M&A waves, deals completed later in the cross-border M&A cycle tend to show significantly higher abnormal acquirer returns. Also, they tend to be much higher than transactions completed outside of waves. Post-merger operating performance is also better for within-wave cross-border deals. This superior performance is even greater if the target country is different from the acquirer’s country in terms of such things as culture, economic development, geographic location, capital market maturity, and legal system.
The superior performance of cross-border acquirers who do deals later in the cycle may reflect their ability to learn from prior deals made by industry peers in the target country. Earlier deals within the industry establish comparable transaction values that may be used for valuation of the target firm thereby limiting the acquirer’s risk of overpaying. If in these prior deals investors have rewarded acquirers by bidding up their share prices, investors are more likely to applaud similar deals in the future, as long as the acquirer does not overpay. Empirical evidence supports this notion in that firms are more (less) likely to undertake cross-border deals in the same country if they observe positive (negative) stock price reactions to previous comparable deals.40 Because cross-border deals often have a higher level of risk than domestic transactions due to a greater number of unknowns, stock market reaction to past deals either confirms (or rejects) the wisdom of a takeover.
Corporate restructuring often is broken into two categories. Operational restructuring entails changes in the composition of a firm’s asset structure by acquiring new businesses or by the outright or partial sale or spin-off of companies or product lines. Operational restructuring could also include downsizing by closing unprofitable or nonstrategic facilities. Financial restructuring describes changes in a firm’s capital structure, such as share repurchases or adding debt either to lower the company’s overall cost of capital or as part of a takeover defense. The focus in this book is on business combinations and breakups rather than on operational downsizing and financial restructuring. Business combinations include mergers, consolidations, acquisitions, or takeovers and can be friendly or hostile.
Mergers can be described from a legal perspective and an economic perspective. The implications of each are discussed next.
A merger is a combination of two or more firms, often comparable in size, in which all but one ceases to exist legally. A statutory or direct merger is one in which the acquiring or surviving company assumes automatically the assets and liabilities of the target in accordance with the statutes of the state in which the combined companies will be incorporated. A subsidiary merger involves the target becoming a subsidiary of the parent. To the public, the target firm may be operated under its brand name, but it will be owned and controlled by the acquirer. A statutory consolidation—which involves two or more companies joining to form a new company—is technically not a merger. All legal entities that are consolidated are dissolved during the formation of the new company, which usually has a new name. Shareholders in the firms typically exchange their shares for shares in the new company.
Business combinations may also be defined depending on whether the merging firms are in the same (horizontal) or different industries (conglomerate) and on their positions in the corporate value chain (vertical). Fig. 1.1 illustrates the different stages of the value chain. A simple value chain in the basic steel industry may distinguish between raw materials, such as coal or iron ore; steel making, such as “hot metal” and rolling operations; and metals distribution. Similarly, a value chain in the oil and gas industry would separate exploration activities from production, refining, and marketing. An Internet value chain might distinguish between infrastructure providers such as Cisco, content providers such as Dow Jones, and portals such as Google. In a vertical merger, companies that do not own operations in each major segment of the value chain “backward integrate” by acquiring a supplier or “forward integrate” by buying a distributor. When paper manufacturer Boise Cascade acquired Office Max, an office products distributor, the $1.1 billion transaction represented forward integration. PepsiCo backward integrated through a $7.8 billion purchase of its two largest bottlers to realize $400 million in annual cost savings.
An acquisition occurs when a company takes a controlling interest in another firm, a legal subsidiary of another firm, or selected assets of another firm, such as a manufacturing facility. They may involve the purchase of another firm’s assets or stock, with the acquired firm continuing to exist as a legally owned subsidiary. A leveraged buyout or LBO is the acquisition of another firm financed primarily by debt. In contrast, a divestiture is the sale of all or substantially all of a company or product line to another party for cash or securities. A spin-off is a transaction in which a parent creates a new legal subsidiary and distributes shares in the subsidiary to its current shareholders as a stock dividend, with the spun off subsidiary now independent of the parent. A split-off is similar to a spin-off, in that a firm’s subsidiary becomes an independent firm and the parent firm does not generate any new cash. However, unlike a spin-off, the split-off involves an offer to exchange parent stock for stock in the parent firm’s subsidiary. An equity carve-out is a transaction in which the parent issues a portion of its stock or that of a subsidiary to the public (see Chapter 15). Fig. 1.2 provides a summary of the various forms of corporate restructuring.
The term takeover is used when one firm assumes control of another. In a friendly takeover, the target’s board and management recommend shareholder approval. To gain control, the acquiring company usually must offer a premium to the target’s current stock price. For example, French telecommunications giant Altice paid $34.90 per share of US cable company Cablevision in cash, 22% higher than Cablevision’s closing stock price on September 16, 2015 (the day before the deal was announced). The excess of the offer price over the target’s premerger share price is called a purchase or acquisition premium and varies widely by country.41 The premium reflects the perceived value of obtaining a controlling interest in the target, the value of expected synergies, and any overpayment for the target. Overpayment is the amount an acquirer pays for a target in excess of the present value of future cash flows, including synergy.42 The size of the premium varies widely from one year to the next. During the 30-year period ending in 2011, US purchase price premiums averaged 43%, reaching a high of 63% in 2003 and a low of 31% in 2007.43 The premium size also varies substantially across industries, reflecting their different expected growth rates.44
A formal proposal to buy shares in another firm made directly to its shareholders, usually for cash or securities or both is called a tender offer. Tender offers most often result from friendly negotiations (i.e., negotiated tender offers) between the boards of the acquirer and the target firm. Cash tender offers may be used because they could represent a faster alternative to mergers.45 Those that are unwanted by the target’s board are referred to as hostile tender offers. Self-tender offers are used when a firm seeks to repurchase its stock.
A hostile takeover occurs when the offer is unsolicited, the approach was contested by the target’s management, and control changed hands. The acquirer may attempt to circumvent management by offering to buy shares directly from the target’s shareholders and by buying shares in a public stock exchange (i.e., an open market purchase). Friendly takeovers are often consummated at a lower purchase price than hostile deals, which may trigger an auction for the target firm. Acquirers often prefer friendly takeovers because the postmerger integration process is usually more expeditious when both parties are cooperating fully and customer and employee attrition is less. Most transactions tend to be friendly, with hostile takeovers usually comprising less than 5% of the value of total deals.
A holding company is a legal entity having a controlling interest in one or more companies. The key advantage is the ability to gain effective control46 of other companies at a lower overall cost than if the firm was to acquire 100% of the target’s shares. Effective control sometimes can be achieved by owning as little as 30% of the voting stock of another company when the firm’s bylaws require approval of major decisions by a majority of votes cast rather than a majority of the voting shares outstanding. This is particularly true when the target company’s ownership is highly fragmented, with few shareholders owning large blocks of stock, and shareholder voting participation is limited. Effective control generally is achieved by acquiring less than 100% but usually more than 50% of another firm’s equity leaving the holding company with minority shareholders who may not always agree with the strategic direction of the company. Implementing holding company strategies may become contentious. Also, holding company shareholders may be subject to an onerous tax burden, with corporate earnings potentially subject to triple taxation.47
An ESOP is a trust fund that invests in the securities of the firm sponsoring the plan. Designed to attract and retain employees, ESOPs are defined contribution48 employee pension plans that invest at least 50% of the plan’s assets in the sponsor’s common shares. The plans may receive the employer’s stock or cash, which is used to buy the sponsor’s stock. The sponsor can make tax-deductible contributions of cash, stock, or other assets into the trust.49 The plan’s trustee is charged with investing the trust assets, and the trustee often can sell, mortgage, or lease the assets. Stock acquired by the ESOP is allocated to accounts for individual employees based on some formula and vested over time. ESOP participants must be allowed to vote their allocated shares at least on major issues such as selling the company.
