CHAPTER 10
U.S. Treasury and Government Agency Securities

Lee Griffin and David Isaac

FEATURES OF U.S. TREASURY SECURITIES

U.S. Treasury securities are direct obligations of the U.S. government, backed by its full faith and credit. Proceeds from the sale of these securities are used to finance the activities of the federal government and to refund its outstanding debt. Since Treasuries are generally considered to be free of credit risk, they serve as a “safe haven” credit during times of economic or geopolitical tumult and are widely held by investors around the world. Given the perception of Treasuries' lack of credit risk and their ubiquity they serve as the benchmark security for the global fixed‐income markets.

In addition to credit quality, the most important feature Treasuries offer is liquidity. Liquidity is measured by the ease with which a financial asset can be converted to cash without a substantial change in its price. There is a large and active secondary market for U.S. Treasuries, supported by primary dealers and institutional investors around the world. (A primary dealer is a large bank or securities dealer recognized by the Federal Reserve Bank as a market maker in U.S. Treasuries. Primary dealers are required to bid for a portion of every Treasury auction.) Unlike many fixed‐income products, it is possible to obtain bid and offered quotes at any time on virtually any U.S. Treasury security.

For U.S. taxpayers, one last selling point is that interest on U.S. Treasuries is exempt from state and local income taxes (but are subject to federal tax).

In summary, investors in Treasuries have taken credit risk and geopolitical or event risk off the table. The sole remaining risk category to contend with is interest rate risk. Implicit in our understanding of the yield curve is the concept that time equals risk; that is, the greater the tenor of a bond, the greater its sensitivity to changes in interest rates. Therefore the interest rate risk of the 30‐year U.S. Treasury bond is far greater than that of the 10‐year note, which in turn is more risky than the 5‐year note, and so on. Taken to its logical conclusion, then, the safest vehicle in the world of fixed income is a one‐week U.S. Treasury bill.

TYPES OF TREASURY SECURITIES

Treasury Bills (T‐bills)

Treasury bills (T‐bills) are the shortest term debt obligations of the U.S. Treasury with maturities of one year or less. One‐month, three‐month, six‐month, and one‐year T‐bills are sold directly to the public by the Treasury. Treasury bills are sold at a discount from face value. At maturity, the investor redeems the bill for full face value. The difference between the purchase price and the amount that is paid at maturity represents the investor's interest. For example, if you buy a $100,000 (face or par value) 26‐week T‐bill for $99,250, at maturity you will receive $100,000. The difference of $750 represents your interest. Interest on T‐bills accrues based on the actual number of days between purchase and maturity and each year is assumed to contain 360 days.

Treasury Notes and Bonds

Notes mature in more than a year, but not more than 10 years from their issue date. The Treasury offers three kinds of notes: fixed rate, floating rate, and inflation linked. (For discussion of floating‐rate bonds, see the FRN section to follow. For discussion of inflation‐linked bonds see the TIPS section.) Fixed‐rate Treasury notes are currently issued in terms of 2, 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. Interest is paid semiannually with no call option prior to maturity. T‐notes are normally traded in multiples of $1,000 but can be traded in denominations as small as $100. The term Treasury bond refers generically to debt issued with a 30‐year maturity. Other than its tenor, the long bond has the same characteristics as Treasury notes.

TIPS

In January 1997, the Department of the Treasury introduced Treasury Inflation Indexed Securities, often referred to as Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS), a new form of notes and bonds whose principal is tied to the rate of inflation.

