Optionscan be used to create almost any type of a profit function. Trading with stocks allows the possibility of short selling and leveraging, but options open up a huge number of possibilities for creating a payoff that suits the expectations and the risk profile of an investor. For example, a protective put can be used to protect a portfolio of stocks from negative returns, and a straddle can be used to profit simultaneously from large positive and large negative returns of the stock.
We describe option strategies in three ways: the profit function, the return function, and the return distribution. The profit function shows the profit of the option strategy at the expiration, as a function of the value of the underlying. For example, the profit function of a long call strategy is equal to
where is the stock price at the expiration, is the strike price, is the premium of the call, and is the interest rate.1 The return function shows the gross return of the option strategy. For example, the return function of a long call strategy is given by
The return distribution means the probability distribution of the return of the option strategy. For example, the return distribution of a long call strategy is the probability distribution of the random variable . The probability distribution can be described by the distribution function, which in this case is
where , and is the conditional probability, conditional on the information available at time 0. The probability distribution of the option return depends on the conditional probability distribution of the underlying , and this probability distribution is unknown. We use both the histogram estimator and the tail plot of the empirical distribution function to estimate the unknown return distribution of the option.
The method of using the return distribution (17.3) is the most intuitive and useful to describe an option strategy, from the three methods (17.1)–(17.3). In fact, the return distribution of the option is directly relevant for the investor who considers including options into the portfolio. On the other hand, the use of the return distribution involves both the problem of estimating the probability distribution and the problem of visualizing the probability distribution.
Option strategies provide an instructive case study for the performance measurement. We get more insight into such concepts as Sharpe ratio, cumulative wealth, and risk aversion by studying the performance measurement of option strategies, instead of just studying the performance measurement of portfolios of stocks.
Section 17.1 shows profit functions of option strategies, which include vertical spreads, strangles, straddles, butterflies, condors, calendar spreads, covered calls, and protective puts. Section 17.2 shows return functions and return distributions of the option strategies, and measures the performance of the option strategies.
It is possible to create a large number of profit functions by combining calls and puts with different strike prices and expiration dates. Our examples include vertical spreads, strangles, straddles, butterflies, condors, and calendar spreads. In addition, we discuss how to combine options with the underlying to create protective puts and covered calls.
Calls and puts are the basic building blocks for creating profit functions. Vertical spreads are combinations of calls and puts that limit the downside risk of selling pure calls and puts.
Figure 17.1(a)–(d) shows profit functions of a long call, long put, short call, and short put. For a call, the profit function is
where is the stock price at the expiration, is the strike price, is the premium of the call, and is the interest rate. For the put, the profit function is
where is the premium of the put. When a call is bought, the maximum profit is unlimited. When a put is bought, the maximum profit is equal to the strike price minus the premium. The losses are limited both when a call is bought and when a put is bought.2
Figure 17.1(e)–(h) shows profit functions of a short call spread, short put spread, long call spread. and long put spread. Let the strike prices satisfy . Vertical spreads are the following trades:
A short call spread has a special importance, because this trade allows us to sell a call option but it makes the maximum possible loss limited, because a call with a higher strike price is bought simultaneously. Selling a put has a limited loss but a short put spread makes the maximum possible loss smaller; see (17.13).
Figure 17.1(i)–(l) shows profit functions of a long ratio call spread, long ratio put spread, long call ladder, and long put ladder. Ratio spreads are generalizations of simple vertical spreads. Ladders are examples of combinations of three options. The strike prices satisfy . Ratio spreads and ladders are defined as follows:
Figure 17.2(a)–(d) shows profit functions of a long straddle, long strangle, long butterfly, and long condor.
Long straddles and strangles are profitable when the underlying makes a large move.
Straddles are special cases of strangles and guts: when , then we obtain a straddle from a strangle or from a guts.
Figure 17.3 shows a two-dimensional profit function of a straddle. Now we consider the profit not as a univariate function of the price of the underlying, but as a two-dimensional function of the change in the price of the underlying and of the change in the volatility. The Black–Scholes prices are used to define the profit function. Panel (a) shows a perspective plot of function
where and are the Black–Scholes prices at time of a call and a put, when the underlying has value , strike price is , is the annualized volatility, and is the time of expiration. Panel (b) shows slices
for five values of . We can see that a long straddle profits also from a rising volatility, and not only from large moves of the underlying.