ESOPs may be used to restructure firms. If a subsidiary cannot be sold at what the parent firm believes to be a reasonable price and liquidating the subsidiary would be disruptive to customers, the parent may divest the subsidiary to employees through a shell corporation. A shell corporation, as defined by the US Securities and Exchange Commission in 2005, is one with “no or nominal operations, and with no or nominal assets or assets consisting solely of cash and cash equivalents.”50 The shell sets up the ESOP, which borrows the money to buy the subsidiary; the parent guarantees the loan. The shell operates the subsidiary, whereas the ESOP holds the stock. As income is generated from the subsidiary, tax-deductible contributions are made by the shell to the ESOP to service the debt. As the loan is repaid, the shares are allocated to employees who eventually own the firm. ESOPs may be used by employees in LBOs to purchase the shares of owners of privately held firms. This is particularly common when the owners have most of their net worth tied up in their firms. ESOPs also provide an effective antitakeover defense, since employees who also are shareholders tend to vote against bidders for fear of losing their jobs.
In addition to mergers and acquisitions, businesses may combine through joint ventures (JVs), strategic alliances, minority investments, franchises, and licenses. The term business alliance is used to refer to all forms of business combinations other than mergers and acquisitions (see Chapter 15 for more details).
Joint ventures are business relationships formed by two or more parties to achieve common objectives. While the JV is often a legal entity such as a corporation or partnership, it may take any organizational form desired by the partners. Each JV partner continues to exist as a separate entity; JV corporations have their own management reporting to a board of directors. In early 2018, Germany’s MBDA Deutschland and US based Lockheed Martin announced the formation of a JV corporation to develop the next generation integrated air and missile defense system for Germany’s military.
A strategic alliance generally does not create a separate legal entity and may be an agreement to sell each firm’s products to the other’s customers or to co-develop a technology, product, or process. Such agreements may be legally binding or informal. To compete more effectively against Amazon.com, the leader in retailing and cloud computing, Walmart Inc. and Microsoft Corp signed a 5-year agreement in mid-2018 to use Microsoft’s cloud computing capabilities to expedite customer shopping.
Minority investments, those involving less than a controlling interest, require little commitment of management time for those willing to be passive investors. Such investments are frequently made in firms which have attractive growth opportunities but lack the resources to pursue them.51 Cash transferred through minority stake investments often represents an important source of financing for firms with limited financial resources to fund their innovative investments.52 Investors often receive representation on the board or veto rights in exchange for their investment. A minority investor can effectively control a business by having veto rights to changes in strategy, capital expenditures over a certain amount of money, key management promotions, salary increases applying to senior managers, the amount and timing of dividend payments, and when the business would be sold. In 2018, Chinese carmaker Geely became the top shareholder in Germany’s Daimler AG by acquiring a 9.7% stake to help the firm better compete with Google and Apple for a role in the shift to electric and self-driving cars.
Licenses enable firms to extend their brands to new products and markets by permitting others to use their brand names or to gain access to a proprietary technology. Firms with highly recognizable brand names can find such deals extremely profitable. For example, global consumer products powerhouse Nestle, disappointed with the growth of its own coffee products, acquired the rights to market, sell, and distribute Starbucks’ packaged coffees and teas outside the US for an upfront payment of $7.2 billion in late 2018. In addition, Starbucks would earn royalties on sales of its products by Nestle.
A franchise is a specialized form of a license agreement that grants a privilege to a dealer from a manufacturer or franchise service organization to sell the franchiser’s products or services in a given area. Under a franchise agreement, the franchiser may offer the franchisee consultation, promotional assistance, financing, and other benefits in exchange for a share of the franchise’s revenue. Franchises represent a low-cost way for the franchiser to expand and are commonly found in fast food services and retailing where a successful business model can be easily replicated.
The major attraction of these alternatives to outright acquisition is the opportunity for each partner to gain access to the other’s skills, products, and markets at a lower overall cost in terms of management time and money. Major disadvantages include limited control, the need to share profits, and the potential loss of trade secrets and skills to competitors.
In addition to the acquirer and target firms, the key participants in the M&A process include providers of specialized services, regulators, institutional investors and lenders, activist investors, and M&A arbitrageurs. Each participant plays a distinctly different role.
The first category includes investment banks, lawyers, accountants, proxy solicitors, and public relations personnel. Most negotiations involve teams of people with varied specialties, because teams have access to a wider variety of expertise and can react more rapidly to changing negotiating strategies than can a single negotiator.53 Not surprisingly, the number and variety of advisors hired by firms tends to increase dramatically with the increasing complexity of the deal.54
Investment banks provide advice and deal opportunities; screen potential buyers and sellers; make initial contact with a seller or buyer; as well as provide negotiation support, valuation, and deal structuring guidance. The “universal or top-tier banks” (e.g., Goldman Sachs) also maintain broker-dealer operations, serving wholesale and retail clients in brokerage and advisory roles, to support financing mega-transactions.
Investment bankers derive significant income from so-called fairness opinion letters—signed third-party assertions that certify the appropriateness of the price of a proposed deal involving a tender offer, merger, asset sale, or LBO. They often are developed as legal protection for members of the boards of directors against possible shareholder challenges of their decisions.55 Researchers have found that fairness opinion letters reduce the risk of lawsuits associated with M&A transactions and the size of the premium paid for targets if they result in acquirers’ performing more rigorous due diligence and deal negotiation.56
In selecting an investment bank, acquirers and target firms focus far more on a bank’s track record in generating high financial returns for their clients than on its size or market share. Smaller advisors may generate higher returns for their clients than the mega-investment banks because of proprietary industry knowledge and relationships. About one-fourth of merging firms tend to hire so-called boutique or specialty investment banks for their skill and expertise as their advisors, especially in deals requiring specialized industry knowledge. However, size and market share do matter in certain situations. Contrary to earlier studies that report a negative or weak relationship between bidder financial advisor size and bidder returns,57 bidders using top-tier investment banks as advisors report on average a 1% improvement in returns in deals involving public targets. Top-tier investment banks are better able to assist in funding large transactions, which typically involve public companies, because of their current relationships with lenders and broker networks.
