Importance of Replication

“Factor analysis is really not concerned with exactness, only good approximation.”
-Nunnally & Bernstein, 1994, p. 509.
We have repeatedly recommended that readers and researchers keep in mind the exploratory nature of EFA —a procedure that by nature is quirky, temperamental, valuable, and interesting. As we discussed in Chapter 5, exploratory factor analysis takes advantage of all the information in the interrelationships between variables, whether those interrelationships are representative of the population or not. In other words, EFA tends to overfit a model to the data such that when the same model is applied to a new sample, the model is rarely as good a fit. When we as readers see a single EFA, often on an inadequate sample (as discussed in Chapter 5), we have no way of knowing whether the results reported are likely to generalize to a new sample or to the population. But it seems as though this might be useful information.
If you read enough articles reporting the results from factor analyses, too often you will find confirmatory language used regarding exploratory analyses. We need to re-emphasize in our discipline that EFA is not a mode for testing of hypotheses or confirming ideas (e.g., Briggs & Cheek, 1986; Floyd & Widaman, 1995), but rather for exploring the nature of scales and item interrelationships. EFA merely presents a solution based on the available data.
These solutions are notoriously difficult to replicate, even under abnormally ideal circumstances (exceptionally clear factor structure, very large sample to parameter ratios, strong factor loadings, and high communalities). As mentioned already, many point estimates and statistical analyses vary in how well they will generalize to other samples or populations (which is why we are more routinely asking for confidence intervals for point estimates). But EFA seems particularly problematic in this area.
We find this troubling, and you should too. Of course, we have no specific information about how replicable we should expect particular factor structures to be because direct tests of replicability are almost never published. As Thompson (1999) and others note, replication is a key foundational principle in science, but we rarely find replication studies published. It could be because journals refuse to publish them, or because researchers don’t perform them. Either way, this is not an ideal situation.
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