image

But

|xμ|kf(x)dx=P(|xμ|k)

image

Hence we get

σ2k2(|xμ|k)

image

or

P(|xμ|k)σ2k2 (4.7)

image (4.7)

Also we have

P(|xμ|k)+P(|xμ|k)=1

image

Therefore we get

P(|xμ|k)=1=P(|xμ|k)

image

From Eq. (4.7), we get

P(|xμ|k)1σ2k2

image

Hence proved.

Remark

1. P(|xμ|k)1σ2k2image can be written as P(μk<x<μ+k)1σ2k2aimage.

2. σ2k2image is called an upper bound of P(|xμ|k)image.

Example 4.30: If the Chebyshev’s inequality for the random variable X is given by P(2<X<8)2125image. Find E(X) and V[X]?

Solution: Comparing P(2<X<8)2125image

with

P(μk<x<μ+k)1σ2k2

image

We get

μk=2 (4.8)

image (4.8)

μ+k=8 (4.9)

image (4.9)

and

1σ2k2=2125 (4.10)

image (4.10)

Adding Eqs. (4.8) and (4.9) we get

2μ=6orμ=3

image

Now μ+k=8 gives 3+k=8 or k=5

Substituting in Eq. (4.10) we get 1σ2k2=2125image

i.e., ∴ μ=μ1+4image

or

12125=σ252

image

or

425=σ252

image

or

σ2=4

image

Hence

E(X)=3,V[X]=4image

Example 4.31: The number of components manufactured in a factory during one month period is a random variable with mean 600 and variance 100. What is the probability that the production will be between 500 and 700 over a month?

Solution: We have

m=600,σ2=100P(500<X<700)=P(600100<X<600+100)

image

Comparing with

P(μk<x<μ+k),wegetk=100

image

Using Chebyshev’s inequality, we get

P(|x600|<k)1σ2k2=11001002=11100

image

or

P(|x600|<100)10.01=0.99

image

i.e.,

P(|x600|<100)0.99

image

Hence the probability of production in one month between 500 and 700 is 0.99.

Definition 4.21

Let X and Y be two discrete random variables and f(x, y) be the value of the joint probability distribution of X and Y at (x, y). If (x, y) is a real-valued function of (X, Y) then the expectation of g(x, y) is given by

E(g(X,Y))=xyg(x,y)F(x,y)dxdy.

image

If X and Y are continuous random variables and f(x, y) is the value of their joint probability density of X and Y at (x, y).

Then

E(g(X,Y))=g(x,y)f(x,y)dxdy

image

For example consider the joint density of X and Y is given by

F(x,y)=23(x+2y),0<x<1,1<y<2=0,elsewhere

image

The expected value of g(x,y)=xy3image is

E[xy3]=251201xy3(x+2y)dxdy=2512[01(x2y3+2xyy2)dx]dy=2512[x33y3+x2y2]dy=2512[13y3+1y2]dy=25[13(y22)+y1(1)]21=25[16y21y]12=14

image

4.16.4 Covariance

Definition 4.22

Let (X, Y) be a two-dimensional (bivariate) random variable. Then covariance between X and Y denoted by Cov (X, Y) is defined as follows:

Cov(X,Y)=E[(XE(X))(YE(Y))]

image

where E(X) is the expectation of X and E(Y) is the expectation of Y.

From the definition of covariance, we have

Cov(X,Y)=E[(XE(X))(YE(Y))]=E[XYXE(Y)YE(X)+E(X)E(Y)]=E(XY)E(X)E(Y)E(Y)E(X)+E(X)E(Y)=E(XY)E(X)E(Y)

image

Remarks

1. If X and Y are independent, then

Cov(X,Y)=E(XY)E(X)E(Y)=E(X)E(Y)E(X)E(Y)=0

image


But the Cov (X, Y)=0 does not imply that X and Y are independent.

2. If a, b are real constants then

Cov(aX,bY)=abCov(X,Y)

image

and

Cov(X+a,Y+b)=Cov(X,Y)

image

Example 4.32: For the following Joint probability distribution. Find Cov (X, Y)?

XY123pi
0212image112image112image412image
1112image112image212image412image
2312image112image0412image
pij612image312image312image1

Image

Solution: From the given table, we get

E(X)=0412+1412+2412=1212=1E(Y)=1612+2312+3312=612+612+912=2112=74

image

E(XY)=0.1112+0.2112+0.3112+1.1112+1.2112+1.3212+2.1312+2.2112+2.3.0=0+0+0+112+212+612+612+412+0=1912

image

Hence

Cov(X,Y)=E(XY)E(X)E(Y)=1912174=191274=212=16

image

Exercise 4.4

1. Let X be random variable with the following probability distribution. Find E(k)?

X369
P(X=x)16image12image13image

Image

Ans: 132image

2. If X is a random variable and the density function of X is

f(x)=ex,x0=0,0

image


Find

a. E(X)

b. E(X2)

c. E(X−1)2

d. V(X)

Ans: (a) 1; (b) 2; (c) 1; (d) 1

3. Define expectation of random variable.

4. A random variable X is given by

X−231
P(X=x)13image12image16image

Image


Find

a. E(X)

b. V[X]

Ans: (a) 1; (b) 5

5. Find the mean and variance for the distribution:

X−101otherwise
P(X=x)18image38image12image0

Image

Ans: Mean= 38image; Variance= 58image

6. The distribution of the number of raisins in a cookie is given in the following table. Find the mean and variance of raisins in a cookie?

