Table of Contents

Preface

PART 1. MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS

Chapter 1. Introduction to Mathematical Statistics

1.1. Generalities

1.2. Examples of statistics problems

Chapter 2. Principles of Decision Theory

2.1. Generalities

2.2. The problem of choosing a decision function11

2.3. Principles of Bayesian statistics

2.4. Complete classes

2.5. Criticism of decision theory – the asymptotic point of view

2.6. Exercises

Chapter 3. Conditional Expectation

3.1. Definition

3.2. Properties and extension

3.3. Conditional probabilities and conditional distributions

3.4. Exercises

Chapter 4. Statistics and Sufficiency

4.1. Samples and empirical distributions

4.2. Sufficiency

4.3. Examples of sufficient statistics – an exponential model

4.4. Use of a sufficient statistic

4.5. Exercises

Chapter 5. Point Estimation

5.1. Generalities

5.2. Sufficiency and completeness

5.3. The maximum-likelihood method

5.4. Optimal unbiased estimators

5.5. Efficiency of an estimator

5.6. The linear regression model

5.7. Exercises

Chapter 6. Hypothesis Testing and Confidence Regions

6.1. Generalities

6.2. The Neyman–Pearson (NP) lemma

6.3. Multiple hypothesis tests (general methods)

6.4. Case where the ratio of the likelihoods is monotonic

6.5. Tests relating to the normal distribution

6.6. Application to estimation: confidence regions

6.7. Exercises

Chapter 7. Asymptotic Statistics

7.1. Generalities

7.2. Consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator

7.3. The limiting distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator

7.4. The likelihood ratio test

7.5. Exercises

Chapter 8. Non-Parametric Methods and Robustness

8.1. Generalities

8.2. Non-parametric estimation

8.3. Non-parametric tests

8.4. Robustness

8.5. Exercises

PART 2. STATISTICS FOR STOCHASTIC PROCESSES

Chapter 9. Introduction to Statistics for Stochastic Processes

9.1. Modeling a family of observations

9.2. Processes

9.3. Statistics for stochastic processes

9.4. Exercises

Chapter 10. Weakly Stationary Discrete-Time Processes

10.1. Autocovariance and spectral density

10.2. Linear prediction and Wold decomposition

10.3. Linear processes and the ARMA model

10.4. Estimating the mean of a weakly stationary process

10.5. Estimating the autocovariance

10.6. Estimating the spectral density

10.7. Exercises

Chapter 11. Poisson Processes – A Probabilistic and Statistical Study

11.1. Introduction

11.2. The axioms of Poisson processes

11.3. Interarrival time

11.4. Properties of the Poisson process

11.5. Notions on generalized Poisson processes

11.6. Statistics of Poisson processes

11.7. Exercises

Chapter 12. Square-Integrable Continuous-Time Processes

12.1. Definitions

12.2. Mean-square continuity

12.3. Mean-square integration

12.4. Mean-square differentiation

12.5. The Karhunen–Loeve theorem

12.6. Wiener processes

12.7. Notions on weakly stationary continuous-time processes

12.8. Exercises

Chapter 13. Stochastic Integration and Diffusion Processes

13.1. Itô integral

13.2. Diffusion processes

13.3. Processes defined by stochastic differential equations and stochastic integrals

13.4. Notions on statistics for diffusion processes

13.5. Exercises

Chapter 14. ARMA Processes

14.1. Autoregressive processes

14.2. Moving average processes

14.3. General ARMA processes

14.4. Non-stationary models

14.5. Statistics of ARMA processes

14.6. Multidimensional processes

14.7. Exercises

Chapter 15. Prediction

15.1. Generalities

15.2. Empirical methods of prediction

15.3. Prediction in the ARIMA model

15.4. Prediction in continuous time

15.5. Exercises

PART 3. SUPPLEMENT

Chapter 16. Elements of Probability Theory

16.1. Measure spaces: probability spaces

16.2. Measurable functions: real random variables

16.3. Integrating real random variables

16.4. Random vectors

16.5. Independence

16.6. Gaussian vectors

16.7. Stochastic convergence

16.8. Limit theorems

Appendix. Statistical Tables

A1.1. Random numbers

A1.2. Distribution function of the standard normal distribution

A1.3. Density of the standard normal distribution

A1.4. Percentiles (tp) of Student’s distribution

A1.5. Ninety-fifth percentiles of Fisher–Snedecor distributions

A1.6. Ninety-ninth percentiles of Fisher–Snedecor distributions

A1.7. Percentiles images of the χ2 distribution with n degrees of freedom

A1.8. Individual probabilities of the Poisson distribution

A1.9. Cumulative probabilities of the Poisson distribution

A1.10. Binomial coefficients images for n ≤ 30 and 0 ≤ k ≤ 7

A1.11. Binomial coefficients images for n ≤ 30 and 8 ≤ k ≤ 15

Bibliography

Index

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