To profit when the underlying does not move, one can sell a straddle, strangle, or guts. However, these trades have an unlimited downside. Thus, it is useful to apply butterflies and condors, which have a limited downside. Below .
A long butterfly is obtained from a long condor by taking . Selling a strangle can be considered as obtainable from a condor by letting and . Selling a straddle can be considered as obtainable from a butterfly by letting and .
Calendar spreads allow us to profit from a rising volatility by shorting an option with a shorter time to expiration and going long for an option with a longer time to expiration. Calendar spreads are also called “time spreads” and “horizontal spreads.” Diagonal calendar spreads make a simultaneous bet for the direction of the underlying.
Figure 17.4 shows a profit function of call calendar spread. The profit function is a function of two variables: the change in stock price and the change in volatility. At time 0 we short a call with maturity and buy a call with maturity . The trade is terminated at . Panel (a) shows a perspective plot and panel (b) shows slices for five values of . The profit function is
where is the Black–Scholes price at time of a call option when is the stock price, is the strike price, is the annualized volatility, and is the expiration time. Here , so that we have .
Figure 17.5 shows a profit function of call diagonal calendar spread. At time 0 we short a call with maturity and strike , and buy a call with maturity and strike . The trade is terminated at . Panel (a) shows a perspective plot and panel (b) shows slices for five values of . The profit function is
where .
A stock can be replicated by a combination of a call and a put. Furthermore, options can be combined with the underlying to make a protective put and a covered call. A bond and a call can be combined to create a position with bounded losses but a stock type upside potential.
The payout of buying a -call and simultaneously selling a -put is :
The profit of buying a -call and simultaneously selling a -put is
where and are the premiums of the call and the put.
Choosing leads to the profit
Indeed, a forward contract to buy stock at time for the price is equivalent to buying a -call and simultaneously selling -put. This is the so called put–call parity
studied in Section 14.1.2. Thus, when , the profit of buying a -call and simultaneously selling a -put is , because the put–call parity gives . Thus, the payoff of a stock can be obtained by options.
Conversely, being long -put and short -call, where , is a bet on a falling stock price.4
Figure 17.6(a) and (b) shows profit functions of replicating being long and being short of a stock.
A protective put consists of a simultaneous buying of the underlying and a put on the underlying. The strike price of the put is , where is the current price of the underlying. This position gives insurance against a falling price of the underlying, with the cost of paying the premium for the put option.
A covered call consists of a simultaneous buying of the underlying and selling a call with strike price . A covered call has less risk than the pure position in the underlying, because a premium is obtained from selling the call. On the other hand, selling the call limits the potential upside. Note that a covered call has a similarity with a long call spread.
A covered shorting consists of a simultaneous selling of the underlying and buying a call with strike price . A covered shorting has less risk than plain shorting, because buying the call makes the loss bounded from below.
Figure 17.6 shows profit functions of a protective put, covered call, and covered shorting in panels (c)–(e).
Let a bond and a call be such that the maturity date of the bond is the same as the expiration date of the call. Buying a bond and a call leads to a position where the guaranteed return is smaller than from the pure bond position, because the premium for buying the call has to be subtracted from the profit. On the other hand, there is a considerable upside potential, unlike in the case of the pure bond position. The combination leads to a capital guarantee product.
Figure 17.6(f) shows a profit function of buying a bond and a call. We assume that the profit from the bond is higher than the premium of the call, and thus the profit is always positive. Thus the profit function of Figure 17.6(f) differs from the profit function of the call in Figure 17.1(a), where a loss is possible.
We discuss how to study the profitability of option strategies that were defined in Section 17.1. First we list the returns of option strategies, then we study the distributions of the returns of the option strategies, and finally compute Sharpe ratios of the option strategies.
What is the gross return of an option strategy? An option strategy is defined by giving its payoff
where , and are the payoffs of options. For example, the payoff of a long call spread is
where , , and . Let us include the possibility of investing in the risk-free rate, and let be the risk-free rate for the period . Let be the premiums of the options. When , then we can assume without losing generality that
Then the return of the strategy in (17.5) can be written as
where is the weight of the risk-free rate and is the weight of the option strategy.