About 50% of deals are advised by top-tier investment banks. Such banks seem to be more helpful in improving both short and long term financial performance for acquirers who have limited access to funds than for those that have few financial constraints. Perhaps high financing costs force constrained firms to be more careful in making acquisitions and are more inclined to hire top-tier advisors to identify more readily achievable synergies.58
Longstanding investment banking relationships do matter. However, their importance varies with the experience of the acquirer and target firm. Targets, having such relationships with investment banks, are more likely to hire M&A advisors59 and to benefit by receiving higher purchase price premiums. Frequent acquirers are more likely to use the same investment advisor if they have had good prior outcomes. Otherwise they are very willing to switch to a new investment advisor. Investment banking relationships are significant for inexperienced acquirers which are more likely to hire financial advisors with whom they have had a longstanding underwriting relationship for new equity issues.60
Firms that are in the mature stage of their corporate life cycle (net cash generators with limited investment opportunities) are more inclined to use investment bankers than firms in their growth phase (net cash users with many investment opportunities). Mature firms hiring investment bankers often show higher returns than those that do not, suggesting that financial advisors add value perhaps by helping such firms identify and value appropriate investment opportunities. Firms in their growth phase are less likely to use financial advisors due to the many investment opportunities that exist for such firms, but those not using advisors tend to earn lower returns than those that do.61
In recent years, active acquirers are relying more on their internal staffs to perform what has traditionally been done by outside investment bankers. According to Dealogic, 27% of public company deals valued at more than $1 billion in 2016 did not use investment advisors. This compares to 13% in 2014. The trend is driven by a desire to control costs, keep deals confidential, and move quickly when needed.
Lawyers help structure the deal, evaluate risk, negotiate the tax and financial terms, arrange financing, and coordinate the sequence of events to complete the transaction. Specific tasks include drafting the purchase agreement and other transaction-related documents, providing opinion of counsel letters to the lender, performing due diligence activities, and defending against lawsuits. Moreover, the choice of legal counsel in deal making often is critical as top legal advisors may be better able to handle the complexity and strategy that accompany M&A related lawsuits. They often can negotiate cheaper and faster deals and protect low premium deals from serious legal challenges. Moreover, top attorneys are more effective in multi-jurisdictional litigation cases.62
Accountants provide advice on financial structure, perform financial due diligence, and help create the optimal tax structure for a deal. Income tax, capital gains, sales tax, and sometimes gift and estate taxes are all at play in negotiating a merger or acquisition. In addition to tax considerations, accountants prepare financial statements and perform audits. Many agreements require that the books and records of the acquired entity be prepared in accordance with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP).
Proxy contests are attempts to change the management control or policies of a company by gaining the right to cast votes on behalf of other shareholders. In contests for the control of the board of directors of a target company, it can be difficult to compile mailing lists of stockholders’ addresses. The acquiring firm or dissatisfied shareholders hire a proxy solicitor to obtain this information. Furthermore, proxy solicitors have the systems in place to keep track accurately of thousands of votes cast. The target’s management may also hire proxy solicitors to design strategies for educating shareholders and communicating why they should support the board.
Such firms often are hired to ensure that a consistent message is communicated during a takeover attempt or in defending against takeovers. In initiating a hostile takeover attempt, the message to target shareholders must be that the acquirer’s plans for the company will increase shareholder value more than the plans of current management. Often, the target’s management will hire a private investigator to develop detailed financial data on the company and do background checks on key personnel, later using that information in the public relations campaign to discredit publicly the management of the acquiring firm.
Regulations that affect M&A activity exist at all levels of government and involve security, antitrust, environmental, racketeering, and employee benefits laws. Others are industry specific, such as public utilities, insurance, banking, broadcasting, telecommunications, defense contracting, and transportation. State antitakeover statutes place limitations on how and when a hostile takeover may be implemented. Moreover, approval at both the state and federal levels may be required for deals in certain industries. Cross-border transactions may be even more complicated, because it may be necessary to obtain approval from regulatory authorities in all countries in which the acquirer and target companies do business.
These financial intermediaries pool funds provided by others and invest or lend those funds to finance the purchase of a wide array of assets, from securities to real property to corporate takeovers. They include insurance companies, pension funds, and mutual funds; private equity, hedge funds, and venture capital funds; sovereign wealth funds; and angel investors. Commercial banks also are prominent intermediaries; however, under recent legislation their role is relegated primarily to lending rather than investing money deposited with the bank.
Institutional ownership of US companies has grown dramatically during the last thirty years. In the late 1980s, institutional investors owned about 30% of the average publicly traded firm, with individual investors owning the remaining outstanding shares. By 2015, they accounted for about two-thirds of the average firm’s outstanding shares.63 Institutional investors whose portfolio turnover is low and which tend to concentrate their investments in large firms contribute to higher valuations, superior governance practices, and better long-term performance of the firms in which they invest.64 Why? They provide ongoing monitoring of board and management performance.
Institutional investors are more likely to own stock in both acquiring and target firms than retail investors. As such, institutions holding stock in firms on both sides of the deal may have access to better and more current information than other investors and they can be more influential in lobbying both acquirer and target board members and management. Cross-holders have an ability to offset losses on one side of the transaction with gains on the other side. Cross-ownership increases the chances of two firms merging, reduces deal premiums, and reduces the completion of unattractive deals (i.e., those whose share prices tend to fall when they are announced). Moreover, post deal long-term performance tends to be positive.65
Risk averse and subject to substantial regulation, these institutions invest mostly in assets whose risk and return characteristics match their obligations to their customers. For example, an insurance company offers to mitigate risk for its customers in exchange for an insurance premium. The main source of profit for insurance companies is the sale of insurance products, but they also make money by investing premium income. Employers establish pension funds to generate income over the long term to provide pensions for employees when they retire. Typically, pension funds are managed by a financial advisor for the company and its employees, although some larger corporations operate their pension funds in-house. Mutual funds are pools of money professionally managed for the benefit of investors.
Traditionally, commercial banks have accepted checking, savings, and money market accounts and would lend these funds to borrowers. This model has evolved into one in which banks sell many of the loans they originate to others for whom buying, selling, and collecting loan repayments is their primary business. Commercial banks also derive an increasing share of their profits from fees charged for various types of services offered to depositors and fees charged for underwriting and other investment banking services. The Dodd-Frank bill, passed in 2010, is intended to limit the riskiness of bank lending and to severely restrict the types of investments that can be made. See Chapter 2 for a more detailed discussion of Dodd-Frank.
These funds assume higher levels of risk than other types of institutional investors and usually are limited partnerships in which the general partner has made a substantial personal investment. They are distinguished by their investment strategies, lockup periods (i.e., the length of time investors are required to commit funds), and the liquidity of their portfolios. Hedge fund investment strategies include trading a variety of financial instruments—debt, equity, options, futures, and foreign currencies—as well as higher risk strategies, such as corporate restructurings (e.g., LBOs) and credit derivatives (e.g., credit default swaps). Because of their shorter lockup periods, hedge funds focus on investments that can be readily converted into cash. In contrast, private equity funds often make highly illiquid investments in private companies and hold such investments for 5 years or more; they attempt to control risk by being actively involved in managing the firm in which they have invested. Venture capitalists are a significant source of funds for financing both start-ups and acquisitions.
Sovereign wealth funds are government-backed or -sponsored investors whose primary function is to invest accumulated foreign currency reserves. Countries with huge quantities of US dollars would, through such funds, often reinvest the money in US Treasury securities. These funds are increasingly taking equity positions in foreign firms, often making high-profile investments in public companies.