No. of raisins (x)012345
Probability P(x)0.050.10.20.40.150.1

Image

Ans: Mean=2.8; Variance=1.56

7. If X is a random variable defined by the density function

f(x)=3x2,0x1=0,otherwise

image


Find

a. E(X)

b. E(3X−2)

c. E(X2)

d. Var[X]

Ans: (a) 0.75; (b) 1; (c) 0.6; (d) 0.0375

8. If X and Y are random variables each having the density functions

f(x)=ex,x0=0,Otherwise

image


Find

a. E(X+Y)

b. E(X2+Y2)

c. E(XY)

d. V[X] and V[Y]

Ans: (a) 12image; (b) 1; (c) 14image; (d) 14,14image

9. Two unbiased dice are thrown. Find the expected value of the sum of the numbers obtained on the top faces of them?

Ans: 7

10. Find the expectation of the number of failures preceding the first successes in an infinite series of independent trials with constant probability p of successes in each trial?

Ans: qpimage

11. The density function of a continuous random variable X is given by

f(x)=12x,0<x<2=0,Otherwise

image


Find E(X), Var[X], and E(3x2−2x)?

Ans: 43,29,103image

12. For the density function

f(x)=14forx=1=14forx=0=12forx=2

image


Find E(X) and V[X]?

Ans: 34,2716image

13. If a>0 and n>0, find E(X) and V[X] when

f(x)=[an+1xnn!]eax

image

Ans: n+1a,n+1a2image

14. From the following table, find (a) k; (b) E(2X+3); (c) V(x)?

X−3−2−10123
P(X=x)0.050.102k00.30k0.10

Image

Ans: (a) 0.15; (b) 3.5; (c) 2.887

15. The function f(x)=1π11+x2<x<image
Defines the pdf of X. Find E(X)?

Ans: E(X) does not exist.

16. If X is a random variable Y=(xμ)σimage, is also a random variable, show that

a. E(Y)=0

b. V(Y)=1

17. For a random variable with f(x)=12e|x|image, find its SD?

Ans: σ=2image

18. A random variable X with unknown probability distribution has an average of 14 and variance 9. Find the probability that X will be between 7 and 21?

Ans: 4049image

19. A random variable X has the density function ex for x≥0. Show that Chebyshev’s inequality gives P(|x1|>2)<14image.

Ans: 59image

4.17 Moments

Moments about mean and an arbitrary number were discussed in Chapter 1, An Overview of Statistical Applications. In this section we introduce moments of a random variable, which serve to describe the shape of the distribution of a random variable.

Moments About Arithmetic Mean (Central Moments)

Definition 4.23

If X is a discrete random variable, the rth moment of X about mean μ, denoted by μr is defined by

μr=E(xμ)r=i=1n(xiμ)rpir=0,1,2,

image

If X is a continuous random variable, the rth moment about mean is defined by

μr=E(xμ)r=(xμ)rf(x)dx

image

Remarks

1. Since μ=E(X), we can write

μr=E[XE[x]]r

image

2. If x1, x2, …, xn are in dual series, i.e., values of a random variable, with mean μ then the rth moment about μ is

μr=1ni=1n(xiμ)rr=0,1,2,

image

From the definition of rth moment we have,

μr=i=1n(xiμ)rpi

image

Therefore we get

μ0=i=1n(xiμ)0pi=pi=1μ1=i=1n(xiμ)pi=i=1nxipii=1nμpi=E[X]μpi=E[X]μ·1=E[X]E[X]=0(sinceμ=E(X))

image

Therefore μ0=1, μ1=0 for any variable X.

μ2=i=1n(xiμ)2pi=i=1n(xi22μxi+μ2)2pi=i=1nxi2pi2μi=1nxip1+μ2i=1npi=E(X2)μ2

image

or

μ2=E(X2)[E(x)]2

image

μ2 is called the variance of the distribution of X. It is denoted by σ2.

The positive square root of σ2image, i.e., variance is called the SD.

The moments about mean are also called the central moments or simply the moments of the distribution.

4.17.1 Moments About an Arbitrary Number

Definition 4.24

Let X be a discrete random variable and A be an arbitrary number. The rth moment about A of X denoted by μrimage, is defined as

μr=E[(xA)r]=i=1n(xiμ)rr=0,1,2,

image

If X is a continuous random variable the μ3image is defined as

μr=(xA)rf(x)dx,r=0,1,2,

image

The moments about an arbitrary number are also called raw moments.

Relation Between μrimage and μrimage

If μr denotes the rth moment of a distribution on about the mean and μrimage denotes the rth moment about an arbitrary number, then

μr=μrC1rμr+1μ1+C2rμr2μ2++(1)r(μ1)r

image

Substituting r=2, 3, 4, … we get

μ2=μ2C12μ1μ1+C22(μ1)2=μ2(μ1)2μ3=μ3C13μ2μ1+C23μ1(μ1)2=C33(μ1)3=μ33μ2μ1+2(μ1)2μ4=μ4C14μ3μ1+C24μ2(μ1)2C34μ1(μ1)3+C44(μ1)4=μ44μ3μ1+6μ2(μ1)23(μ1)4

image

Remarks

1. μ0=i=1n(xiμ)0pipi=1image

2. μ1=i=1n(xiA)pi=i=1nxipiAi=1npi=E(X)Aμ=μ1+Aimage

Example 4.33: The first four moments of a distribution about x=2 are 1, 2.5, 5.5, and 26, respectively. Find the values of first four central moments?

Solution: We have μ=1image, μ2=2.5image, μ3=5.5image, μ4=26image, and A=2.

Thus

μ1=0,μ2=μ2(μ1)2=(2.5)12=1.5μ3=μ33μ2μ1+2(μ1)2=5.53(2.5)(1)+2(1)3=5.57.5+2=0

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