The return can be also written as
where
A third way to write the return is
where
In (17.6), (17.7), (17.8), we have assumed that . In the case when , we can combine the option strategy with the risk-free return. We start with the initial wealth and obtain the wealth
where is the exposure to the option strategy. The return is
Note that (17.8) leads to (17.9) with .
We draw return functions
where is the gross return of the option strategy. We denote the strike prices
We use the following notation for the payoffs of calls:
We use the following notation for the payoffs of puts:
The corresponding premiums are , , and , ,
We draw a blue horizontal line at the level one, because the gross return one means that the wealth does not change. We draw a red horizontal line at the height zero, because in the case of stock trading the gross return zero means bankruptcy. Note that in option trading we interpret the negative gross return as leading to debt, and the amount deposited in the margin account should be used to pay this debt.
The premiums are chosen to be the Black–Scholes prices, with the annualized volatility . The interest rate is . The initial stock price is . The time to expiration is 6 months (which is in fractions of a year).
Figure 17.7(a) shows return functions of buying and selling calls. The gross return is
where and . We show functions for the weights , , , and . The profit functions of buying and selling calls are shown in Figure 17.1(a) and (c).
Figure 17.7(b) shows return functions of buying and selling puts. The gross return is
where and . We show functions for the weights , , , and . The profit functions of buying and selling puts are shown in Figure 17.1(b) and (d).
Figure 17.7(c) shows return functions of call vertical spreads. The gross return is
where , , and . When , we obtain a long call spread. When we obtain a short call spread. The corresponding profit functions are shown in Figure 17.1(e) and (g). It is of interest to note that a short call vertical spread has a return function which is bounded from below. Indeed, we have that .5 Thus, when ,
Figure 17.7(d) shows return functions of put vertical spreads. The gross return is
where , , and . When , we obtain a long put spread. When we obtain a short put spread. The corresponding profit functions are shown in Figure 17.1(f) and (h). It is of interest to calculate the lower bound for the return of a short put vertical spread. We have that . Thus, when ,
Figure 17.7(e) shows return functions of ratio call spreads. The gross return is
where , , and . When , we obtain a short ratio call spread. When we obtain a long ratio call spread. The profit function of a long ratio call spread is shown in Figure 17.1(i).
Figure 17.7(f) shows return functions of ratio put spreads. The gross return is
where , , and . When , we obtain a short ratio put spread. When we obtain a long ratio put spread. The profit function of a long ratio put spread is shown in Figure 17.1(j).
Figure 17.7(g) shows return functions of call ladders. The gross return is
where , , , and . When , we obtain a long call ladder. When we obtain a short call ladder. The profit function of a long call ladder is shown in Figure 17.1(k).
Figure 17.7(h) shows return functions of put ladders. The gross return is
where , , , and . When , we obtain a long put ladder. When we obtain a short put ladder. The profit function of a long put ladder is shown in Figure 17.1(l).
Figure 17.8(a) and (b) shows return functions of straddles and strangles. The gross return is
where and . In panel (a) we have straddles: . In panel (b) we have strangles: . When , we obtain a long straddle and strangle. When we obtain a short straddle and strangle. The profit functions of a long straddle and a long strangle are shown in Figure 17.2(a) and (b).
Figure 17.8(c) and (d) shows return functions of call butterflies and condors. The gross return is
where , , , and . In panel (b) we have butterflies: . In panel (c) we have condors: . When , we obtain a long butterfly and a long condor. When we obtain a short butterfly and a short condor. The profit functions of a long butterfly and a long condor are shown in Figure 17.2(c) and (d).
Options can be combined with the underlying to replicate the underlying, to apply a protective put, and to construct a covered call and a covered short. Furthermore, options can be combined with bonds.
Let us replicate the stock by a simultaneous buying of a -call and -put. The put–call parity implies that the prices and of the options satisfy
see (14.8) for a discussion of the put–call parity. When , then , and the return is
where .
When , then we can define the return using (17.9) as
where .
Figure 17.9(a) shows the return function for the return (17.18), when . Note that Figure 17.6(a) and (b) shows profit functions of being long and being short of a stock.
A protective put is a position where the buying of the underlying is combined with buying a put with a strike price . Let us consider more generally the return
A protective put is obtained when .