Angel investors are wealthy individuals banding together in “investment clubs” or networks to identify deals, pool money, and share expertise. Some angel groups imitate professional investment funds, some affiliate with universities, while others engage in for-profit philanthropy. The angel investor market tends to be largely informal and less professional than the venture capital market. Their appeal is that they fund early stage startups (often without revenue) and serve as mentors and sometimes as outside directors for entrepreneurs. Angel investors boost growth, operating performance, and the long-term survival of the firms they finance. In countries less friendly to entrepreneurs, angels tend to finance more established revenue generating firms.66
Such investors can either be an individual or a group that purchase large numbers of shares of a firm to vote their shares as a block or to obtain seats of the firm’s board of directors with the objective of effecting change. Institutions often play the role of activist investors to alter the policies of companies in which they invest and especially to discipline inept corporate management. Institutions having a long-term investment horizon have been shown to contribute to a firm’s financial performance due to their more active monitoring of management decisions.67 Activism has also assumed a more important role in recent years by replacing the historic role of hostile takeovers in disciplining underperforming managers or changing corporate strategies.68
While regulations restrict their ability to discipline corporate management, institutional investors with huge portfolios can be very effective in demanding governance changes.69 Corporate governance is the system of rules, processes, and practices that direct and control a firm. These institutions may challenge management on such hot-button issues as antitakeover defenses, CEO severance benefits, and employee stock option accounting. Voting against management, though, can be problematic, since some mutual funds manage retirement plans and, increasingly, provide a host of outsourcing services—from payroll to health benefits—for their business clients. Mutual funds may own stock, on behalf of their clients, in these same firms.
Pressure from institutional activists may account for the general decline in the number of executives serving as both board chairman and CEO of companies. Sometimes, CEOs choose to negotiate with activists rather than face a showdown at an annual shareholders meeting. Activists also are finding that they may avoid the expense of a proxy fight simply by threatening to vote in certain ways on supporting a CEO or a management proposal. This may mean a “no” vote, although in some instances the only option is to vote in the affirmative or abstain. Abstaining is a way to indicate dissatisfaction with a CEO or a firm’s policy without jeopardizing future underwriting or M&A business for the institution.
Hedge funds and private equity firms have had more success as activist investors than other institutional investors. They are successful about two-thirds of the time in their efforts to change a firm’s strategic, operational, or financial strategies, often generating attractive financial returns for shareholders.70 They seldom seek control (with ownership stakes averaging about 9%) and are most often non-confrontational. Their success as activists can be attributed to their managers, who direct large pools of relatively unregulated capital and who are highly motivated by financial gain. Because hedge funds are not subject to the same regulations governing mutual funds and pension funds, they can hold concentrated positions in a small number of firms. Moreover, they are not limited by the same conflicts of interests that afflict mutual funds and pension funds. Hedge funds tend to have the greatest impact on shareholder returns when they prod management to sell a company, but their impact dissipates quickly if the sale of the company is unsuccessful. Firms once targeted by activists are more likely to be acquired.
When a bid is made for a target firm, the target’s stock price often trades at a small discount to the actual bid—reflecting the risk that the deal may not be completed. Merger arbitrage refers to an investment strategy that attempts to profit from this spread. Arbs buy the stock and make a profit on the difference between the bid price and the current stock price if the deal is completed. Others may “short” the stock once it increases betting that the proposed merger will not be completed and the target’s share price will drop to its premerger announcement level. Assume a target firm’s shares are selling at $6 per share and an acquirer announces an offer to pay $10 per share. Because the outcome is uncertain, the target’s share price will rise to less than $10, assume $9.71 Other investors may bet the merger will not be completed and sell the stock short (i.e., sell borrowed shares—paying interest to the share owner based on the value of the shares when borrowed—hoping to buy them back at a lower price) at $9 and buy it back at $6.
Hedge fund managers, playing the role of arbs, may accumulate stock held outside of institutions to influence the outcome of the takeover attempt. If other offers for the target firm appear, arbs approach institutional investors with phone calls and through leaks to the media, attempting to sell their shares to the highest bidder. Acquirers making a hostile bid often encourage hedge funds to buy as much target stock as possible so that they can gain control of the target later by buying the stock from the hedge funds.
Arbs also provide market liquidity during transactions. In a cash-financed merger, arbs seeking to buy the target firm’s shares provide liquidity to the target’s shareholders that want to sell on the announcement day or shortly thereafter. Arbs may actually reduce liquidity for the acquirer’s stock in a share for share merger because they immediately “short” the acquirer shares. The downward pressure that arb short-selling puts on the acquirer’s share price at the time the deal is announced makes it difficult for others to sell without incurring a loss from the premerger announcement price.
The trading patterns of arbs can provide useful information to corporate managers by uncovering firms whose stock prices may be undervalued. Such firms may attract more coverage by industry analysts seeking investment opportunities for their clients. This increased coverage is not lost on acquiring company managers who otherwise may fail to notice an investment opportunity. Seeking to exploit an opportunity, Arbs are encouraged to develop more information about the target firm such as projected sales, profits, competitive position, etc. Their trading patterns serve to signal firm management that a particular firm might be an attractive takeover opportunity. Arbs buy the undervalued company’s shares and sell stocks that are out of favor. Once it becomes recognized widely by the investing public that a firm is undervalued and a takeover target, arbs are inclined to sell their shares since they have lost their informational advantage.72
Most M&As create value! On average, the sum of target and acquirer shareholders’ gains around the deal’s announcement date is positive and statistically significant (i.e., not due to chance).73 While most of the gain accrues to target shareholders, acquirer shareholders often experience financial gains in excess of what would have been realized in the absence of a takeover.74 And, as explained later, there is evidence that acquirer announcement date financial returns may be significantly understated. In the 3–5 years after a takeover, it is less clear if acquirer shareholders continue to benefit from the deal. As time passes, other factors impact performance, making it increasingly difficult to determine the extent to which a change in performance is due to an earlier acquisition.
Researchers use a variety of approaches to measure the impact of takeovers on shareholder value.75 The two most common are premerger event returns and postmerger accounting returns. So-called event studies examine abnormal stock returns to the shareholders of both acquirers and targets around the announcement of an offer (the “event”). Such studies presume that investors can accurately assess the likely success or failure of M&As realizing expected synergy around the deal’s announcement date.76 The results of these studies vary widely depending on the listing status,77 size of the acquirer and target firms, and the form of payment. Empirical studies of postmerger returns use accounting measures to gauge the impact on shareholder value in the years immediately following the announcement date.
Both event and postmerger returns in academic studies of M&As typically are estimated using regression analysis (i.e., a process used to quantify the relationship among variables). Fluctuations in the so-called dependent variable (in these studies some measure of financial returns or performance) are explained by selecting a set of factors (i.e., independent variables) whose variation is believed to explain changes in the dependent variable. These studies do not “prove” that certain independent variables explain returns but rather suggest that they are statistically relevant (i.e., their correlation is not due to chance) for the sample and time period selected by the researcher. In many academic studies only about one-quarter (or less) of the total variation in financial returns or performance is explained by the independent variables in the study. The remainder of the variation remains unexplained, thus making the results of such studies problematic at best because the exclusion of relevant variables can bias the results.78
To assess value creation potential, we look at abnormal financial returns to the following constituencies: acquiring firm shareholders, target firm shareholders, bondholders, and for society the sum of acquiring and target firm shareholders. These are addressed separately in the following sections.
