RECOMMENDATIONS FOR FURTHER READING

Algorithms to live by (Christian and Griffiths 2016) shows how applying some guiding principles of computer science can help with making professional and personal decisions.

Think again (Grant 2021) offers practical ideas from the social sciences to help keep an open mind when dealing with uncertainty.

Decisive (Heath and Heath 2013) summarises advances in social sciences into an insightful framework to sidestep psychological traps while making difficult decisions.

Give yourself a nudge (Keeney 2020) gives concrete ways to improve your decision making, focusing particularly on the criteria.

Perfectly confident (Moore 2020) provides practical ideas to test hypotheses and think probabilistically.

Range (Epstein 2020) argues that breadth can be valuable and provides compelling support that what’s obvious isn’t necessarily desirable.

Superforecasting (Tetlock and Gardner 2015) uses empirical findings to identify concrete actions that help people deal with uncertainty.

What’s your problem? (Wedell-Wedellsborg 2020) contributes a deep dive into the framing step with many practical and engaging ideas to frame better.

ADDITIONAL REFERENCES

National Research Council (2015). Measuring human capabilities: An agenda for basic research on the assessment of individual and group performance potential for military accession. Washington, DC, National Academies Press.

Scopelliti, I., et al. (2015). ‘Bias blind spot: Structure, measurement, and consequences.’ Management Science 61(10): 2468–2486.

Ehrlinger, J., et al. (2016). ‘Understanding overconfidence: Theories of intelligence, preferential attention, and distorted self-assessment.’ Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 63: 94–100.

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Lausanne, March 2022