Figure 17.9(b) shows a return function of a protective put. In fact, we show the cases , , and .
We can calculate a lower bound to the return of a protective put. In fact,6
When , the return satisfies
A covered call is a position where the buying of the underlying is combined with selling a call with a strike price . A covered short is a position where the shorting of a stock is combined by the buying of a call with strike price .
Let us consider returns
A covered call is obtained when . A covered short is obtained when . Figure 17.9(c) shows return functions for the cases , , and .
Selling a stock has an unbounded maximum loss but in a covered short we buy simultaneously a call option, with strike price , which makes the maximum possible loss bounded. Selling a call has an unbounded maximum loss but in a covered call we buy simultaneously the stock, which makes the loss bounded when the stock price goes up, although it is possible to lose the total investment, when the stock price goes to zero. The strike price of the covered call satisfies . The covered call can be used to earn extra return when the stock price does not make a big upside move. We have that7
When , the return satisfies
and thus the return of the covered short is bounded from below. When , the return satisfies
and thus the return of the covered call is bounded from above.
A suitable simultaneous buying of a bond and a call creates a capital guarantee product. We assume that the time to maturity of the bond and the time to the expiration of the call are equal. The return is given in (17.10) by
where , is the premium of the call, and is the net return of the bond. Unlike in (17.10) we take close to zero, in order to guarantee that the capital is not lost.
Figure 17.9(d) shows return functions for the cases , , and .
We estimate the return distributions using the S&P 500 daily data, described in Section 2.4.1. The daily data is aggregated to have sampling interval of 20 trading days, and we study options with the time to expiration being 20 days.
The option prices are taken to be the Black–Scholes prices with the volatility being the annualized sample standard deviation of the complete time series of the observations. The risk-free rate is taken to be zero. These simplifications do not prevent us from gaining qualitative insight into the return distributions. The Black–Scholes prices are different from the real market prices, and thus we are not able to obtain precise estimates of the actual return distributions of the past option returns. In particular, the out-of-the-money options tend to have higher market prices than the Black–Scholes prices: this can be seen from the volatility smile, which means that the implied volatilities of the out-of-the-money options have larger implied volatilities than the at-the-money options (see Section 14.3.2).
To estimate the return distributions we use histogram and kernel estimators, as defined in Section 3.2.2. We use the normal reference rule to choose the smoothing parameter of the kernel density estimator. Also, we apply tail plots of the empirical distribution function, as defined in Section 3.2.1.
Figure 17.10 shows a return distribution of buying a call option with moneyness . The return is given in (17.10), where we choose . Panel (a) shows a histogram estimate of the call returns. The red curve shows a kernel estimate of the corresponding S&P 500 returns. Panel (b) shows a tail plot of the empirical distribution function of the option returns with black circles. The red circles show a tail plot of the empirical distribution function of the corresponding S&P 500 returns. The corresponding profit function is shown in Figure 17.1(a) and the return function is shown in Figure 17.7(a). We see that there is a large probability of gross return zero, and small probabilities of high returns.
Figure 17.11 shows the return distribution of buying a put option with moneyness . The return is given in (17.11), where we choose . Panel (a) shows a histogram estimate of the put returns. The red curve shows a kernel estimate of the corresponding S&P 500 returns. Panel (b) shows a tail plot of the option returns (black) and a tail plot of the corresponding S&P 500 returns (red). The corresponding profit function is shown in Figure 17.1(b) and the return function is shown in Figure 17.7(b). We see that the return distribution of buying a put option is close to the return distribution of buying a call option.
Figure 17.12 shows the return distribution of selling a call with moneyness . The return is given in (17.10), where we choose . Panel (a) shows a histogram estimate of the returns. The red curve shows a kernel estimate of the corresponding S&P 500 returns. Panel (b) shows a tail plot of the option returns (black) and a tail plot of the corresponding S&P 500 returns (red). The corresponding profit function is shown in Figure 17.1(c) and the return function is shown in Figure 17.7(a). We see that the return distribution of selling a call option is a mirror image of the return distribution of buying a call option: there is a large probability of a gross return over one, but small probabilities of quite large negative returns.