Positive abnormal or excess shareholder returns may be explained by such factors as improved efficiency, pricing power, and tax benefits. They are abnormal in that they exceed what an investor would normally expect to earn for accepting a certain level of risk. If an investor expects to earn a 10% return on a stock but actually earns 15% due to a takeover, the abnormal or excess return to the shareholder would be 5%.79
Average abnormal returns to target shareholders during the 2000s averaged 25.1% as compared to 18.5% during the 1990s.80 This upward trend may reflect bidders’ willingness to offer higher premiums in friendly takeovers to preempt other bidders, the increasing sophistication of takeover defenses, federal and state laws requiring bidders to notify target shareholders of their intentions before completing the deal, and the decline in the number of publicly listed firms during the last two decades.81 While relatively infrequent, returns from hostile tender offers generally exceed those from friendly mergers, which are characterized by less contentious negotiated settlements and the absence of competing bids.
Sometimes returns to target shareholders on the announcement date can be negative. Why? Because investors are sensitive to the size of the actual offer price relative to the expected offer price.82 When the announced offer price is below expectations, investors express their disappointment by selling their shares. Selling pressure can be particularly intense when the run-up in share prices prior to the bid is fueled largely by speculators hoping to profit from a sizable jump in the stock. When it becomes clear that their expectations will not be realized, speculators try to lock in any profits they have by selling their shares.
Rival firms in the same industry as the target firm also show significant abnormal financial returns around the announcement date that the target is to be acquired. This reflects investor anticipation that such firms are likely to become targets themselves as the industry undergoes consolidation. Those firms that are covered by the largest number of security analysts tend to show the highest abnormal returns, as analysts fuel such speculation.83
Recent research involving large samples of tens of thousands of public and private firms over lengthy time periods including US, foreign, and cross-border deals document that returns to acquirer shareholders are generally positive around the deal announcement date.84 Before 2009, event studies showed on average negative abnormal financial acquirer returns of about 1% in cash and stock deals involving large public firms. After 2009, M&As showed average positive and statistically significant abnormal returns of about 1% for acquirers while stock deals no longer destroy value.85 Why? The Dodd-Frank reform act that passed in 2010, although aimed primarily at financial institutions, has improved monitoring and governance systems for all US listed firms. This has been achieved through new mandatory disclosure rules, refining executive compensation, granting more powers to shareholders, and strengthening executive/director accountability.
Earlier studies largely ignored deals involving private acquirers, private targets, or both, which comprise at least four-fifths or more of total deals. Studies including private targets and acquirers display average acquirer shareholder positive abnormal returns of about 1%–1.5%. The earlier studies also fail to explain why tens of thousands of M&As are reported annually worldwide and why the number and size of M&As continues to grow, implying inexplicably that managers do not learn from past failures.
Pre-2009 studies may also understate average acquirer returns because they are based on relatively small samples of mostly large public firms, employ problematic methodologies, fail to capture the preannouncement rise in acquirer share prices,86 and fail to adjust for distortions of a few large transactions. Nor do they properly account for premerger pay for performance programs even though bidders with high pay for performance plans tend to pay lower premiums and realize higher announcement date financial returns than firms that do not have such plans.87 Furthermore, commonly used sampling methods bias sample selection toward larger publicly traded firms making such samples unrepresentative of the general populations of firms involved in M&As.88 Moreover, studies focusing on publicly traded firms are likely to suffer from increasingly small sample bias as the number of such firms continues to drop, having fallen by more than 50% over the last several decades.
A more significant shortcoming of measuring the success or failure of deals using announcement date returns is that such deals often are not viewed in the context of a larger business strategy.89 Business strategies tend to drive M&A outcomes and consolidated financial returns90 and announcement date returns vary widely often reflecting the differing motives for mergers.91 Event studies assume that investors at the time of the deal’s announcement can accurately assess potential synergy, even though investors lack access to the necessary information to make an informed decision. If event return studies understate synergy they tend to understate actual financial returns to the acquirer including the effects of the target firm. What follows are illustrations of how corporate wide strategies can generate highly attractive financial returns to acquirers even though individual M&A’s can be viewed as destroying shareholder value when viewed in isolation.
Google was widely criticized as having overpaid in 2006 when it acquired YouTube for $1.65 billion. Google’s business strategy was to increase usage of its search engine and websites to attract advertising revenue. Today, YouTube is widely recognized as the most active site featuring videos on the internet and has attracted substantial additional web activity for its parent. Viewed independently from the Google business strategy, YouTube may not exhibit attractive financial returns, but as part of a larger strategy, it appears to have been wildly successful. Moreover, event studies do not take into account the potential beneficial impact of defensive acquisitions.92 Facebook’s eye-popping $21.8 billion acquisition in 2014 of WhatsApp with its meager $20 million in annual revenue was in part justified because it kept this rapidly growing mobile messaging business out of the hands of Google. Amazon.com‘s $13.7 billion buyout of grocer Whole Foods in 2017 may show negative returns if viewed as separate from Amazon’s corporate strategy but can exhibit very positive financial returns if viewed in the context of creating more brand loyalty. It does not matter where Amazon.com makes money throughout its diverse array of businesses but only that it does make enough to satisfy investors.
Disney was severely criticized as overpaying when it acquired Pixar for $7.3 billion in 2006, Marvel Entertainment in 2009 for $4 billion, and Lucasfilm for $4 billion in 2012. Disney’s business strategy has been to nurture strong brands and grow creative content. The acquisition of the highly successful film animation studio Pixar reinvigorated Disney’s animation and production studio business and prevented Pixar from being acquired by a rival. Marvel Entertainment provided the firm with such iconic brands as Iron Man, Spider-Man, the X-Men, Captain America, the Fantastic Four, and Thor. Lucasfilm added the Star Wars franchise to Disney’s growing film library. When combined with Disney’s creative skills and global distribution, these brands have helped push Disney earnings to record levels.
The objective of examining postmerger accounting or other performance measures such as cash flow and operating profit, usually during the 3- to 5-year period following closing, is to determine how performance changed. The evidence, however, is conflicting. In a review of 26 studies of postmerger performance during the 3–5 years after the merger, Martynova and Renneboog (2008a) found that 14 showed a decline in operating returns, 7 provided positive (but statistically insignificant) changes in profitability, and 5 showed a positive and statistically significant increase in profitability.93 The inconclusiveness of these studies may reflect methodological issues and the failure to distinguish among alternative situations in which M&As occur. The longer the postmerger period analyzed, the greater the likelihood that other factors, wholly unrelated to the merger, will affect financial returns. Moreover, these longer term studies are not able to compare how well the acquirer would have done without the acquisition.
Abnormal returns to acquirer shareholders are largely situational, varying according to the size of the acquirer, the type and size of the target, the form of payment, and firm specific characteristics (see Table 1.4).