Simply stated, TIPS adjust the principal paid to the investor to keep pace with the rate of inflation. While these securities pay a fixed rate of interest, the principal amount of the bond is adjusted for inflation. In exchange for this inflation protection feature, the investor accepts an interest rate on the bond lower than traditional Treasuries of similar maturity. Over the life of the bond, semiannual interest payments are based on the new inflation‐adjusted principal, not the original face value. If consumer prices rise, the inflation‐adjusted principal will increase, as will the interest payments received. Conversely, if consumer prices fall, the inflation‐adjusted principal will decrease. In this instance, investors will receive smaller interest payments than they would have if the rate of inflation had increased or stayed the same. In the event that consumer prices actually decline (deflation), the Treasury offers a safeguard: Upon maturity, the bondholder will be paid the greater of either the inflation‐adjusted principal or the original face value, guaranteeing a return to the investor of at least the original principal amount invested.

The inflation rate used to adjust the principal is the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the Bureau of Labor Statistics' nonseasonally adjusted monthly measure of price changes in a basket of goods and services.

TIPS are currently issued with maturities of 5, 10, and 30 years and can be purchased in the new issue market by placing a competitive or noncompetitive bid through the standard Treasury auction process (see discussion of the auction process that follows). Secondary markets of previously issued TIPS exist but they are not traded as frequently as traditional on‐the‐run Treasuries.

Like all Treasury notes and bonds, TIPS are exempt from state and local income taxes. At the federal level, investors will be taxed both on the coupon payments and on any inflation increase to the principal value in the year that it occurs. Because of this tax treatment, investors should consider purchasing TIPS for their tax‐deferred accounts. It should be noted that if deflation causes a reduction in the principal amount, the IRS allows the investor to reduce his or her taxable interest income expense by the amount of the principal reduction. If the reduction exceeds the amount of semiannual interest payments for that year, the investor can carry forward the deduction to subsequent years until it is used up.

Investors considering an investment in TIPS generally begin their analysis by comparing the yield differential between TIPS and a comparable maturity fixed‐rate Treasury bond. That difference is sometimes called a breakeven inflation rate. If a traditional 10‐year Treasury yields 2.5 percent and a new 10‐year TIPS bond yields 2 percent, then the difference of 0.5 percent is the breakeven inflation rate. If the average annual inflation rate over the 10‐year life of the bond exceeds 0.5 percent, the TIPS bond should outperform the traditional 10‐year Treasury. So, the larger the breakeven inflation rate, the more expensive the TIPS bond.

Treasury STRIPS

Treasury STRIPS are the most common type of zero‐coupon bond derived from U.S. Treasury securities. Zero‐coupon bonds are issued at a discount to face value and pay no interest during the life of the bond. Instead, the interest payments are realized as incremental increases in the principal value of the bond and are payable at maturity. STRIPS are not issued by the U.S. Treasury; rather they are created by the Treasury by stripping the semiannual interest payments of existing coupon‐bearing bonds and repackaging them as new securities. Since the security of the new bond is derived from the full faith and credit pledge of the U.S. government to pay the interest on its debt, STRIPS are considered to be Treasury debt. STRIPS maturities range from one month to as long as 30 years.

FRNs

In January 2014 the Treasury began to issue floating‐rate notes (FRNs) in response to regulatory changes that encouraged money managers to allocate a greater portion of their assets to government securities, and the Treasury Department's desire to lower their borrowing cost. FRNs are a borrowing structure commonly used by corporations and GSEs, as well as some foreign governments, but the U.S. government had never utilized the structure before. Treasury FRNs are currently issued quarterly with a two‐year maturity and quarterly interest payments. Like other structures they are issued and mature at par and trade in minimum quantities of $100. Where FRNs differ from other Treasury bonds is in the way the quarterly interest payments vary each period depending on changes in the reference rate.

When the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee (TBAC) was originally discussing the idea of issuing FRNs there was considerable debate about what reference rate to use.1 In corporate bonds the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) is the most commonly used reference rate, but as LIBOR is a credit based rate it would not be appropriate for Treasury debt. The TBAC considered using either the average price of general collateral (GC) repurchase trades or the stop level of the monthly three‐month T‐bill auction. In the end, it was decided to use the stop level of the monthly three‐month bill given its more extensive historical data, an expectation of lower rates, and the fact that GC is sometimes pushed higher by credit‐related problems. The auction process for FRNs is similar to the process for standard fixed‐coupon notes, with the major difference being that the bid is quoted as the premium over the reference rate that the bidder requires to lend to the Treasury. This spread over the benchmark rate is referred to as the discount margin (DM). As in every other auction, the Treasury seeks to minimize its borrowing cost and will award bonds to those bidders who submit the lowest DM.