Figure 17.13 shows the return distribution of selling a put option with moneyness . The return is given in (17.11), where we choose . Panel (a) shows a histogram estimate of the returns. The red curve shows a kernel estimate of the corresponding S&P 500 returns. Panel (b) shows a tail plot of the option returns (black) and a tail plot of the corresponding S&P 500 returns (red). The corresponding profit function is shown in Figure 17.1(d) and the return function is shown in Figure 17.7(b). We see that the return distribution of selling a put option is close to the return distribution of selling a call option.
Figure 17.14 shows the return distribution of selling a call spread with , , and . The return is given in (17.12), where we take . Panel (a) shows a histogram estimate of the returns. The red curve shows a kernel estimate of the corresponding S&P 500 returns. Panel (b) shows a tail plot of the option returns (black) and a tail plot of the corresponding S&P 500 returns (red). The corresponding profit function is shown in Figure 17.1(e) and the return function is shown in Figure 17.7(c). The return distribution is bounded from below, unlike in the case of Figure 17.12, where a call option is sold.
Figure 17.15 shows the return distribution of a ratio call spread with , , and . The return is given in (17.14), where we take . Panel (a) shows a histogram estimate of the return distribution of the option. The red curve shows a kernel estimate of the corresponding S&P 500 returns. Panel (b) shows a tail plot of the option returns (black) and a tail plot of the corresponding S&P 500 returns (red). The corresponding profit function of long position is shown in Figure 17.1(i) and the return function is shown in Figure 17.7(e).
Figure 17.16 shows the return distribution of a short call ladder with , , , and . The return is given in (17.15), where we take . Panel (a) shows a histogram estimate of the return distribution of the option. The red curve shows a kernel estimate of the corresponding S&P 500 returns. Panel (b) shows a tail plot of the option returns (black) and a tail plot of the corresponding S&P 500 returns (red). The corresponding profit function of a long position is shown in Figure 17.1(k) and the return function is shown in Figure 17.7(g).
Figure 17.17 shows the return distribution of a straddle with and . The return is given in (17.16), where we take . Panel (a) shows a histogram estimate of the return distribution of the option strategy. The red curve shows a kernel estimate of the corresponding S&P 500 returns. Panel (b) shows a tail plot of the option strategy returns (black) and a tail plot of the corresponding S&P 500 returns (red). The corresponding profit function of a long position is shown in Figure 17.2(a) and the return function is shown in Figure 17.8(a).
Figure 17.18 shows a short straddle. The setting is the same as in Figure 17.17.
Figure 17.19 shows the return distribution of a strangle with , , and . The return is given in (17.16), where we take . Panel (a) shows a histogram estimate of the return distribution of the option strategy. The red curve shows a kernel estimate of the corresponding S&P 500 returns. Panel (b) shows a tail plot of the option strategy returns (black) and a tail plot of the corresponding S&P 500 returns (red). The corresponding profit function of a long position is shown in Figure 17.2(b) and the return function is shown in Figure 17.8(b).
Figure 17.20 shows a short strangle. The setting is the same as in Figure 17.19.
Figure 17.21 shows the return distribution of a butterfly with , , , and . The return is given in (17.17), where we take . Panel (a) shows a histogram estimate of the return distribution of the option strategy. The red curve shows a kernel estimate of the corresponding S&P 500 returns. Panel (b) shows a tail plot of the option strategy returns (black) and a tail plot of the corresponding S&P 500 returns (red). The corresponding profit function of a long position is shown in Figure 17.2(c) and the return function is shown in Figure 17.8(c).
Figure 17.22 shows the return distribution of a short butterfly. The setting is the same as in Figure 17.21.
Figure 17.23 shows the return distribution of a condor with , , , , and . The return is given in (17.17), where we take . Panel (a) shows a histogram estimate of the return distribution of the option strategy. The red curve shows a kernel estimate of the corresponding S&P 500 returns. Panel (b) shows a tail plot of the option strategy returns (black) and a tail plot of the corresponding S&P 500 returns (red). The corresponding profit function of a long position is shown in Figure 17.2(d) and the return function is shown in Figure 17.8(d).
Figure 17.24 shows the return distribution of a short condor. The setting is the same as in Figure 17.23.