Table 1.4
Characteristic | Empirical support |
---|---|
Type of target: Acquirer returns on • US buyouts are often positive when the targets are privately owned (or are subsidiaries of public companies) and slightly negative when the targets are large publicly traded firms (i.e., so-called “listing effect”), regardless of the country • Cross-border deals generally positive except for those involving large public acquirers which are often zero to negative | Jansen and Stuart (2014) Netter et al. (2011) Capron and Shen (2007) Faccio et al. (2006) Draper and Paudyal (2006) Moeller et al. (2005) Barbopoulos et al. (2013) Erel et al. (2012) Ellis et al. (2011) Chari et al. (2010) Yilmaz and Tanyeri (2016) |
Form of payment: Acquirer returns on • Equity-financed acquisitions of large public firms often negative and less than cash-financed deals in the US • Equity-financed acquisitions of public or private firms frequently more than all-cash-financed deals in European Union countries • Equity-financed deals involving private firms (or subsidiaries of public firms) often exceed significantly cash deals • Cross-border deals financed with equity often negative | Fu et al. (2013) Martynova and Renneboog (2008a,b) Netter et al. (2011) Officer et al. (2009) Chang (1998) Ellis et al. (2011) Vijh and Yang (2013) Offenberg (2009) |
Acquirer/target size • Smaller acquirers often realize higher returns than larger acquirers • Relatively small deals often generate higher acquirer returns than larger ones • Acquirer returns may be lower when the size of the acquisition is large relative to the buyer (i.e., more than 30% of the buyer’s market value) | Gorton et al. (2009) Moeller et al. (2005) Moeller et al. (2004) Hackbarth and Morellec (2008) Frick and Torres (2002) Rehm et al. (2012) |
Firm Characteristics: Acquirer returns higher due to • Postmerger integration skills • Specific industry or proprietary knowledge | Golubov et al. (2015) |
Managers at large firms tend to overpay more than those at smaller firms, since large firm executives may have been involved in more deals and be subject to hubris. In addition, incentive systems at larger firms may be skewed toward rewarding growth rather than ongoing performance thereby encouraging senior manages to focus on large acquisitions, which often are difficult to integrate. Finally, managers of large firms may pursue larger, more risky investments (such as unrelated acquisitions) in an attempt to support the firm’s overvalued share price. In contrast, CEOs of small firms tend to own a larger percentage of the firm’s outstanding shares than those of larger firms. On average CEOs of small firms own 7.4% of their firm’s stock, while those of larger firms own on average 4.5%. Consequently, small company CEOs may be more risk averse in negotiating M&As. Regardless of the reason, research shows that large public acquirers tend to destroy shareholder wealth, while small acquirers create wealth.94
Large size can have benefits for M&As in countries characterized by weak corporate governance, (i.e., countries in which the laws and courts fail to protect shareholders’ rights). Realizing positive abnormal financial returns averaging 1.3% around the deal announcement date, large acquirers in such countries often are better able to insulate themselves from corrupt governments due to their sheer size, prestige, influence, and political connections. Reflecting their excellent political connections in weak governance environments, large acquirers often take less time to complete deals than in countries with more rigorous governance practices enabling a more rapid realization of anticipated synergies.95
US acquirers of private firms or subsidiaries of publicly traded firms often realize positive abnormal returns of 1.5%–2.6% around the announcement date.96 Acquirers pay less for private firms or subsidiaries of public companies due to the limited availability of information and the limited number of bidders for such firms. That is, the market for private firms is illiquid. Since these targets may be acquired at a discount from their true value, acquirers can realize a larger share of the combined value of the acquirer and target firms.
Acquirer announcement date financial returns tend to be three times larger for acquisitions involving small targets than for those involving large targets.97 High-tech firms realize attractive returns by acquiring small, but related, target firms to fill gaps in their product offerings.98 Larger deals tend to be riskier for acquirers99 and experience consistently lower postmerger performance, possibly reflecting the challenges of integrating large target firms and realizing projected synergies. There are exceptions: firms making large acquisitions show less negative or more positive returns in slower growing than in faster growing sectors.100 In slow growth industries, integration may be less disruptive than in faster growing industries, which may experience a slower pace of new product introductions and upgrade efforts. Furthermore, small firms are less likely than larger firms to receive overpriced stock offers since they often are less attractive to larger firms, which are more prone to use overvalued stock.101 Why? Because small deals often do not provide the incremental revenue and profit to jumpstart growth for the larger firms. Therefore, purchases of smaller firms at reasonable prices provide a greater likelihood of realizing attractive financial returns.
Pre-2009, empirical studies frequently concluded that announcement date returns to acquirer shareholders were negative when the acquirer and target are publicly traded and the form of payment consists mostly of stock. Why? Publicly traded acquirers tend to issue stock opportunistically when they believe their shares are overvalued, because they can issue fewer new shares resulting in less earnings dilution. Investors treat such decisions as signals that the stock is overvalued and sell their shares when the new equity issue is announced, causing the firm’s share price to decline. Moreover, acquirers using overvalued stock tend to overpay for target firms making it difficult to recover the premium paid by realizing synergy.102 The combination of these factors, so the argument goes, made most stock deals unattractive for acquirer shareholders. While acquirer firms may be able to convince target firm shareholders to accept overvalued shares, there appears to be little evidence according to one recent study that they can do so frequently.103
While the value of acquirer shares can be ambiguous (i.e., over or undervalued) to investors, the value of cash is not. Acquirers using cash to purchase the target firm are less inclined to overpay as it can be more obvious to investors. Such acquirers often exhibit better long-term share price performance than do those using stock.104 Investors interpret the use of cash as a signal that the acquirer’s stock is undervalued and bid up the acquirer’s share price.
Post-2009, acquirer returns, as noted previously, have improved significantly.105 Cash deals often show positive returns and stock deals no longer destroy value. The magnitude of the decline in acquirer shares (and in turn investor wealth) in stock deals appears to be overstated. The majority of the decline in acquirer shares on the announcement date may be related more to merger arbitrage activity than to investors believing the shares are overvalued. About 60% of the sharp decline in acquirer shares on the announcement date may reflect short selling as arbitrageurs buy the target’s shares and short the acquirer’s.106
The decline in acquirer share prices in stock-financed deals is more likely with transactions in which the acquirer is subject to high rather than low investor scrutiny.107 Because deals can be highly complex and vary depending on terms and conditions, investors may not be paying sufficient attention to the extent of the acquirer’s stock overvaluation. When investor attention is low (as measured by acquirer share trading volume around the announcement date) acquirer share price reductions may not incorporate the full effects of overvaluation. However, the acquirer’s share price may continue to decline post acquisition as investors recognize the full extent of the overvaluation.
Why would target shareholders accept overvalued acquirer shares? They may agree to such payment terms because in share exchanges the requirement to pay capital gains taxes may be deferred until the target shareholders sell their shares, the takeover may be too big for the acquirer to finance with cash, and overvaluation may not be obvious. Moreover, target firm shareholders may believe the likely synergy resulting from the merger is substantial enough to offset the potential for the overvalued acquirer shares to decline over time108 and the use of acquirer shares may reduce the leverage of the combined firms. The latter factor recognizes that the postmerger risk associated with acquirer shares reflects the combined leverage of both the target and acquiring firms. Overvalued acquirer shares may be justified if their issuance will result in a reduction in the leverage (i.e., a lower debt to total capital ratio) of the combined firms.109 The resulting risk reduction may reduce or eliminate the overvaluation of the acquirer shares.