The use of FRNs diversifies the structure of Treasury's borrowing, reduces its borrowing costs, and provides more stable funding. FRNs offer benefits to lenders as well. Chief among them is the measure of inflation protection that FRNs provide. If inflation rises, one would expect the rates on the three‐month T‐bill to rise as well, pushing up interest payments on all outstanding FRNs and easing the drag of higher inflation.

TREASURY AUCTIONS

The U.S. Treasury accesses the primary market through regularly scheduled auctions throughout the calendar year. Auction dates are announced by the Treasury about one week before each auction. Information on upcoming auctions is available through the financial press, broker/dealers, and the Bureau of Public Debt website.

The Treasury department uses a Dutch auction (aka single‐price auction) process to sell its debt to the public. This process also sets the initial interest rate for the newly issued securities. The Treasury conducted over 270 auctions, issuing over $7.0 trillion in securities in 2015. Under the Dutch auction process, each successful bidder is awarded securities at the same price, which is equal to the highest accepted rate or yield. In other words, the final price of the security being auctioned is the lowest price (or highest yield) necessary to sell the entire offering. When investors participate in an auction for a Treasury security, they must decide whether they will submit a competitive or a noncompetitive bid. In a competitive bid the bidder states what amount of securities he or she will purchase and the minimum yield level he or she will accept. Depending on the range of bids received, the Treasury may reject a competitive bid, fill it in part, or award the bidder with the full amount bid for.

The terms of bidding in a Treasury auction are as follows: The minimum denomination for all bidders is $1,000 with increments in multiples of $1,000. The maximum amount that may be bid by a noncompetitive bidder is $1 million for T‐bills and $5 million for Treasury notes, bonds, and TIPS. There are no quantity restrictions for competitive bidders with one exception: No bidder may purchase more than 35% of the offering.

Once the auction is closed, all noncompetitive bids that comply with the auction rules are immediately accepted. The competitive bids are then sorted from lowest to highest yield and accepted in that order until the entire allotment of securities being offered has been reached. All bidders, competitive and noncompetitive alike, then purchase the securities at the same rate, the highest accepted yield.

Participants in Treasury auctions can bid using two different methods. Individual investors can submit noncompetitive bids directly with the government through a program called TreasuryDirect (www.treasurydirect.gov). An investor using this method buys Treasuries directly from the government, bypassing the broker/dealer community in the process. Alternatively, individuals may place orders in an auction through their financial institutions as well. Institutional investors and dealers participate in auctions using the Treasury Automated Auction Processing System (TAAPS) to place bids for customers and for their own accounts.

CONCLUSION

The rates at which the U.S. Treasury borrows money, whether in bills, notes, or TIPS, are the basis for the rates that every other U.S. dollar borrower pays and form the backbone of the global financial system. On the short end of the maturity curve, bills are a widely used reference rate, and on the long end, Treasury bonds are among the safest long‐term investments available. Following the global turmoil of the 2008 financial crisis Treasuries have been in high demand from global investors seeking the safety of U.S. government debt and as a result yields across the curve have steadily declined. As of this writing, yields have fallen to their lowest levels ever. However, with many of the alternatives such as high‐quality government bonds in Europe and Asia trading at negative yields, it is not unreasonable to believe that the U.S. government's borrowing costs will continue to remain below the long‐term average in the near future. U.S. Treasuries will continue to represent a risk‐free rate of return and be among the most important benchmarks in the global financial system.

NOTE

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