Figure 17.25 shows the return distribution of a protective put with and . The return is given in (17.20), where we take . Panel (a) shows a histogram estimate of the return distribution of the option strategy. The red curve shows a kernel estimate of the corresponding S&P 500 returns. Panel (b) shows a tail plot of the option strategy returns (black) and a tail plot of the corresponding S&P 500 returns (red). The corresponding profit function is shown in Figure 17.6(c) and the return function is shown in Figure 17.9(c).
Figure 17.26 shows the return distribution of a covered call with and . The return is given in (17.21), where we take . Panel (a) shows a histogram estimate of the return distribution of the option strategy. The red curve shows a kernel estimate of the corresponding S&P 500 returns. Panel (b) shows a tail plot of the option strategy returns (black) and a tail plot of the corresponding S&P 500 returns (red). The corresponding profit function is shown in Figure 17.6(d) and the return function is shown in Figure 17.9(d).
Figure 17.27 shows the return distribution of a capital guarantee product with and . The bond gross return is 1.01. The return is given in (17.22), where we take . Panel (a) shows a histogram estimate of the return distribution of the option strategy. The red curve shows a kernel estimate of the corresponding S&P 500 returns. Panel (b) shows a tail plot of the option strategy returns (black) and a tail plot of the corresponding S&P 500 returns (red). The corresponding profit function of is shown in Figure 17.6(f) and the return function is shown in Figure 17.9(d).
We estimate the Sharpe ratios of few option strategies and show the cumulative wealths and wealth ratios.
We use the S&P 500 daily data, described in Section 2.4.1. The option prices are computed using the Black–Scholes formula, with the volatility equal to the sequentially estimated annualized GARCH() volatility. The risk-free rate is deduced from the rate of the one-month Treasury bill, using data described in Section 2.4.3.
The Sharpe ratios are not equal to the Sharpe ratios which are obtained using the market prices of options. Also, we do not take the transaction costs into account. However, studying the performance of option strategies gives insights into the concepts of performance measurement. Also, we can interpret the results as giving information about the properties of the Black–Scholes prices, since the fair option prices should be such that statistical arbitrage is excluded.
Figure 17.28 shows the Sharpe ratios of buying (a) covered call and (b) protective put. The -axis shows the put moneyness, defined as , where is the strike price and is the stock price at the time of the writing of the call option. The -axis shows the Sharpe ratio. The time to expiration is 20 days (black), 40 days (red), and 60 days (green). The blue horizontal lines show the Sharpe ratio of S&P 500. We see that the Sharpe ratio of the covered call converges to the Sharpe ratio of the underlying, when the strike price increases, and the Sharpe ratio of the protective put converges to the Sharpe ratio of the underlying, when the strike price decreases.
Figure 17.29 shows the wealth ratios of buying (a) covered call and (b) protective put. The time to expiration is 20 trading days. The strike price is for the covered call and for the protective put, when the stock price is .
Figure 17.30 shows the Sharpe ratios of buying (a) call options and (b) put options. The -axis shows the put moneyness, defined as , where is the strike price and is the stock price at the time of the writing of the option. The -axis shows the Sharpe ratio. The time to expiration is 20 days (black), 40 days (red), and 60 days (green). The blue horizontal lines show the Sharpe ratio of S&P 500. We see that the Sharpe ratios of the call options converge to the Sharpe ratio of the underlying, when the strike price approaches zero. The Sharpe ratios of the call options are larger than the Sharpe ratio of the underlying when the moneyness is around zero. The Sharpe ratios of the put options are lower than the Sharpe ratio of the underlying.
Figure 17.31 considers the capital guarantee product, which is constructed by combining a call and a bond to give return
where is the weight. This return was discussed in (17.22). The Sharpe ratio is given in Figure 17.30(a), because the weight does not change the Sharpe ratio (see Section 10.1.1). We choose positive but close to zero, in order to guarantee the preservation of the capital. The strike price is for the call, when the stock price is . The time to expiration is 20 trading days. Panel (a) shows the cumulative wealth for (black), (red), and (green). The blue curve is the cumulative wealth of S&P 500. Panel (b) shows the wealth ratios where the cumulative wealths of the capital guarantee products are divided by the cumulative wealth of S&P 500. We see that when (green), then the bankruptcy follows quite soon. When (red), then the cumulative wealth is larger than for S&P 500, but with the expense of higher volatility.