Institutional and legal differences (as well as the concentration of equity ownership) among countries offer contrary results making generalizations problematic. For example, on average publicly traded Chinese acquirers realize positive abnormal rates of return on announcement dates, and their excess returns tend to be substantially higher in non-cash deals.110 Why? In China, a 20% capital gains tax is levied immediately on a target’s shareholders when they are paid in cash. Consequently, target shareholders may be willing to accept a lower purchase price to benefit from tax deferral. Furthermore, equity-financed deals in the European Union often display higher acquirer returns than those using cash due to the existence of large block shareholders, whose active monitoring tends to improve the acquired firm’s performance.111 Such shareholders are less common in the US.
Announcement-period gains to acquirer shareholders tend to dissipate within 3–5 years, even when the acquisition is successful, when stock is used to acquire a large public firm. These findings imply that shareholders, selling around the announcement dates, may realize the largest gains from either tender offers or mergers. A tendency for target firms to manage pre-merger earnings also may explain their underperformance in the years immediately following a takeover, even when acquirers use cash rather than equity. Targets may deliberately over-accrue revenue and under-accrue expenses during the year prior to takeovers in order to boost reported earnings used by the acquirer to value the target firm.112 In cash transactions, the full cost of such earnings management is borne by acquirer shareholders who may see their shares decline in value as generally accepted accounting principles are accurately applied in future years, while target shareholders having received cash at closing are unhurt.113
Acquirer characteristics can explain to a greater extent than deal specific factors (e.g., form and timing of payment) the variation in financial returns to acquiring firms.114 While a growing literature using increasingly larger and more diverse samples over the last three decades has identified a number of determinants of acquirer performance, the overall variation in acquirer returns remains largely unexplained. Not surprisingly, acquirers displaying superior managerial ability, particularly in highly uncertain environments, achieve higher abnormal financial returns.115 In addition, a firm’s organizational deal making skill and knowledge residing in an in-house corporate development team charged with screening deals, performing due diligence, and undertaking most of the analysis underlying acquisition decisions can boost returns. Another factor is the acquirer’s performance relative to the target’s. Acquirers experience higher positive announcement date returns when they have significant growth opportunities and acquire firms with lower growth opportunities.116 Such acquirers can divert the target’s resources that were supporting poor investment opportunities to supporting more attractive ones.
Other factors impacting acquirer financial returns could include a firm’s time-tested postmerger integration process, specific industry or proprietary knowledge, or accumulated experience. Successful acquirers tend to internalize the M&A process such that continuing success is not totally dependent on the leadership at the top and the deal structure employed.
M&As have little impact on abnormal returns to acquirer or target bondholders, except in special situations in which wealth transfers between bond and stockholders may occur. The limited impact on bondholder wealth is due to the relationship between leverage and operating performance.117 How M&As affect bondholder wealth reflects, in part, the extent to which an increase in leverage that raises the potential for default is offset by the discipline imposed on management to improve operating performance.118 Other things being equal, increasing leverage will lower current bondholder wealth, while improving operating performance will augment bondholder wealth.
M&As can, however, impact target firm bondholders when credit quality is low, poison puts are present, and when the target tenders for its bonds. M&As can also trigger a wealth transfer from bond to stockholders when financial institutions are “dual holders,” takeovers are financed with cash, acquirers have large cash balances, and boards increase dividend payouts following pressure from activists. These cases are discussed next.
Target firm bondholders, whose debt is below investment grade, experience positive abnormal returns if the acquirer has a higher credit rating. Much of the improvement in the target firm comes well before the announcement of a takeover and is more likely attributable to insider information than market anticipation.119 Further, when loan covenant agreements for firms subject to takeover include poison puts that allow bondholders to sell their bonds back to the company at a predetermined price, bondholders experience positive abnormal returns when a change of control takes place.120 Target firms whose boards support a buyout offer may tender for such bonds because they increase the acquirer’s takeover cost and threaten deal completion. Those tendering their bonds realize significant excess returns.121
Another special case occurs when financial institutions hold both equity and debt positions in a firm. Sometimes called “dual holders,” such institutions have an incentive to accept smaller equity premiums when the value of the debt position is likely to increase by an amount greater than the equity premium. A takeover resulting in a lower debt to equity ratio often causes the value of the target’s debt to appreciate significantly if the firm was previously viewed as highly leveraged prior to the takeover bid. Consequently, “dual holders” stand to benefit more if the deal closes than if it does not because the acquirer balks at the size of the equity premium demanded by the target firm.122
Deals financed with cash on the balance sheet or by new borrowing can reduce the value of acquirer debt. When cash and cash equivalents are used, less risky cash assets are substituted for more risky assets owned by the target raising default risk assuming nothing else changes. When cash is obtained through new borrowing, the new debt is often senior in liquidation to existing acquirer debt, thereby increasing the default risk associated with pre-acquisition acquirer debt.123 The impact on acquirer bondholders can be even more pronounced when acquirers have large pre-acquisition cash balances which serve as a cushion against default. Why? Large cash balances tend to encourage value destroying takeovers because management tends to overpay in the presence of such balances.124 Finally, target bondholder returns decline when activists initiate an action to force the firm’s board to increase cash dividends. The increase reduces cash available to make interest and principal repayments. The decline in bondholder returns is largest in long-term and lower rated bonds in the 12 month period following the date the activist announces their intentions.125
M&As on average create value for society when we sum abnormal financial returns to both acquiring and target firm shareholders. Value is created by M&As when more efficient firms acquire less efficient ones.126 Even greater value is created when risk-taking bidders with limited investment opportunities acquire risk-averse targets with attractive growth opportunities and redeploy the assets to more productive uses.127 Numerous empirical studies show that M&As result in improved productivity and lower product prices than would have been the case without the deal.128 M&As improve average firm productivity (i.e., greater output per unit of input) by 4.8%.129 The impetus for this improved efficiency is clear. After a takeover, acquirers have a strong incentive to improve the target’s operating efficiency to recover any premium paid. Society benefits as a result of the additional output, employment, as well as wages and salaries in the long-run that would not have been realized otherwise.130
CSR investing posits that firms have a responsibility to invest in ways (including M&As) that benefit the community in addition to the jobs, household income, and tax revenues they generate. CSR outlays can contribute to firm value by promoting a firm’s brand and by attracting workers who share the firm’s corporate values.131 However, agency conflicts between shareholders and managers can arise as some CSR expenditures are made that contribute little to shareholder wealth creation but are intended to obtain support from other stakeholder groups in management’s effort to retain their positions and improve their compensation. Such actions can reduce firm value.132 Thus, a potential conflict exists between maximizing shareholder value and corporate socially responsible investing.
A recent study investigates how investors react to deal announcements involving acquirers with different levels of premerger CSR spending. Their reaction reflects how they perceive the costs versus benefits of CSR investment. Some investors believe CSR spending such as that made to resolve environmental issues may improve acquirer reputations and increase deal completion rates. Other investors concerned about CSR related agency costs do not view acquirers with high premerger CSR spending as a reason to invest in the firm when the deal is announced, as such spending can impair postmerger financial performance.133
M&As represent only one way of executing business plans. Alternatives include “go it alone” strategies and the various forms of business alliances. Which method is chosen depends on management’s desire for control, willingness to accept risk, and the range of opportunities present at a particular moment in time. M&As generally reward significantly target shareholders and, to a lesser extent, acquirer shareholders, with some exceptions.
Answers to these Chapter Discussion Questions are available in the Online Instructor’s Manual for instructors using this book (https://textbooks.elsevier.com/web/Manuals.aspx?isbn=9780128150757).
When Jeff Bezos, the richest man on the planet, speaks people listen. Why? Because of his impressive track record in realizing his long held vision for his firm, Amazon.com Inc. (Amazon). Bezos is known for having a clear focus and an unwavering commitment to achieve the Amazon’s vision: “…to be the earth’s most customer-centric company; to build a place where people can come to find and discover anything they might want to buy online.”135 This vision has informed Bezo’s decision making since the firm’s formation in 1994 to what it has become today: the top internet retailing company in the world.
Over the years, the firm has made numerous acquisitions often to fill holes in its product offering. But none compare in size and boldness to the firm’s decision to acquire Whole Foods Inc. (Whole Foods), a move likely to drive further grocery industry consolidation. Whole Foods is self-described as an American grocery chain dedicated to “…the finest natural and organic foods available, to maintaining the strictest quality standards in the industry, and having an unshakeable commitment to sustainable agriculture.136
On June 16, 2017, Amazon announced that it had reached an agreement to acquire Whole Foods for $13.7 billion, including Whole Food’s outstanding debt. Amazon agreed to pay $42 a share for the firm, valuing the grocer at a 27% premium to its closing price on the preceding day. John Mackey will remain the chief executive of Whole Foods; stores will operate under that name and maintain their current suppliers and, at least for a time, no Whole Foods employees will be terminated. Investors celebrated the announcement by driving up the value of Amazon shares by more than 2% immediately following the announcement. Recognizing their vulnerability, investors caused shares of competitors Wal-Mart, Target and Costco to plummet. Absent regulatory concerns, the deal closed relatively quickly on August 24, 2017.
The deal transformed the online retailer into a major competitor in the “brick and mortar” retail sector. Amazon views the grocery business as one of the most important long-term drivers of growth in its retail segment. Acquiring Whole Foods enables Amazon to obtain quickly a larger portion of the estimated $674 billion US market for groceries. Amazon is expected to eventually use the stores to promote private-label products,137 integrate and grow its artificial-intelligence-powered Echo speakers, boost Prime membership, and entice more customers to utilize both its online and now brick and mortar distribution channels.
For Whole Foods, the handwriting was on the wall. The firm has seen its traditional competitors such as Wal-Mart and Kroger erode its market share by offering more natural and organic items. Price cutting by competitors also eroded the firm’s profit margins. Reflecting these factors, the firm’s shares have lost nearly one half of their value since their peak in 2013 as sales at stores open at least one year have slumped. The takeover by Amazon offered Whole Foods’ board and management an opportunity to turn the firm around.
Entry into such industries as the grocery business is limited by such barriers as the need to achieve substantial scale/volume to negotiate effectively with suppliers and the requirement for widespread geographic coverage to grow the business. The acquisition gives Amazon a scale and geographic distribution that would have taken years to build had Amazon attempted to reinvest in its own start up grocery business. Whole Foods’ 460 store network provides a broad geographic distribution network enabling Amazon to offer in-store pickup of merchandise purchased online and an additional means of offering its expanding product offering to consumers who prefer to shop for certain things in stores.
An even bigger opportunity is for Amazon to gain access to data on how people shop. Consumer spending behavior in stores is drastically different from online shopping. Consumers are more likely to browse and make impulse buys in stores whereas shoppers are more targeted online. Amazon has spent time experimenting with brick-and-mortar stores prior to the acquisition of Whole Foods. It already has opened eight bookstores, with another five planned for 2018. These stores have been used in part to start collecting data on how consumers browse in stores. Amazon has had a more difficult time implementing its Amazon Go program consisting of convenience stores in which customers scan their phones as they walk in, pick up items to purchase, and exit without having to pay a cashier.
Using data obtained from its shoppers’ buying habits, Amazon is expected to set prices and product selection which will differ widely among the firm’s regional stores. The data Amazon collects will likely help it decide which private-label brands to expand and which new ones to introduce. Bringing together online and offline data can help Amazon learn how to entice customers to make more impulse purchases online. Cross selling opportunities also may exist between the two firms’ loyal customer bases due to significant overlap. Almost two-thirds of Whole Foods customers are members of Amazon’s Prime service. Whole Foods could roll out its own order online/pick up in store service just as Wal-Mart has done.
Ultimately, the motivation for Amazon to acquire Whole Foods could center on its desire to disrupt the current grocery industry supply chain, just as it did in books and other industries. Amazon’s massive regional distribution centers could eliminate many wholesalers who now dominate the grocery industry’s supply chain. Whole Foods currently sources many of its perishable and specialty products from a network of suppliers, giving Amazon an opportunity to remake how business is done.
The takeover of Whole Foods represents a serious competitive threat to Wal-Mart which derives more than one-half of its sales from groceries, and its online sales continue to struggle compared to Amazon’s online presence. Traditional grocers such as Kroger Co. and Albertsons Cos. have been whipsawed by volatile food prices, lackluster consumer spending, and stiffer competition from deep discounters. Furthermore, online merchants could experience more aggressive price discounting resulting from the tie-up of Amazon and Whole Foods. All major players in the grocery industry will be compelled to rethink their business models in this dynamically changing marketplace.
On paper, the combination of Whole Foods and Amazon looks formidable to competitors; however, realizing perceived opportunities may prove far more daunting. Merging differences in cultures and business models will constitute a major obstacle to Amazon’s management. In many ways, the two retailers are quite different. Amazon is a low-price leader, while Whole Foods provides a premium product offering. Amazon focuses on cost cutting and improving efficiency while Whole Foods keeps its margins high by selling premium products at premium prices and by providing excellent customer service. At 5.5%, Whole Foods’ operating margins are higher than those of Amazon’s North American retail business at 3%. Efforts to make Whole Foods prices more competitive without improving its cost structure would put considerable downward pressure on the firm’s profitability.
Whole Foods also has a reputation of taking good care of its employees while Amazon’s relationship with its employees is more problematic. Aggressive cost cutting efforts could demoralize Whole Food employees causing productivity and customer service to suffer eventually triggering customer attrition. While their presence in the grocery industry would be significantly improved, the combined companies would still trail market leaders as the fifth- largest US grocery retailer by market share, behind Wal-Mart, Kroger, Costco and Albertsons. These competitors have established supply chains and can buy in substantial volume to help them manage the already thin profit margins that characterize this industry. While ordering online and later picking up your groceries at the local store (so-called “connect and collect”) is growing, it still represents only 2% of grocery sales. For consumers, old habits die hard. It may take years for consumers in large numbers to change their buying patterns. Although using ATMs to process financial transactions is widespread, it is important to remember that their popularity took decades to achieve with the first ATM having been introduced in the late 1960s.
Answers to these questions are found in the Online Instructor’s Manual available to instructors using this book (https://textbooks.elsevier.com/web/Manuals.aspx?isbn=9780128150757).